Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon ATP (Doubles): Arevalo/Pavic vs Bublik/Kyrgios
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce1cbc1e264dadf45e5e5227a7784675d308ef9da69ac0c341ae074584dbf2cb
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Arevalo/Pavicof Arevalo/Pavic, Bublik/Kyrgios
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $4,436
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,657
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $4,436 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xac75…1319backed Arevalo/Pavic | 77c | 1,333$1,021 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$311.51 | 111 | 49.5%55 W · 56 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Bublik/Kyrgios | 23c | 1,250$293 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.5 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0b5e…61b4backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 21c | 476.19$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 374 | 44.1%165 W · 209 L | -7.5wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -15%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 79c | 471.65$373 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.52 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6e8…b293backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 14c | 395.1$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.63 | 203 | 37.9%77 W · 126 L | +6.6wins | +0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98e1…3241backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 30c | 360.75$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 59 | 35.6%21 W · 38 L | -6.5wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -28.8%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 18c | 230.42$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.97 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5a99…d29fbacked Bublik/Kyrgios | 21c | 137.38$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.85 | 306 | 42.2%129 W · 177 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5ad8…43e2backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 21c | 100$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 185 | 41.1%76 W · 109 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8bf9…8292backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 23c | 82.65$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.01 | 588 | 57.7%339 W · 249 L | +20.2wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9bc5…908abacked Bublik/Kyrgios | 28c | 80$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 587 | 53.7%315 W · 272 L | -10.8wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e52…91d6backed Arevalo/Pavic | 72c | 78.26$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.94 | 350 | 32.3%113 W · 237 L | -9.8wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0180…b8cdbacked Bublik/Kyrgios | 29c | 75.83$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.79 | 482 | 42.5%205 W · 277 L | -18.7wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa726…a135backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 23c | 70.9$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.23per pick | 23cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f9e…8810backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 17c | 62.98$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.71 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.17per pick | 17cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Arevalo/Pavic | 75c | 60.36$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.26 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a56…b959backed Bublik/Kyrgios | 20c | 50$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.4wins | -0.18per pick | 18cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Arevalo/Pavic | 78c | 37.05$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4836…859bbacked Arevalo/Pavic | 80c | 33.28$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.66 | 678 | 48.4%328 W · 350 L | -8.7wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked Arevalo/Pavic | 76c | 31.9$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.67 | 745 | 47.4%353 W · 392 L | -28.6wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -17%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x061a…5a89backed Arevalo/Pavic | 51c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.8 | 521 | 57%297 W · 224 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda59…6630backed Arevalo/Pavic | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2.5 | 35 | 65.7%23 W · 12 L | -1.7wins | -0.05per pick | 71cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.