La Liga · resolved market
Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcec979ad748ea53952bd2a2eebc69c8dace2b6de1db8d6479bb880551ed92ad6
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $16,120
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $20,717
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $16,120 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Under | 39c | 1,709$661 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$660.82 | 923 | 45.5%420 W · 503 L | -30.4wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc2fb…610cbacked Under | 60c | 1,643$986 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$985.76 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Under | 15c | 1,542$229 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$229.16 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Under | 66c | 1,499$989 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$989.47 | 834 | 44.6%372 W · 462 L | +14.9wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +7.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x74d0…de45backed Over | 43c | 677.89$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$388.52 | 53 | 39.6%21 W · 32 L | -2.3wins | -0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Over | 59c | 582.28$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237.01 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7ea5…de7bbacked Over | 40c | 425.29$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.29 | 2,343 | 48.5%1,137 W · 1,206 L | +1.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1966…da9ebacked Under | 61c | 299.94$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 66 | 57.6%38 W · 28 L | +7.8wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +28.1%equal weight | 59+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf26f…8f93backed Under | 9c | 242.8$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.2 | 96 | 11.5%11 W · 85 L | -1.8wins | -0.02per pick | 13cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85d8…3cbebacked Over | 41c | 235.27$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$138.81 | 229 | 39.3%90 W · 139 L | -12.2wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28dc…a1f2backed Under | 58c | 210.76$122 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.18 | 115 | 66.1%76 W · 39 L | +13.9wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +36.9%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Over | 41c | 202.42$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.77 | 243 | 44.4%108 W · 135 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29b7…48d4backed Over | 41c | 197.63$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$116.6 | 70 | 31.4%22 W · 48 L | +4.0wins | +0.06per pick | 26cpaid | +23.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d1d…afd2backed Over | 40c | 187.42$76 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$111.79 | 403 | 57.1%230 W · 173 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6835…1976backed Under | 57c | 180$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 342 | 52%178 W · 164 L | +7.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe612…ee20backed Over | 69c | 127.94$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.66 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xba67…4727backed Under | 60c | 116$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.6 | 280 | 45.4%127 W · 153 L | -11.1wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf9b5…1212backed Over | 66c | 102.41$68 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.82 | 97 | 40.2%39 W · 58 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0040…9eb8backed Over | 66c | 100$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34 | 186 | 56.5%105 W · 81 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc454…8c31backed Under | 15c | 98.76$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.81 | 13 | 7.7%1 W · 12 L | -1.1wins | -0.08per pick | 16cpaid | -46%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcc11…c87bbacked Under | 60c | 97.6$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.56 | 54 | 61.1%33 W · 21 L | +1.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ba…4028backed Over | 39c | 96.34$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.77 | 627 | 44.3%278 W · 349 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x43f5…40d0backed Under | 59c | 63.11$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.23 | 18 | 33.3%6 W · 12 L | -4.6wins | -0.26per pick | 59cpaid | -42.2%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xc95b…f819backed Over | 44c | 52.71$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.52 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Under | 27c | 51.68$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.76 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6553…6336backed Under | 61c | 40.02$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.42 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.61per pick | 61cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93bc…7f72backed Under | 56c | 40$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.4 | 36 | 66.7%24 W · 12 L | +2.1wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb83…1e50backed Over | 40c | 36.3$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.69 | 684 | 50.6%346 W · 338 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1e9b…829ebacked Over | 39c | 33.27$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.3 | 193 | 45.1%87 W · 106 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1792…118abacked Over | 70c | 28.57$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.57 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +8.6wins | +0.05per pick | 57cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf788…6f86backed Over | 79c | 25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | -7.2wins | -0.07per pick | 68cpaid | -10%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd5bb…0fe1backed Over | 42c | 24.66$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 224 | 56.3%126 W · 98 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 57cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd443…5f71backed Under | 56c | 24.12$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.51 | 89 | 60.7%54 W · 35 L | +2.7wins | +0.03per pick | 58cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8968…c3c1backed Under | 56c | 20.12$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.32 | 90 | 54.4%49 W · 41 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc351…8ce7backed Under | 59c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.8 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.59per pick | 59cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Under | 59c | 19.56$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.54 | 129 | 58.1%75 W · 54 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xae45…96b9backed Under | 61c | 17.58$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.72 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +1.0wins | +0.13per pick | 50cpaid | +45.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2d6a…8addbacked Under | 59c | 17.44$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.29 | 754 | 51.2%386 W · 368 L | +3.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f28…d173backed Under | 67c | 16.66$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.16 | 60 | 60%36 W · 24 L | -0.4wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)SD Eibar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.