TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Denver Pioneers vs. Oral Roberts Golden Eagles: O/U 155.5

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Overof Over, Under
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$39,080
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$39,061

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $39,080 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x2537…bff9backed Over51c24,265$12,461 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,804.2144452.7%234 W · 210 L+6.7wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x1341…0853backed Under49c15,000$7,350 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$7,349.9724748.2%119 W · 128 L-5.4wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-5.6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc949…fa93backed Over53c10,330$5,471 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4,859.1818548.6%90 W · 95 L-4.6wins-0.03per pick51cpaid-4.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf68a…5b1bbacked Under47c7,528$3,538 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3,538.2190645.4%411 W · 495 L+9.9wins+0.01per pick44cpaid+3.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefde…6505backed Under49c4,146$2,020 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2,019.9892246%424 W · 498 L+1.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+2.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x6e12…20e9backed Under48c3,056$1,467 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,467.074245.2%19 W · 23 L-1.2wins-0.03per pick48cpaid+0.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd4da…3175backed Under48c2,012$966 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$965.8989850%449 W · 449 L+7.1wins+0.01per pick49cpaid0%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x842a…7422backed Under47c1,902$894 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$894.0535147.6%167 W · 184 L-9.7wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-6%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xdbf7…06acbacked Over52c1,185$618 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$567.1627350.5%138 W · 135 L-4.7wins-0.02per pick52cpaid-3.4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf606…440abacked Under48c991.26$476 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$475.8118349.2%90 W · 93 L+2.5wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xefce…4e4abacked Over51c583.09$297 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$285.7134746.1%160 W · 187 L-11.7wins-0.03per pick49cpaid-6.5%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xbc1e…8972backed Under48c499.98$240 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$239.996939.1%27 W · 42 L-7.7wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-20.8%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0x14e4…eabbbacked Under48c495.63$238 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$237.958652.9%310 W · 276 L+23.3wins+0.04per pick49cpaid+9.9%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x44f0…432cbacked Under48c453.01$217 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$217.4475447.1%355 W · 399 L+13.2wins+0.02per pick45cpaid-0.4%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa578…6702backed Under48c413.36$198 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$198.4178052.2%407 W · 373 L+19.1wins+0.02per pick50cpaid+6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x24ca…5829backed Over51c335.91$172 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$163.7615551.6%80 W · 75 L+4.6wins+0.03per pick49cpaid+11.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x0640…1cd6backed Under51c285.71$146 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$145.715759.6%34 W · 23 L+4.3wins+0.08per pick52cpaid+15.4%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xde04…fa37backed Over49c256.27$125 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$130.882,25442.2%951 W · 1,303 L+3.4wins0.00per pick42cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc1b5…c8f8backed Under48c165.21$79 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$79.330853.2%164 W · 144 L-0.1wins0.00per pick53cpaid+0.2%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed Under48c93.18$45 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.95,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0xd3d1…bbe5backed Over52c89.21$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.821100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.48per pick52cpaid+92.3%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x5210…2037backed Over52c88.95$46 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$42.975350.9%27 W · 26 L+0.2wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdc86…7e77backed Under51c74.55$38 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$37.7319848%95 W · 103 L-4.8wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x80d8…b703backed Under47c63.23$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$29.721,29645.1%584 W · 712 L-23.9wins-0.02per pick47cpaid-6%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x51eb…6bfabacked Over53c56.23$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.4931057.4%178 W · 132 L+11.6wins+0.04per pick54cpaid+6.9%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x2cec…5326backed Over47c50$24 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$26.585248.8%416 W · 436 L+4.4wins+0.01per pick48cpaid+1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xf01e…aed4backed Under48c49.56$24 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$23.798646.5%40 W · 46 L0.0wins0.00per pick46cpaid+3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9f4b…221dbacked Over52c26.88$14 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$131662.5%10 W · 6 L+1.5wins+0.10per pick53cpaid+24.5%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Over47c21.6$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.453,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.