NBA · resolved market
NBA Summer League: Charlotte Hornets vs. New Orleans Pelicans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd0db4936f07fc5e4814949ec12106a0266fd9351ef7d9837d04498a194efdef8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- New Orleans Pelicansof Charlotte Hornets, New Orleans Pelicans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- NBAevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,811
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $13,893
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,811 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in NBA is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in NBA | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xeef6…cd4cbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 31c | 1,087$341 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$746.25 | 34 | 52.9%18 W · 16 L | +2.5wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +23.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1ee…519cbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 26c | 854.63$219 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$635.66 | 107 | 61.7%66 W · 41 L | +8.4wins | +0.08per pick | 54cpaid | +9.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xa38a…821dbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 23c | 843.95$198 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$645.74 | 931 | 48.4%451 W · 480 L | +34.1wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbb8e…08c1backed New Orleans Pelicans | 61c | 810$496 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$314.16 | 111 | 60.4%67 W · 44 L | +5.7wins | +0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -1.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed New Orleans Pelicans | 14c | 748.42$102 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$646.65 | 59 | 54.2%32 W · 27 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe6a5…e95dbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 15c | 681.02$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$581.02 | 312 | 49.4%154 W · 158 L | -3.8wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Charlotte Hornets | 76c | 490.27$375 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$374.67 | 218 | 48.2%105 W · 113 L | +11.0wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed New Orleans Pelicans | 11c | 480.73$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$426.49 | 184 | 38.6%71 W · 113 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1852…cb4ebacked New Orleans Pelicans | 18c | 365.09$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$299.37 | 82 | 30.5%25 W · 57 L | -1.3wins | -0.02per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5482…b6eebacked Charlotte Hornets | 4c | 329.24$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.83 | 550 | 2.5%14 W · 536 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 2cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8728…0882backed Charlotte Hornets | 69c | 324.43$224 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.86 | 137 | 47.4%65 W · 72 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc308…7b09backed New Orleans Pelicans | 5c | 320.36$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$304.71 | 312 | 22.1%69 W · 243 L | +14.9wins | +0.05per pick | 17cpaid | +79.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Charlotte Hornets | 74c | 279.35$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.72 | 1,341 | 29.9%401 W · 940 L | -53.8wins | -0.04per pick | 34cpaid | -35.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9aaf…8298backed Charlotte Hornets | 52c | 257$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.54 | 539 | 45.3%244 W · 295 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -2%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa5bd…226cbacked Charlotte Hornets | 35c | 250$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$88.5 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.4wins | +0.12per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa6b9…0a8bbacked Charlotte Hornets | 33c | 242$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.3wins | -0.33per pick | 33cpaid | -100%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe53f…62d7backed New Orleans Pelicans | 31c | 204.37$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$141.37 | 128 | 46.9%60 W · 68 L | +13.3wins | +0.10per pick | 36cpaid | +29.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0c73…750abacked Charlotte Hornets | 18c | 200$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36 | 49 | 34.7%17 W · 32 L | -1.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -22.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbaac…ff10backed Charlotte Hornets | 68c | 100$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 124 | 54.8%68 W · 56 L | -7.9wins | -0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4b89…9183backed Charlotte Hornets | 69c | 90.48$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.43 | 11 | 0%0 W · 11 L | -7.5wins | -0.68per pick | 68cpaid | -100%equal weight | 27-0.21 edge/pick |
| 0xf39d…7a09backed New Orleans Pelicans | 60c | 89.06$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.44 | 7 | 85.7%6 W · 1 L | +2.0wins | +0.28per pick | 58cpaid | +43.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe521…880ebacked Charlotte Hornets | 69c | 84.75$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.48 | 12 | 66.7%8 W · 4 L | +1.5wins | +0.12per pick | 54cpaid | +30.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x67af…61eebacked New Orleans Pelicans | 31c | 70$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.46 | 86 | 54.7%47 W · 39 L | +1.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked New Orleans Pelicans | 26c | 54.54$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.4 | 227 | 53.3%121 W · 106 L | +11.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8766…4171backed New Orleans Pelicans | 77c | 47.27$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.71 | 21 | 76.2%16 W · 5 L | +4.3wins | +0.20per pick | 56cpaid | +27.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x9ef1…5acabacked Charlotte Hornets | 68c | 32$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.76 | 67 | 61.2%41 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.04per pick | 57cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x702e…ff44backed Charlotte Hornets | 67c | 27$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.09 | 13 | 15.4%2 W · 11 L | -4.6wins | -0.35per pick | 51cpaid | -55.7%equal weight | 37-0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x9700…4415backed Charlotte Hornets | 70c | 19.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.48 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.70per pick | 70cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in NBA and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.