Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Lamar Cardinals vs. Nicholls Colonels
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce8edbfba5deee3ca41e581d0f4cbbb44081a0dd14a2e13ea2449b38bf8651ea
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lamar Cardinalsof Lamar Cardinals, Nicholls Colonels
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,206
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $16,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,206 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Nicholls Colonels | 7c | 2,705$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.35 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x40e2…b0a7backed Nicholls Colonels | 7c | 1,230$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.08 | 79 | 65.8%52 W · 27 L | +8.9wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +9.9%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Nicholls Colonels | 67c | 817.13$545 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$544.89 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Lamar Cardinals | 30c | 797.6$242 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$555.4 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf588…2b81backed Nicholls Colonels | 69c | 475.13$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$329.53 | 2,124 | 50.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L | +40.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x742f…d673backed Lamar Cardinals | 33c | 330$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$222.36 | 449 | 55.2%248 W · 201 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Lamar Cardinals | 34c | 198.53$67 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$131.78 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Nicholls Colonels | 69c | 167.12$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$115.32 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Lamar Cardinals | 31c | 111$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.41 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Nicholls Colonels | 67c | 105.85$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.33 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Lamar Cardinals | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Lamar Cardinals | 35c | 61.9$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.24 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Lamar Cardinals | 50c | 59.88$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.18 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lamar Cardinals | 34c | 57.63$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.99 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2c1a…42d8backed Nicholls Colonels | 46c | 54.88$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 66 | 36.4%24 W · 42 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Nicholls Colonels | 70c | 47$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.9 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2dc4…0c92backed Nicholls Colonels | 65c | 46.49$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.22 | 990 | 45.6%451 W · 539 L | +9.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Lamar Cardinals | 32c | 45$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Lamar Cardinals | 35c | 43.6$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.34 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Lamar Cardinals | 33c | 36$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.12 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9ad…44febacked Nicholls Colonels | 65c | 25$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.25 | 101 | 51.5%52 W · 49 L | -2.1wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Lamar Cardinals vs. Nicholls Colonelsthis page
- Spread: Nicholls Colonels (-2.5)Lamar Cardinals won
- Spread: Nicholls Colonels (-4.5)Lamar Cardinals won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.