TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Lehigh Mountain Hawks vs. Lafayette Leopards

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Lehigh Mountain Hawksof Lehigh Mountain Hawks, Lafayette Leopards
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$34,959
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$35,464

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $34,959 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0x507e…beaebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks47c21,887$10,264 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11,623.315,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x7b47…d615backed Lafayette Leopards53c11,854$6,342 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$6,341.5174051.5%381 W · 359 L+5.6wins+0.01per pick51cpaid+1.2%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x339a…1eaebacked Lafayette Leopards53c3,160$1,675 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,674.848855.1%269 W · 219 L+17.8wins+0.04per pick51cpaid+7.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed Lafayette Leopards30c3,022$900 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$899.911,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xa1a9…e22ebacked Lafayette Leopards52c2,988$1,554 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,553.7637441.7%156 W · 218 L+4.6wins+0.01per pick40cpaid+4.7%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x7aa8…56dbbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks46c2,023$920 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,102.461,05855.8%590 W · 468 L+34.2wins+0.03per pick53cpaid-2.3%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed Lafayette Leopards48c1,069$516 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$515.653,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xa4e8…6300backed Lafayette Leopards52c800$416 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$415.91838.9%7 W · 11 L-4.1wins-0.23per pick62cpaid-37.1%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x94fa…989ebacked Lafayette Leopards52c788.04$411 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$410.5681453.1%432 W · 382 L-4.1wins-0.01per pick54cpaid+3.5%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x9405…c071backed Lafayette Leopards52c718.51$374 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$373.6344549.4%220 W · 225 L-14.3wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Lafayette Leopards55c562.19$312 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$311.781,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xd218…b5c9backed Lafayette Leopards54c505.5$273 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$272.972,55541.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L-15.9wins-0.01per pick42cpaid-20.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks46c466.96$213 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$253.5712,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x0c9e…bba8backed Lafayette Leopards37c453$167 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$166.6714643.2%63 W · 83 L-3.9wins-0.03per pick46cpaid-21.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x781c…db68backed Lafayette Leopards9c390$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.911,42043.9%623 W · 797 L+8.4wins+0.01per pick43cpaid-18.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Lafayette Leopards6c277.08$17 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.434,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcdb8…abbebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks28c266$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$191.521,98326.4%523 W · 1,460 L-55.5wins-0.03per pick29cpaid-12%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xad13…d3abbacked Lafayette Leopards9c265.63$23 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$22.9220234.2%69 W · 133 L+1.4wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-4.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Lafayette Leopards54c262.22$141 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$140.542,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks58c251.47$146 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$105.7268254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks48c200$96 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1042,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x4650…f3f0backed Lafayette Leopards55c181$100 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.5522157.9%128 W · 93 L+12.6wins+0.06per pick52cpaid+9.8%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xe6a5…e95dbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks56c178.57$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$78.5740252.7%212 W · 190 L-9.1wins-0.02per pick55cpaid-3.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Lafayette Leopards29c155$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$44.411,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xa559…6dbbbacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks44c132.87$58 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.9571655.3%396 W · 320 L+26.0wins+0.04per pick52cpaid+0.6%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Lafayette Leopards53c127.41$68 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$67.5599045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xd727…eccebacked Lehigh Mountain Hawks48c100$48 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$521,31733.6%443 W · 874 L+14.9wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-1%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xada5…db70backed Lafayette Leopards53c83$44 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$43.5837947.8%181 W · 198 L-26.2wins-0.07per pick55cpaid-17.8%equal weight43-0.06 edge/pick
0xa4bd…e8a2backed Lafayette Leopards50c77.76$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$38.551,98564.1%1,273 W · 712 L+144.2wins+0.07per pick57cpaid+7.3%equal weight58+0.07 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks36c76.7$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$48.743,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd038…8f51backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks46c60.81$28 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.0520248%97 W · 105 L-9.8wins-0.05per pick53cpaid-14.4%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x4e8f…1f83backed Lafayette Leopards57c50$29 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.564658.8%380 W · 266 L-3.6wins-0.01per pick59cpaid+1.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks30c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$3552353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks45c50$23 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$27.521449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Lafayette Leopards53c47.17$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2539050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xef2e…8d89backed Lafayette Leopards54c46.3$25 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$2549849.6%247 W · 251 L-3.9wins-0.01per pick50cpaid-1.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked Lafayette Leopards70c40.3$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$28.181,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x1d94…9100backed Lafayette Leopards52c26.25$14 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.652,04832.7%670 W · 1,378 L-16.2wins-0.01per pick34cpaid-9.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x44b6…98b4backed Lafayette Leopards68c25.72$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.613845.7%63 W · 75 L+1.7wins+0.01per pick44cpaid-2.3%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x3cbc…3b01backed Lehigh Mountain Hawks48c22.36$11 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.633046.7%14 W · 16 L-1.7wins-0.06per pick52cpaid-11.9%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x9d70…fdd9backed Lafayette Leopards56c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.393247.3%441 W · 491 L-22.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-12.8%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xe315…3911backed Lafayette Leopards57c18.01$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.3521651.4%111 W · 105 L-2.9wins-0.01per pick53cpaid-3.2%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xf965…9e79backed Lafayette Leopards80c13.02$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.421060%6 W · 4 L-0.3wins-0.03per pick63cpaid-7.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.