Us Politics · resolved market
Trump announces removal of Harvard tax exempt status before July?
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcdd6f5b6e7fd5c8ae754ae43f2eef93e1f6f6092f97e6f15a540caeef0a9fd2a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Noof Yes, No
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Us Politicsevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $36,710
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $31,387
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $36,710 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Us Politics is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Us Politics | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8756…b36cbacked No | 80c | 6,348$5,059 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,288.89 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28de…a1fdbacked Yes | 20c | 6,000$1,216 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,215.5 | 32 | 21.9%7 W · 25 L | +0.5wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f86…404ebacked Yes | 3c | 2,433$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.84 | 95 | 57.9%55 W · 40 L | +9.5wins | +0.10per pick | 48cpaid | +8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Yes | 3c | 2,427$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.1 | 20 | 5%1 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 8cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5754…e515backed Yes | 17c | 1,471$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250 | 216 | 34.3%74 W · 142 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4fad…1480backed Yes | 2c | 1,318$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.96 | 398 | 9.5%38 W · 360 L | -5.1wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -62.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb46d…7093backed Yes | 11c | 1,194$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.73 | 56 | 16.1%9 W · 47 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | +20%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x768f…d08cbacked Yes | 20c | 1,000$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 106 | 32.1%34 W · 72 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadaf…f9f2backed Yes | 22c | 761$169 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$168.98 | 22 | 31.8%7 W · 15 L | -0.9wins | -0.04per pick | 36cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a6…9343backed Yes | 5c | 690.37$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 77 | 28.6%22 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -45.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x490f…17e5backed Yes | 2c | 588$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.08 | 183 | 22.4%41 W · 142 L | +3.6wins | +0.02per pick | 20cpaid | -18.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11fc…dc48backed Yes | 13c | 538.65$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.79 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -1.1wins | -0.19per pick | 35cpaid | -71.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08ca…2817backed Yes | 10c | 529.37$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.54 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 12cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x599d…6521backed Yes | 5c | 420.5$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 9 | 11.1%1 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.10per pick | 21cpaid | -58.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x45cc…6400backed No | 80c | 400$320 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.1 | 99 | 58.6%58 W · 41 L | +3.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | -8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7853…36d8backed Yes | 8c | 229.88$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.39 | 375 | 33.3%125 W · 250 L | -17.1wins | -0.05per pick | 38cpaid | -24.5%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x094e…f10bbacked Yes | 6c | 222$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.32 | 93 | 47.3%44 W · 49 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb38…90f4backed Yes | 16c | 122.41$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 7 | 14.3%1 W · 6 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 16cpaid | -17.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ff4…17d1backed Yes | 16c | 100$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 40 | 30%12 W · 28 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 30cpaid | +11.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7c3d…5c6bbacked Yes | 32c | 76.26$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.77 | 412 | 38.8%160 W · 252 L | +11.6wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x28da…b97dbacked Yes | 27c | 66$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 32 | 28.1%9 W · 23 L | +2.1wins | +0.07per pick | 22cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3b93…9ec4backed No | 77c | 60$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14 | 126 | 43.7%55 W · 71 L | +4.2wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +24.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xac69…84f2backed No | 80c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 66cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3f4f…b4b3backed No | 72c | 22.21$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.22 | 365 | 27.1%99 W · 266 L | -12.6wins | -0.03per pick | 31cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Us Politics and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.