NHL · resolved market
Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd03912fd51100af431a2acff84603e1797f8418d50299cf9fcbd088a4bb68f81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Overof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NHLevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,150
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,288
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,150 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NHL is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NHL | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xec13…862bbacked Over | 57c | 3,333$1,900 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,433.18 | 225 | 46.2%104 W · 121 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Under | 48c | 2,922$1,401 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,401.12 | 272 | 43.4%118 W · 154 L | -16.8wins | -0.06per pick | 50cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8996…fbcebacked Over | 52c | 2,010$1,045 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$965.02 | 57 | 43.9%25 W · 32 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x35ac…92a7backed Under | 43c | 1,907$820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$819.87 | 275 | 48.7%134 W · 141 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed Over | 57c | 1,754$1,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$754.39 | 852 | 50.2%428 W · 424 L | -26.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc7e5…2d3abacked Under | 49c | 1,531$750 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$750 | 437 | 43%188 W · 249 L | +16.7wins | +0.04per pick | 39cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4602…3315backed Under | 43c | 1,335$574 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$574.25 | 89 | 56.2%50 W · 39 L | +5.4wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Over | 51c | 863.18$443 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$420.36 | 2,894 | 51.3%1,484 W · 1,410 L | +58.0wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Over | 51c | 395.04$201 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$193.57 | 237 | 51.5%122 W · 115 L | +2.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9696…2bc3backed Under | 43c | 324$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$139.32 | 285 | 42.8%122 W · 163 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Under | 43c | 300$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$129 | 764 | 50.4%385 W · 379 L | +7.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6d01…0ab1backed Under | 47c | 265.66$125 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$124.86 | 759 | 46.6%354 W · 405 L | -3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Under | 49c | 253$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.97 | 1,948 | 49.4%962 W · 986 L | +24.9wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5375…aeeabacked Over | 53c | 250$133 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.5 | 588 | 41.8%246 W · 342 L | -20.6wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3c82…b56bbacked Over | 52c | 192.29$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.3 | 140 | 65.7%92 W · 48 L | +13.9wins | +0.10per pick | 56cpaid | +18.9%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d3a…7b63backed Under | 47c | 190.09$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.34 | 866 | 49.9%432 W · 434 L | +1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaf8c…4bc2backed Over | 53c | 190.09$101 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.34 | 253 | 58.5%148 W · 105 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +5.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Under | 43c | 158.67$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.23 | 1,846 | 57.2%1,055 W · 791 L | +85.0wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed Over | 53c | 132.08$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$62.08 | 1,093 | 51.8%566 W · 527 L | +14.2wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9b…e74abacked Under | 49c | 102.04$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 784 | 43.8%343 W · 441 L | +8.1wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc81a…c368backed Under | 43c | 59.99$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 244 | 42.6%104 W · 140 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -8.1%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Under | 45c | 55.8$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.11 | 1,530 | 51.7%791 W · 739 L | +22.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Over | 52c | 50$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24 | 599 | 50.4%302 W · 297 L | +20.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa00f…8e56backed Under | 49c | 40$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.6 | 490 | 45.3%222 W · 268 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xac7a…414fbacked Over | 52c | 38.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 69 | 49.3%34 W · 35 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Under | 43c | 35.51$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.27 | 1,028 | 53.2%547 W · 481 L | +21.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x76c4…e723backed Under | 49c | 24.49$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +1.1wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2643…28c2backed Over | 58c | 18$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.56 | 57 | 52.6%30 W · 27 L | -1.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NHL and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Canadiens vs. Rangers: O/U 5.5this page
- Canadiens vs. RangersRangers won
- Spread: Rangers (-1.5)Canadiens won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.