Tennis · resolved market
Midland: Lia Karatancheva vs Xiaodi You
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1322a261c168e9c15671d319b16ab5d59f039f9ec1fc7819f209ef64a372c8d
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Youof Karatancheva, You
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,552
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $10,471
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,552 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1dd1…7040backed Karatancheva | 6c | 890.17$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 232 | 56.9%132 W · 100 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 57cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeda0…7dffbacked Karatancheva | 36c | 799.43$289 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$289.35 | 320 | 31.3%100 W · 220 L | -9.9wins | -0.03per pick | 34cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20ba…6c27backed You | 64c | 779.91$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$279.91 | 1,186 | 62.8%745 W · 441 L | -16.1wins | -0.01per pick | 64cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Karatancheva | 4c | 615.06$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.67 | 8,217 | 45.5%3,737 W · 4,480 L | +166.6wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb01d…46f0backed You | 63c | 200$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 321 | 47%151 W · 170 L | +12.2wins | +0.04per pick | 43cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6fe9…9c50backed You | 63c | 199.99$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 253 | 55.7%141 W · 112 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Karatancheva | 12c | 196.98$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.48 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a3d…316cbacked Karatancheva | 37c | 162.16$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$60 | 1,955 | 48%939 W · 1,016 L | +16.0wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Karatancheva | 18c | 135.18$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed You | 67c | 107.4$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 1,973 | 46.3%914 W · 1,059 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x8651…2465backed You | 77c | 103.9$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.2wins | +0.23per pick | 77cpaid | +29.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Karatancheva | 37c | 101.8$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.67 | 781 | 52.8%412 W · 369 L | +21.3wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | +4.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Karatancheva | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd610…4c9abacked Karatancheva | 38c | 99.99$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 1,212 | 33.1%401 W · 811 L | -16.7wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9edc…b088backed Karatancheva | 32c | 99.9$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.97 | 284 | 24.3%69 W · 215 L | -7.9wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e7d…4a9bbacked Karatancheva | 35c | 86.61$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 398 | 50%199 W · 199 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb38c…b2c9backed Karatancheva | 36c | 62.99$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.68 | 380 | 48.4%184 W · 196 L | +1.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1b5e…4167backed You | 62c | 53.86$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 116 | 53.4%62 W · 54 L | -4.6wins | -0.04per pick | 57cpaid | -9.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd038…8f51backed Karatancheva | 26c | 44.51$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.73 | 4,288 | 40.5%1,737 W · 2,551 L | -139.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb846…b8d0backed You | 62c | 38.23$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.44 | 69 | 52.2%36 W · 33 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee26…3798backed You | 62c | 32.26$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.26 | 62 | 58.1%36 W · 26 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x200f…7a96backed You | 63c | 27.66$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.32 | 7,139 | 49.7%3,548 W · 3,591 L | +109.9wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x071f…92bdbacked You | 62c | 22.5$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1,076 | 73.8%794 W · 282 L | +41.1wins | +0.04per pick | 70cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.