Tennis · resolved market
ITF Tanger: Massimo Giunta vs Lorenzo Rottoli
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd128ec40a323a87bec6a93ec0b76aa3480467b2576cb53d4ca1177a4df910ca1
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Lorenzo Rottoliof Massimo Giunta, Lorenzo Rottoli
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,518
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $4,039
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,518 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 30 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 17c | 500$85 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$415 | 4,921 | 38.7%1,905 W · 3,016 L | -20.0wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Massimo Giunta | 71c | 471.67$335 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$334.69 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c10…b6a4backed Massimo Giunta | 64c | 348.68$223 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$223.03 | 189 | 47.6%90 W · 99 L | -6.7wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 48c | 316.31$151 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.8 | 969 | 45.9%445 W · 524 L | +7.7wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7edb…7993backed Massimo Giunta | 52c | 218.45$115 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$114.54 | 1,459 | 50.1%731 W · 728 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba4…6de0backed Massimo Giunta | 76c | 158.43$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.37 | 280 | 48.9%137 W · 143 L | -14.9wins | -0.05per pick | 54cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 43c | 145.43$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.43 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x222b…1a8dbacked Massimo Giunta | 53c | 135.11$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 992 | 44.7%443 W · 549 L | -29.0wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Massimo Giunta | 51c | 110.41$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.85 | 1,487 | 47.5%706 W · 781 L | -19.1wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -21%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x999a…9a25backed Massimo Giunta | 53c | 87.46$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.52 | 604 | 52.5%317 W · 287 L | +7.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -12%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 44c | 83.37$37 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.37 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Massimo Giunta | 79c | 79.9$63 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.12 | 7,816 | 50.6%3,958 W · 3,858 L | +95.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Massimo Giunta | 57c | 52.37$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.91 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2903…9203backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 43c | 52$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 1,076 | 60.4%650 W · 426 L | +24.2wins | +0.02per pick | 58cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 47c | 51.17$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.12 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 48c | 51.09$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.38 | 2,761 | 53.9%1,487 W · 1,274 L | +73.8wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 26c | 42.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3bce…db46backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 47c | 42.25$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.25 | 158 | 54.4%86 W · 72 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb7f3…d6dcbacked Massimo Giunta | 58c | 40.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.45 | 870 | 60.2%524 W · 346 L | +28.4wins | +0.03per pick | 57cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb155…ca84backed Massimo Giunta | 39c | 39.99$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.6 | 920 | 46.6%429 W · 491 L | -14.2wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb421…8856backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 45c | 35$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.25 | 1,776 | 48.6%863 W · 913 L | +29.2wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd2c8…d506backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 51c | 31.47$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.47 | 159 | 37.7%60 W · 99 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 39c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.3 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4f9…84f7backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 43c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.1 | 353 | 49.9%176 W · 177 L | -2.3wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x782b…ff64backed Lorenzo Rottoli | 61c | 28.13$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.97 | 313 | 66.8%209 W · 104 L | +27.1wins | +0.09per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 44c | 27$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.12 | 4,426 | 51.8%2,291 W · 2,135 L | +136.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9825…9ffcbacked Lorenzo Rottoli | 43c | 25.69$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.69 | 499 | 43.5%217 W · 282 L | +2.4wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Massimo Giunta | 58c | 18.93$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 6,439 | 54.4%3,502 W · 2,937 L | +285.2wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +26.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cdd…e595backed Massimo Giunta | 61c | 17.39$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.61 | 1,870 | 16%299 W · 1,571 L | -314.3wins | -0.17per pick | 33cpaid | -65.6%equal weight | 32-0.17 edge/pick |
| 0xdd3b…cea6backed Massimo Giunta | 79c | 13$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.27 | 83 | 65.1%54 W · 29 L | +1.9wins | +0.02per pick | 63cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.