La Liga · resolved market
Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x43ebd489e028931a9d2f52bcd83f62865d393256d8ac19782ae1d6d60f0e9e0c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SD Eibarof SD Eibar, Albacete Balompié
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- La Ligaevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,714
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,266
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,714 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 16 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in La Liga is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in La Liga | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x594e…1c11backed Albacete Balompié | 42c | 380.97$159 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$159.42 | 8 | 75%6 W · 2 L | +2.7wins | +0.34per pick | 41cpaid | +102.1%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x0947…d735backed SD Eibar | 57c | 288.03$165 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.87 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -12.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x97bd…c4b7backed SD Eibar | 58c | 173.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.03 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa233…dfe8backed SD Eibar | 30c | 154.66$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$107.77 | 23 | 47.8%11 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed SD Eibar | 18c | 103.79$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.04 | 4,740 | 47%2,230 W · 2,510 L | -23.9wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd035…f165backed Albacete Balompié | 63c | 99.51$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.57 | 82 | 29.3%24 W · 58 L | -4.0wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked SD Eibar | 28c | 93.74$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.92 | 3,449 | 43%1,484 W · 1,965 L | +32.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c9…b768backed SD Eibar | 58c | 76.91$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.3 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.32per pick | 66cpaid | -42.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x77bc…b91bbacked Albacete Balompié | 72c | 55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.85 | 1,655 | 43.8%725 W · 930 L | -22.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8fe7…6c1fbacked Albacete Balompié | 45c | 51.46$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.39 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfbb5…2b6abacked SD Eibar | 21c | 49.9$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.42 | 227 | 29.1%66 W · 161 L | +8.7wins | +0.04per pick | 25cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53db…480ebacked Albacete Balompié | 44c | 47.96$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.1 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -1.0wins | -0.33per pick | 66cpaid | -58.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x46dc…92c3backed SD Eibar | 58c | 34.43$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.5 | 37 | 51.4%19 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd360…c548backed SD Eibar | 58c | 20.94$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.42per pick | 58cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa439…9ed6backed SD Eibar | 51c | 20.81$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.49per pick | 51cpaid | +96.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9422…f273backed Albacete Balompié | 77c | 14.26$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -36.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in La Liga and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 8 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SD Eibar (-2.5)this page
- Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: Both Teams to ScoreNo won
- Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 1.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 2.5Over won
- Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 3.5Under won
- Albacete Balompié vs. SD Eibar: O/U 4.5Under won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-1.5)SD Eibar won
- Spread: Albacete Balompié (-2.5)SD Eibar won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.