Lol · resolved market
LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcd8a1e4d9ebb19e6e02ffedf92e15755a5bab9c522b9ea36fa96eab375d1f38e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Senshi Esports Clubof mCon esports, Senshi Esports Club
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,077
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,366
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,077 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked mCon esports | 58c | 1,430$828 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$827.95 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcfad…fa05backed Senshi Esports Club | 46c | 1,310$600 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$710.49 | 1,218 | 58.1%708 W · 510 L | +44.2wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xba8c…e77dbacked Senshi Esports Club | 71c | 1,096$777 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$318.98 | 16 | 93.8%15 W · 1 L | +4.9wins | +0.31per pick | 63cpaid | +427.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x3737…bfd1backed Senshi Esports Club | 55c | 1,040$573 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$467.4 | 379 | 57.5%218 W · 161 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3e24…4fabbacked mCon esports | 71c | 952$676 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$675.92 | 338 | 57.7%195 W · 143 L | +18.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Senshi Esports Club | 48c | 853.86$407 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$446.85 | 1,389 | 37.7%524 W · 865 L | -45.7wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed mCon esports | 48c | 559.39$269 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$268.51 | 2,495 | 47.3%1,181 W · 1,314 L | -32.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x10ef…7d7bbacked Senshi Esports Club | 77c | 458.93$355 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.61 | 665 | 59.5%396 W · 269 L | +72.6wins | +0.11per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 62+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x515d…0340backed mCon esports | 58c | 450$261 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$261 | 346 | 58.1%201 W · 145 L | +17.1wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8d21…b3cfbacked mCon esports | 55c | 443.4$242 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$241.66 | 356 | 59%210 W · 146 L | +21.2wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed mCon esports | 58c | 401$232 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$231.93 | 192 | 59.9%115 W · 77 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1df3…9ac3backed mCon esports | 47c | 252$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.09 | 420 | 55%231 W · 189 L | +22.9wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Senshi Esports Club | 42c | 194.27$82 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.01 | 1,826 | 39.9%728 W · 1,098 L | -61.4wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xab96…989fbacked Senshi Esports Club | 42c | 183$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.14 | 244 | 34.4%84 W · 160 L | -9.1wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Senshi Esports Club | 43c | 151.13$65 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.1 | 2,938 | 44.5%1,308 W · 1,630 L | -92.3wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed mCon esports | 30c | 143.97$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.59 | 307 | 31.6%97 W · 210 L | -19.2wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked mCon esports | 56c | 134.97$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.39 | 777 | 41.7%324 W · 453 L | -27.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3e6…8532backed mCon esports | 27c | 129.63$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 161 | 42.2%68 W · 93 L | -0.8wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed mCon esports | 58c | 113$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.44 | 1,940 | 48.1%934 W · 1,006 L | +22.9wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -9.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7743…1baebacked mCon esports | 58c | 108.61$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63 | 195 | 59.5%116 W · 79 L | +12.0wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +12%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Senshi Esports Club | 20c | 100$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 2,202 | 33.3%733 W · 1,469 L | -72.4wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -21.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Senshi Esports Club | 48c | 75$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.29 | 944 | 44.4%419 W · 525 L | -31.5wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Senshi Esports Club | 61c | 69$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 1,057 | 46.1%487 W · 570 L | -11.4wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Senshi Esports Club | 47c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 1,464 | 43.4%636 W · 828 L | -32.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked mCon esports | 48c | 28.53$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.73 | 1,971 | 30.5%601 W · 1,370 L | -170.0wins | -0.09per pick | 39cpaid | -43.4%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Senshi Esports Club | 44c | 25$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 1,063 | 47.2%502 W · 561 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb877…4601backed mCon esports | 54c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.5 | 1,218 | 39.9%486 W · 732 L | -65.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Senshi Esports Club | 59c | 19.13$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.85 | 580 | 43.3%251 W · 329 L | -47.6wins | -0.08per pick | 51cpaid | -27%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- LoL: mCon esports vs Senshi Esports Club (BO3) - Road Of Legends Regular SeasonmCon esports won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.