Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf37a9013e1695ae6ff3c9c0307c8d3bcfa139617e06f420d978d753403d5eaa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- TYLOOof All Gamers, TYLOO
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $2,062
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $2,099
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $2,062 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked All Gamers | 28c | 1,408$396 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$396.11 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee8e…0a7bbacked TYLOO | 71c | 502.54$358 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.52 | 781 | 62%484 W · 297 L | +16.8wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd04…a64abacked TYLOO | 76c | 389.54$296 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.88 | 42 | 52.4%22 W · 20 L | -2.7wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -4.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked All Gamers | 27c | 198.32$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.55 | 287 | 47.4%136 W · 151 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x53ab…65aabacked All Gamers | 22c | 195.17$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.94 | 551 | 52.5%289 W · 262 L | +20.7wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…579cbacked TYLOO | 70c | 179.71$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$53.91 | 119 | 55.5%66 W · 53 L | +3.7wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf5e0…457fbacked TYLOO | 72c | 143.55$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 49 | 59.2%29 W · 20 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 59cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x84d7…298fbacked TYLOO | 74c | 135$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.1 | 41 | 53.7%22 W · 19 L | +5.2wins | +0.13per pick | 41cpaid | +29%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked TYLOO | 70c | 110.97$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.29 | 235 | 48.5%114 W · 121 L | -3.0wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3c32…7156backed TYLOO | 74c | 59.06$44 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.36 | 114 | 54.4%62 W · 52 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb3f0…c8a6backed TYLOO | 74c | 58.53$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.22 | 37 | 64.9%24 W · 13 L | +2.6wins | +0.07per pick | 58cpaid | +19.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6340…e272backed All Gamers | 35c | 42.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.01 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.35per pick | 35cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbced…5808backed TYLOO | 72c | 41.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 60 | 66.7%40 W · 20 L | +5.1wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +19.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa415…6fb9backed TYLOO | 72c | 41.29$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.56 | 93 | 54.8%51 W · 42 L | -2.5wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x068c…582ebacked TYLOO | 72c | 40.97$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.47 | 25 | 60%15 W · 10 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 63cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked TYLOO | 72c | 30.64$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.58 | 67 | 62.7%42 W · 25 L | +2.0wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54e0…b02cbacked TYLOO | 65c | 27.11$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.49 | 407 | 31.7%129 W · 278 L | -13.1wins | -0.03per pick | 35cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa0c5…4291backed TYLOO | 74c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.2 | 23 | 73.9%17 W · 6 L | +3.3wins | +0.14per pick | 60cpaid | +26.9%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xa15f…ad19backed TYLOO | 74c | 19.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.19 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.3wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: AG (-1.5) vs TYLOO (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO (BO3) - VCT China Group AlphaTYLOO won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO - Map 1 WinnerTYLOO won
- Valorant: All Gamers vs TYLOO - Map 2 WinnerAll Gamers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.