Tennis · resolved market
ITF Aldershot: Charlie Robertson vs Alex Rybakov
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf20192ca6cabd4f3009f05621e76e3b1063b814b9e3556a38f1fcdab4e0b037
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Charlie Robertsonof Charlie Robertson, Alex Rybakov
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,816
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,988
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,816 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Alex Rybakov | 65c | 4,267$2,776 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,775.9 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Charlie Robertson | 33c | 1,617$534 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,083.47 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7462…3ac3backed Charlie Robertson | 31c | 1,035$325 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$709.9 | 1,681 | 50%841 W · 840 L | +30.2wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +13%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf2bb…3250backed Charlie Robertson | 33c | 692.15$228 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.74 | 244 | 52.5%128 W · 116 L | +9.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +13.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d3c…d294backed Charlie Robertson | 42c | 462.52$194 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268.76 | 2,375 | 51.1%1,213 W · 1,162 L | +8.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2d67…3667backed Alex Rybakov | 69c | 379.36$262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$262.48 | 705 | 37.6%265 W · 440 L | -37.4wins | -0.05per pick | 43cpaid | -27.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x42e9…80c7backed Charlie Robertson | 32c | 328.84$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.84 | 183 | 43.7%80 W · 103 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2f…9123backed Charlie Robertson | 33c | 151.52$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101.52 | 316 | 56.3%178 W · 138 L | +19.8wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +15.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Charlie Robertson | 39c | 135.9$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.9 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Charlie Robertson | 39c | 130.77$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.77 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4732…f40dbacked Alex Rybakov | 70c | 120.21$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.83 | 235 | 30.2%71 W · 164 L | -13.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -32.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…c3bdbacked Charlie Robertson | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 923 | 52.5%485 W · 438 L | +10.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f34…ed6abacked Charlie Robertson | 47c | 100$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53 | 397 | 51.4%204 W · 193 L | +4.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Charlie Robertson | 33c | 82.07$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.99 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Charlie Robertson | 29c | 67.84$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.92 | 6,720 | 36.9%2,479 W · 4,241 L | -95.8wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Alex Rybakov | 36c | 60$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.6 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ca9…424abacked Alex Rybakov | 32c | 59$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.89 | 1,710 | 53.7%918 W · 792 L | +30.7wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Alex Rybakov | 79c | 55.85$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.12 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01af…7bc2backed Charlie Robertson | 42c | 47.6$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.61 | 215 | 36.7%79 W · 136 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Charlie Robertson | 36c | 41.67$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.67 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb663…f135backed Charlie Robertson | 39c | 38.46$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.46 | 563 | 37.3%210 W · 353 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Charlie Robertson | 53c | 37.55$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.65 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x885f…8ed9backed Alex Rybakov | 58c | 37.5$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.75 | 111 | 44.1%49 W · 62 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0f25…e9a5backed Alex Rybakov | 70c | 34.28$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 34 | 58.8%20 W · 14 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 44cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Charlie Robertson | 48c | 30$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.55 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x39b2…157cbacked Charlie Robertson | 49c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.75 | 215 | 54%116 W · 99 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x655b…ec8bbacked Charlie Robertson | 48c | 25$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13 | 56 | 66.1%37 W · 19 L | +5.3wins | +0.09per pick | 57cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Charlie Robertson | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 2,082 | 52.3%1,088 W · 994 L | +19.0wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked Charlie Robertson | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,175 | 52.9%622 W · 553 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Charlie Robertson | 64c | 20$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.2 | 1,767 | 52.1%920 W · 847 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8859…22c0backed Alex Rybakov | 73c | 20$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.6 | 15 | 73.3%11 W · 4 L | +0.9wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Alex Rybakov | 74c | 15.25$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.3 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fc0…ee45backed Alex Rybakov | 80c | 12.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 76 | 59.2%45 W · 31 L | -5.2wins | -0.07per pick | 66cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.