Tennis · resolved market
ITF Sao Paulo: Matias Soto vs Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf291b7242f008007f3950ee83e0957cada2162ad7ee9f0ce5affb7d31ecd2ce
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alvesof Matias Soto, Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $6,764
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,445
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $6,764 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 33 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8a3a…eb9abacked Matias Soto | 41c | 3,810$1,551 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,550.9 | 254 | 53.1%135 W · 119 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 59c | 2,498$1,474 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,024.25 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 60c | 806.68$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.51 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 71c | 343.11$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$98.12 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7b20…8eafbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 63c | 319.75$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.59 | 97 | 61.9%60 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.06per pick | 56cpaid | +14.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Matias Soto | 32c | 301.62$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$96.78 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2b35…0bfebacked Matias Soto | 37c | 204.76$76 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.76 | 1,541 | 49.2%758 W · 783 L | +16.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 73c | 178.54$131 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.84 | 1,111 | 45.3%503 W · 608 L | -35.7wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -12.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xcfe2…697abacked Matias Soto | 31c | 100.69$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.21 | 120 | 29.2%35 W · 85 L | -5.8wins | -0.05per pick | 34cpaid | -12.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 63c | 79.37$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.37 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd169…8ff6backed Matias Soto | 33c | 76.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 284 | 37.3%106 W · 178 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 74c | 67.57$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.57 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcd96…11a3backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 63c | 63.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.49 | 2,274 | 58%1,318 W · 956 L | -10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x583c…86c0backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 64c | 62.95$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.66 | 90 | 38.9%35 W · 55 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +9.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 59c | 62.72$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.72 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 71c | 61.89$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.68 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9755…ab85backed Matias Soto | 38c | 51.03$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 358 | 51.7%185 W · 173 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.62 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0dff…bb1ebacked Matias Soto | 38c | 42.47$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.14 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | -2.0wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -44.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Matias Soto | 37c | 41.24$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.26 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x042d…0b81backed Matias Soto | 37c | 40$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.8 | 186 | 66.7%124 W · 62 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Matias Soto | 27c | 37.57$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.13 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 63c | 35.33$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.07 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6d10…b3d0backed Matias Soto | 38c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 821 | 59.4%488 W · 333 L | +3.8wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1a6a…56bdbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 61c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.64 | 603 | 41.1%248 W · 355 L | -26.8wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -11.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 63c | 31$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 1,794 | 60.2%1,080 W · 714 L | +6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 74c | 25.68$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.68 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x747f…f2d7backed Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 60c | 21.08$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.43 | 901 | 52.3%471 W · 430 L | -2.6wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Felipe Meligeni Rodrigues Alves | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.55 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.