Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Dartmouth Big Green vs. Columbia Lions
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xce9127a8975370ff2595db098d65dd445608638ef80c48d80d86df0ec71747d3
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Columbia Lionsof Dartmouth Big Green, Columbia Lions
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $14,503
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,307
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $14,503 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 41c | 2,172$890 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$890.48 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Columbia Lions | 44c | 2,134$935 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,198.52 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x19a0…ac39backed Columbia Lions | 77c | 1,495$1,144 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$351.14 | 186 | 54.3%101 W · 85 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0370…d000backed Dartmouth Big Green | 2c | 1,249$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.09 | 940 | 36.9%347 W · 593 L | +8.6wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaea0…0decbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 51c | 973$493 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492.86 | 252 | 46.4%117 W · 135 L | -4.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde04…fa37backed Dartmouth Big Green | 23c | 900$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210.15 | 2,254 | 42.2%951 W · 1,303 L | +3.4wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5f19…ec51backed Dartmouth Big Green | 54c | 870$473 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$472.65 | 220 | 50.5%111 W · 109 L | +5.8wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a8e…b505backed Columbia Lions | 51c | 583.12$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$286.95 | 480 | 51%245 W · 235 L | -6.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6a72…f81dbacked Columbia Lions | 60c | 526.5$318 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$208.27 | 870 | 47.2%411 W · 459 L | -23.9wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -21%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 62c | 356.14$219 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$219.14 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc091…3d42backed Dartmouth Big Green | 56c | 241.17$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 722 | 48.8%352 W · 370 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcdb8…abbebacked Dartmouth Big Green | 29c | 221.41$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.08 | 1,983 | 26.4%523 W · 1,460 L | -55.5wins | -0.03per pick | 29cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Columbia Lions | 54c | 204.2$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.22 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 126.31$61 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60.63 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed Dartmouth Big Green | 22c | 116.44$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.63 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xafba…a754backed Dartmouth Big Green | 47c | 108.55$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.02 | 15 | 33.3%5 W · 10 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 33cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Columbia Lions | 56c | 107.51$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.51 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Columbia Lions | 42c | 103.93$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.79 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Columbia Lions | 60c | 93.32$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.99 | 1,985 | 64.1%1,273 W · 712 L | +144.2wins | +0.07per pick | 57cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Columbia Lions | 52c | 91$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.68 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Columbia Lions | 53c | 90$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.4 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4bc…963cbacked Columbia Lions | 67c | 87$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.37 | 58 | 69%40 W · 18 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9280…99b4backed Dartmouth Big Green | 59c | 83$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$48.97 | 46 | 41.3%19 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.08per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Columbia Lions | 53c | 81.28$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.2 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Dartmouth Big Green | 48c | 75$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 225 | 52.9%119 W · 106 L | +6.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53c2…9970backed Dartmouth Big Green | 24c | 69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.63 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -45.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccf1…25a0backed Columbia Lions | 52c | 58.47$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.88 | 441 | 46.5%205 W · 236 L | +7.5wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Dartmouth Big Green | 46c | 50$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23 | 2,194 | 33.4%733 W · 1,461 L | +19.2wins | +0.01per pick | 33cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xec6c…23c7backed Columbia Lions | 55c | 45$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.35 | 383 | 43.6%167 W · 216 L | -3.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Dartmouth Big Green | 56c | 43.69$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.51 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Dartmouth Big Green | 56c | 31.98$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.82 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1981…3867backed Columbia Lions | 75c | 30.47$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.47 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 70cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Columbia Lions | 67c | 15$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.95 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dartmouth Big Green vs. Columbia Lionsthis page
- Spread: Columbia Lions (-1.5)Columbia Lions won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.