Tennis · resolved market
Asuncion: Franco Roncadelli vs Joao Lucas Da Silva
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf2e79fa871cd0889042f634f96a2f45fd7d2bc3325bbb79ef446f91cd316dd2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Franco Roncadelliof Franco Roncadelli, Joao Lucas Da Silva
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $21,334
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $21,334 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 58 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3b5c…126ebacked Franco Roncadelli | 72c | 2,964$2,122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$841.65 | 809 | 38.8%314 W · 495 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7dca…72a5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 65c | 2,308$1,490 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,489.99 | 208 | 47.1%98 W · 110 L | -3.6wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 36c | 1,500$535 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Franco Roncadelli | 56c | 1,031$581 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.51 | 2,865 | 44.3%1,269 W · 1,596 L | +6.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -20.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1eaf…9bf0backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 78c | 1,000$780 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$780 | 567 | 57.1%324 W · 243 L | +13.3wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8bc2…4c80backed Franco Roncadelli | 58c | 753.09$434 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$319.09 | 464 | 73.3%340 W · 124 L | +27.0wins | +0.06per pick | 67cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 45c | 703.21$318 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$317.97 | 7,018 | 43.2%3,031 W · 3,987 L | +124.9wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 677.99$400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$400.02 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 571$224 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$347.1 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Franco Roncadelli | 57c | 519.24$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$223.46 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3dcf…4eb4backed Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 512.82$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$312.82 | 530 | 58.1%308 W · 222 L | +15.8wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf93f…f94bbacked Franco Roncadelli | 42c | 500$210 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290 | 83 | 37.3%31 W · 52 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 47c | 466.51$218 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$218.24 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Franco Roncadelli | 51c | 447.38$226 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$221.01 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 68c | 431.78$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.46 | 2,489 | 45.2%1,126 W · 1,363 L | -27.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -21.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Franco Roncadelli | 51c | 392.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192.16 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 34c | 391.95$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.9 | 3,072 | 44.9%1,378 W · 1,694 L | -30.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -23%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8d63…8b8cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 391.43$137 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$254.43 | 31 | 54.8%17 W · 14 L | +4.1wins | +0.13per pick | 42cpaid | +34.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 44c | 338.19$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.96 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb9cb…973dbacked Franco Roncadelli | 44c | 325.58$145 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$180.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +17.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6b17…03b2backed Franco Roncadelli | 42c | 290.26$122 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$168.56 | 246 | 37.4%92 W · 154 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 269.34$106 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$163.01 | 1,265 | 29.2%370 W · 895 L | -13.3wins | -0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddf4…d0cfbacked Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 257.14$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$167.14 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +2.2wins | +0.13per pick | 34cpaid | +28.6%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 62c | 244.88$152 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$152.22 | 1,809 | 43.8%793 W · 1,016 L | -2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x223f…2050backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 51c | 231.24$118 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.18 | 507 | 31.2%158 W · 349 L | -41.2wins | -0.08per pick | 39cpaid | -36.4%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 217$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$132.37 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc480…937abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 49c | 204.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 519 | 33.1%172 W · 347 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +4.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Franco Roncadelli | 58c | 201.35$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84.68 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4890…03f1backed Franco Roncadelli | 22c | 200$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156 | 99 | 16.2%16 W · 83 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 17cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffd…7821backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 47c | 190$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.17 | 559 | 41.9%234 W · 325 L | -27.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…dfb9backed Franco Roncadelli | 41c | 174.61$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.02 | 242 | 49.2%119 W · 123 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f3…f7dfbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 61c | 163.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.02 | 382 | 68.1%260 W · 122 L | +5.8wins | +0.02per pick | 67cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa6be…b977backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 152.56$88 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.48 | 1,768 | 43.2%764 W · 1,004 L | +2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3de6…405cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 149$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90.89 | 39 | 48.7%19 W · 20 L | -1.1wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb580…9b95backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 148$86 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$86.32 | 269 | 41.3%111 W · 158 L | -9.0wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -23.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x70ac…0c7dbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 45c | 134.28$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.93 | 2,537 | 53.6%1,361 W · 1,176 L | +61.9wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2e1…c20abacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 56c | 134$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.44 | 737 | 45.2%333 W · 404 L | -9.4wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 40c | 113.94$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.26 | 3,270 | 13.8%450 W · 2,820 L | -549.1wins | -0.17per pick | 31cpaid | -57.4%equal weight | 31-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0x6464…7899backed Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 103.57$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.32 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.7wins | +0.10per pick | 47cpaid | +44.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1dd2…9e07backed Franco Roncadelli | 38c | 98.03$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.78 | 2,418 | 51.7%1,249 W · 1,169 L | +10.3wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc798…a8e9backed Franco Roncadelli | 35c | 88.38$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.45 | 535 | 44.1%236 W · 299 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked Franco Roncadelli | 58c | 76.23$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.67 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 34c | 69.12$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.2 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 65.89$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.05 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 58c | 60.34$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x410c…15f7backed Franco Roncadelli | 43c | 58.91$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.58 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +3.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0e72…54f0backed Franco Roncadelli | 41c | 47.98$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.31 | 62 | 48.4%30 W · 32 L | -1.7wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Franco Roncadelli | 42c | 32.46$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.72 | 1,245 | 33.9%422 W · 823 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 34cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbe2…5981backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 48c | 31.85$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.4 | 39 | 66.7%26 W · 13 L | +4.4wins | +0.11per pick | 55cpaid | +17.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x3a0e…b0babacked Franco Roncadelli | 39c | 26$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.86 | 468 | 48.5%227 W · 241 L | -7.3wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd866…55e0backed Franco Roncadelli | 50c | 23.43$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.81 | 384 | 60.4%232 W · 152 L | +29.2wins | +0.08per pick | 53cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x38d5…865bbacked Joao Lucas Da Silva | 50c | 21.72$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.76 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.8wins | +0.11per pick | 48cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xcaca…a0b6backed Franco Roncadelli | 77c | 21.61$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.97 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.10per pick | 60cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf18a…e4e5backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 52c | 20.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 2,343 | 51.6%1,209 W · 1,134 L | +95.2wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1d57…8e0cbacked Franco Roncadelli | 56c | 20$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.8 | 37 | 40.5%15 W · 22 L | -4.3wins | -0.11per pick | 52cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x6b7c…5f83backed Franco Roncadelli | 52c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,426 | 47.3%1,148 W · 1,278 L | +45.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x44b6…98b4backed Joao Lucas Da Silva | 59c | 18$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.62 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 53cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Asuncion: Franco Roncadelli vs Joao Lucas Da Silvathis page
- Set 1 Winner: Roncadelli vs SilvaSilva won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.