MLB · resolved market
Detroit Tigers vs. Chicago White Sox
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xcf5efa168eed988e30d9ff0e440fc01d9a5dd6080a881cb9a21705370e904459
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Detroit Tigersof Detroit Tigers, Chicago White Sox
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- MLBevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $19,477
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,083
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $19,477 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in MLB is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in MLB | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7239…6591backed Detroit Tigers | 49c | 5,556$2,696 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,859.93 | 50 | 40%20 W · 30 L | -5.2wins | -0.10per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb786…b18dbacked Chicago White Sox | 51c | 3,350$1,709 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,708.5 | 1,591 | 50.3%801 W · 790 L | +68.9wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9a0…88eebacked Chicago White Sox | 48c | 2,336$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,128.9 | 283 | 48.8%138 W · 145 L | +6.3wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Chicago White Sox | 63c | 2,016$1,262 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,261.53 | 9,728 | 46.3%4,506 W · 5,222 L | +32.8wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x481b…74c1backed Chicago White Sox | 60c | 1,400$833 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$833 | 797 | 40.4%322 W · 475 L | -19.1wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 1,324$859 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$464.61 | 1,212 | 52.1%631 W · 581 L | +21.3wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 1,086$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380.1 | 1,352 | 50.8%687 W · 665 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd55c…34febacked Detroit Tigers | 65c | 383.02$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134.06 | 376 | 49.5%186 W · 190 L | +9.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8854…882dbacked Detroit Tigers | 32c | 300$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$203 | 21 | 33.3%7 W · 14 L | -2.5wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -29.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b7e…6a9fbacked Chicago White Sox | 35c | 285.71$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 2,033 | 52.4%1,066 W · 967 L | -35.5wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdc4b…5a92backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,267 | 53.3%1,208 W · 1,059 L | -12.4wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x325f…d8acbacked Detroit Tigers | 48c | 133$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.51 | 146 | 47.3%69 W · 77 L | +5.2wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x72fe…e2cebacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 117$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.46 | 519 | 55.3%287 W · 232 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2ce7…fd4abacked Detroit Tigers | 58c | 100$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.02per pick | 61cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa337…9e54backed Chicago White Sox | 35c | 71.43$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 944 | 55.3%522 W · 422 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 56cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24df…e8b2backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 69.41$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.02 | 1,203 | 44.2%532 W · 671 L | +20.5wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf8d4…ae49backed Detroit Tigers | 64c | 62.5$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 66cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11d7…52e1backed Chicago White Sox | 62c | 57.85$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.87 | 809 | 55.5%449 W · 360 L | +12.4wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x737c…d76dbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 51.61$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.61 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.12per pick | 62cpaid | -19.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x16e6…1c52backed Detroit Tigers | 63c | 47.42$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.42 | 115 | 62.6%72 W · 43 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 61cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0643…d46bbacked Detroit Tigers | 62c | 37.1$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.1 | 405 | 57.8%234 W · 171 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9f19…72d9backed Chicago White Sox | 37c | 35$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.95 | 416 | 49%204 W · 212 L | +14.6wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x994e…9cf5backed Detroit Tigers | 65c | 28.57$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 211 | 47.9%101 W · 110 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1413…4bddbacked Detroit Tigers | 64c | 21.88$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.88 | 66 | 60.6%40 W · 26 L | -0.6wins | -0.01per pick | 62cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in MLB and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.