TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southern Illinois Salukis vs. Richmond Spiders

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Richmond Spidersof Southern Illinois Salukis, Richmond Spiders
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$21,681
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$22,444

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,681 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe60a…6a47backed Richmond Spiders64c4,232$2,710 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,522.212,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis37c2,790$1,041 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,041.4312,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Southern Illinois Salukis8c2,163$176 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$175.962,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x7d5c…0182backed Richmond Spiders62c2,144$1,329 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$814.78749.4%43 W · 44 L-0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid-2.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb13d…2e90backed Southern Illinois Salukis39c1,761$687 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$686.5855657.4%319 W · 237 L+20.3wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+3.2%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Southern Illinois Salukis11c1,110$126 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$125.981,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x29c0…efaabacked Southern Illinois Salukis37c941.59$344 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$344.281,39144.1%613 W · 778 L-10.6wins-0.01per pick45cpaid-7.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x2652…2a1dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis37c845.64$316 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$316.434,84852.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L+139.2wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xea81…eeaebacked Southern Illinois Salukis31c739.2$230 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$229.681,22727.8%341 W · 886 L-0.9wins0.00per pick28cpaid-10.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Southern Illinois Salukis20c615.01$125 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$124.864,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf41a…ea2bbacked Richmond Spiders63c500$317 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1832,68748.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L+4.8wins0.00per pick48cpaid-0.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x24db…1332backed Southern Illinois Salukis22c408.86$90 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$89.9513219.7%26 W · 106 L-8.0wins-0.06per pick26cpaid-32.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Southern Illinois Salukis4c383.52$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$16.811,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd397…5052backed Richmond Spiders60c333.33$200 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$133.3310757.9%62 W · 45 L-3.5wins-0.03per pick61cpaid-3%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9c4d…168cbacked Southern Illinois Salukis37c300$111 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$110.8329444.6%131 W · 163 L+8.7wins+0.03per pick42cpaid+8.5%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xb709…05c9backed Southern Illinois Salukis17c298.47$51 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$50.74714.3%1 W · 6 L-0.7wins-0.11per pick25cpaid-75.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Southern Illinois Salukis30c264.45$80 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.845,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd7e5…fe31backed Southern Illinois Salukis8c250$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19954.2%4 W · 91 L-7.0wins-0.07per pick12cpaid-86%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Southern Illinois Salukis37c224.44$83 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$82.532,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x004e…90f8backed Richmond Spiders47c223.4$105 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.419237%71 W · 121 L+0.1wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc7f7…2abfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis35c220$77 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7752928.4%150 W · 379 L-9.2wins-0.02per pick30cpaid-10.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x0e88…f3c9backed Southern Illinois Salukis31c213.63$66 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$65.959729.9%29 W · 68 L-1.8wins-0.02per pick32cpaid-24.5%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Richmond Spiders63c208$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$77.525,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xc3ec…e987backed Richmond Spiders65c200$130 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7019238.5%74 W · 118 L-3.1wins-0.02per pick40cpaid-3.7%equal weight48-0.01 edge/pick
0x97c3…b479backed Southern Illinois Salukis29c188.75$55 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$54.5212840.6%52 W · 76 L-11.4wins-0.09per pick50cpaid-23.3%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Southern Illinois Salukis35c174.16$60 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$60.371,48743%639 W · 848 L+50.8wins+0.03per pick40cpaid+11.8%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x83c9…bacfbacked Southern Illinois Salukis25c171.84$42 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$42.262737%10 W · 17 L-0.2wins-0.01per pick38cpaid-18.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa856…3964backed Richmond Spiders74c156.08$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.913100%3 W · 0 L+0.8wins+0.27per pick73cpaid+36.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xfd08…0635backed Richmond Spiders59c150$88 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$61.57864.1%50 W · 28 L+3.3wins+0.04per pick60cpaid+3.4%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x79cb…331ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis9c139$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.293993.3%13 W · 386 L-21.0wins-0.05per pick9cpaid-89.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x0f8e…3082backed Southern Illinois Salukis10c128$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.83,68442.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L+32.6wins+0.01per pick42cpaid-5.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa00f…8e56backed Richmond Spiders64c121.36$78 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.6573549.1%361 W · 374 L-14.6wins-0.02per pick51cpaid-13.3%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc07d…5bd8backed Southern Illinois Salukis33c111.47$36 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.323158.1%18 W · 13 L+3.9wins+0.13per pick45cpaid+38.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0x0362…449ebacked Southern Illinois Salukis40c100$40 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$4025438.2%97 W · 157 L-14.3wins-0.06per pick44cpaid-18.9%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x7b2c…af48backed Richmond Spiders64c100$64 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3635243.2%152 W · 200 L-11.1wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa72e…3db9backed Richmond Spiders50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$508643%37 W · 49 L+5.1wins+0.06per pick37cpaid+6.4%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0x0ed4…4547backed Richmond Spiders65c100$65 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$352972.4%21 W · 8 L+6.5wins+0.22per pick50cpaid+84.9%equal weight63+0.12 edge/pick
0x7c16…39c7backed Richmond Spiders42c95.26$40 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$55.11450%2 W · 2 L-0.5wins-0.12per pick62cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x89f3…dfffbacked Richmond Spiders64c87$55 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$31.621,17325.2%296 W · 877 L-43.0wins-0.04per pick29cpaid-21.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x486e…62c7backed Southern Illinois Salukis23c65.22$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1530%0 W · 3 L-1.2wins-0.41per pick41cpaid-100%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Southern Illinois Salukis36c54$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$19.442,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x8e8c…c206backed Southern Illinois Salukis41c51.22$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$211136.4%4 W · 7 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick39cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe6e2…4693backed Southern Illinois Salukis28c41.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.64540%2 W · 3 L-0.2wins-0.03per pick43cpaid-26.8%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf90c…f49cbacked Richmond Spiders66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.31346.2%6 W · 7 L-2.6wins-0.20per pick66cpaid-31%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x74f4…d0f6backed Richmond Spiders66c30.3$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$10.3862.5%5 W · 3 L-0.3wins-0.04per pick67cpaid-10%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd185…e40bbacked Richmond Spiders74c25.9$19 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$6.73650%3 W · 3 L-1.0wins-0.16per pick66cpaid-30.1%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x23fe…9788backed Richmond Spiders64c20.79$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$7.5810037%37 W · 63 L-8.6wins-0.09per pick46cpaid-30.6%equal weight42-0.07 edge/pick
0x0679…e5aabacked Richmond Spiders73c20$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.42568%17 W · 8 L+1.3wins+0.05per pick63cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.