CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs JAM - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf558cb0bd8a5f4aa91efa826691c0c4227d258293e8a2c5ec87b6ef25d20daa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- JAMof NAVI Junior, JAM
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,455
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,353
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,455 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1186…0355backed JAM | 25c | 2,254$572 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,681.7 | 233 | 56.2%131 W · 102 L | +10.7wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9307…9da3backed NAVI Junior | 58c | 407.79$238 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$237.6 | 1,008 | 69.3%699 W · 309 L | +152.8wins | +0.15per pick | 54cpaid | +18.3%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xa936…8ee6backed NAVI Junior | 43c | 392.57$168 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.96 | 53 | 32.1%17 W · 36 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc75d…0717backed JAM | 67c | 376.65$253 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.56 | 295 | 43.1%127 W · 168 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5ec2…82babacked NAVI Junior | 61c | 355.37$217 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$216.78 | 39 | 38.5%15 W · 24 L | -2.2wins | -0.06per pick | 44cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x299f…2c50backed NAVI Junior | 42c | 306.96$128 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.13 | 721 | 39.7%286 W · 435 L | -25.9wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -19.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed JAM | 28c | 280.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$201.76 | 317 | 49.5%157 W · 160 L | -4.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked NAVI Junior | 72c | 200$144 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$144 | 3,202 | 45.6%1,459 W · 1,743 L | -79.3wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1747…4afcbacked NAVI Junior | 77c | 196.75$151 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.52 | 207 | 55.1%114 W · 93 L | +13.4wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +8.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked NAVI Junior | 61c | 172.54$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104.44 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked NAVI Junior | 38c | 155.79$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.42 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x2529…548abacked JAM | 52c | 155$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.64 | 3,225 | 51.2%1,651 W · 1,574 L | +88.0wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe8a…23cebacked JAM | 54c | 150$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.18 | 2,214 | 47.5%1,052 W · 1,162 L | -5.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -14.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ce5…309cbacked NAVI Junior | 39c | 139.36$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 86 | 25.6%22 W · 64 L | -8.8wins | -0.10per pick | 36cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb55b…c5b4backed JAM | 40c | 127.05$51 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.23 | 351 | 53.8%189 W · 162 L | +5.5wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked NAVI Junior | 67c | 122.55$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.54 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72aa…90e0backed JAM | 60c | 115.38$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.66 | 4,228 | 49.2%2,080 W · 2,148 L | +59.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed NAVI Junior | 42c | 102.52$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.06 | 2,626 | 30.9%812 W · 1,814 L | -105.4wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x54ac…47e6backed NAVI Junior | 62c | 100.49$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 673 | 72.2%486 W · 187 L | +119.1wins | +0.18per pick | 55cpaid | +24.7%equal weight | 69+0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked NAVI Junior | 41c | 93.02$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.59 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xde30…3159backed JAM | 44c | 90.68$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.68 | 242 | 60.3%146 W · 96 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2140…0e12backed NAVI Junior | 45c | 90$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40.5 | 550 | 39.6%218 W · 332 L | -20.7wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed JAM | 62c | 90$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.2 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e6c…0c16backed NAVI Junior | 59c | 89.94$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$53.25 | 190 | 35.8%68 W · 122 L | -3.7wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebff…70e5backed NAVI Junior | 38c | 84.36$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.9 | 2,774 | 24.5%681 W · 2,093 L | -295.8wins | -0.11per pick | 35cpaid | -50.7%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x584f…54b9backed NAVI Junior | 47c | 79.87$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.24 | 122 | 59%72 W · 50 L | -1.1wins | -0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1c79…ddf6backed JAM | 50c | 79.49$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.95 | 86 | 64%55 W · 31 L | +2.6wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3881…804ebacked JAM | 55c | 74.07$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.33 | 1,496 | 51.5%771 W · 725 L | -7.2wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked NAVI Junior | 41c | 73.48$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.82 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0bd2…0985backed NAVI Junior | 72c | 69.44$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4038…35e4backed JAM | 37c | 66$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.28 | 113 | 52.2%59 W · 54 L | +4.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efe…6704backed NAVI Junior | 80c | 50$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 205 | 62.4%128 W · 77 L | +5.4wins | +0.03per pick | 60cpaid | +0.3%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1bec…8d52backed JAM | 53c | 49.87$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.44 | 53 | 50.9%27 W · 26 L | +2.3wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed NAVI Junior | 55c | 44$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.29 | 5,287 | 31.3%1,657 W · 3,630 L | -383.3wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed NAVI Junior | 27c | 37.04$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 771 | 46%355 W · 416 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed NAVI Junior | 77c | 33$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.38 | 2,362 | 46.6%1,100 W · 1,262 L | -53.1wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed JAM | 67c | 29.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.6 | 2,468 | 24.6%607 W · 1,861 L | -317.8wins | -0.13per pick | 37cpaid | -51.7%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf3bf…147fbacked NAVI Junior | 53c | 20$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.6 | 48 | 50%24 W · 24 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs JAM - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs JAM (BO3) - Tipsport Cup Open #1 Group StageJAM won
- Counter-Strike: NAVI Junior vs JAM - Map 2 WinnerJAM won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.