CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd13bd67cbbf2d682bf52f8110702ecc6b1a24f537156d5d25bfa8096650ecd6e
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- mellrenof mellren, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,099
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,938
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,099 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed mellren | 33c | 2,822$917 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,904.61 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 1,666$964 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$964.5 | 1,407 | 38.9%547 W · 860 L | -41.9wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked mellren | 48c | 725$350 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$374.7 | 358 | 47.5%170 W · 188 L | -13.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -10.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 668.04$278 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$278.32 | 192 | 36.5%70 W · 122 L | -15.5wins | -0.08per pick | 45cpaid | -37.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed mellren | 72c | 402.43$288 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114.12 | 402 | 64.7%260 W · 142 L | +49.2wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed mellren | 74c | 352.42$260 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.59 | 1,033 | 53.2%550 W · 483 L | +64.9wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5008…9466backed Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 301.47$131 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.31 | 89 | 37.1%33 W · 56 L | -6.0wins | -0.07per pick | 44cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 38c | 261.86$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.91 | 2,221 | 41.3%917 W · 1,304 L | -22.6wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed mellren | 31c | 252$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$175.12 | 5,830 | 37.8%2,203 W · 3,627 L | +79.0wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 220$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$148.2 | 7,925 | 50.4%3,997 W · 3,928 L | +179.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd0…cdd6backed mellren | 73c | 200$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54 | 152 | 44.7%68 W · 84 L | -2.1wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 191$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.8 | 2,508 | 41%1,029 W · 1,479 L | -115.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…9590backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 184.08$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 17 | 47.1%8 W · 9 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +22.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 180.11$98 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$98.48 | 1,779 | 59.1%1,052 W · 727 L | +104.8wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 174.15$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$91.99 | 4,933 | 37.4%1,844 W · 3,089 L | -249.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 75c | 159.09$120 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$120.09 | 752 | 45.3%341 W · 411 L | -1.1wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed mellren | 31c | 154.84$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$106.84 | 33 | 48.5%16 W · 17 L | +1.2wins | +0.04per pick | 45cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 151.29$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.45 | 3,910 | 36.6%1,431 W · 2,479 L | -197.6wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 149$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.32 | 2,136 | 42.9%916 W · 1,220 L | -68.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7585…dcb3backed mellren | 20c | 105$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$84 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.4wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +33%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa5ee…a0bbbacked mellren | 22c | 101.87$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.78 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.0wins | +0.11per pick | 51cpaid | +16.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x8948…76e5backed Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 78.55$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.05 | 404 | 57.2%231 W · 173 L | +9.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 65.57$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.71 | 2,110 | 47.2%995 W · 1,115 L | -62.2wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7eeb…b6bdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 52c | 65$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.9 | 204 | 47.1%96 W · 108 L | +2.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked mellren | 72c | 64.22$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.98 | 93 | 41.9%39 W · 54 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed mellren | 41c | 60.98$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.98 | 218 | 45.9%100 W · 118 L | +4.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 44c | 55.71$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 2,473 | 34.6%855 W · 1,618 L | -188.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xd786…59b8backed mellren | 40c | 49.32$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.59 | 100 | 36%36 W · 64 L | -7.3wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -31.3%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x20d7…2485backed Bushido Wildcats | 23c | 49.31$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.42 | 79 | 15.2%12 W · 67 L | -8.9wins | -0.11per pick | 26cpaid | -56.5%equal weight | 41-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 79c | 48$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.92 | 1,068 | 55%587 W · 481 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccdc…dbe6backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 39.06$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 367 | 49.3%181 W · 186 L | -5.0wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3db7…375cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 27c | 37.6$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.15 | 112 | 21.4%24 W · 88 L | -2.9wins | -0.03per pick | 24cpaid | -25.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked mellren | 58c | 36.89$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.37 | 4,691 | 43.6%2,043 W · 2,648 L | -83.2wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 69c | 36.12$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.09 | 5,511 | 47%2,590 W · 2,921 L | +42.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xde47…cb61backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 30.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.75 | 27 | 55.6%15 W · 12 L | -4.5wins | -0.17per pick | 72cpaid | -26.7%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Bushido Wildcats | 73c | 28$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.44 | 154 | 69.5%107 W · 47 L | +8.6wins | +0.06per pick | 64cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x997c…51f3backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 25.1$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.85 | 229 | 54.6%125 W · 104 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 54c | 22.85$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.32 | 3,459 | 29.3%1,012 W · 2,447 L | -279.9wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6f0c…a691backed Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 20$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.72 | 216 | 50.5%109 W · 107 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 53c | 18.7$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 675 | 47.3%319 W · 356 L | -9.6wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -7.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x199b…42c4backed Bushido Wildcats | 76c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.4 | 16 | 12.5%2 W · 14 L | -4.5wins | -0.28per pick | 41cpaid | -73%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x395a…eb72backed Bushido Wildcats | 70c | 15$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.5 | 75 | 72%54 W · 21 L | +3.8wins | +0.05per pick | 67cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3e9f…3988backed mellren | 72c | 14.73$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.12 | 220 | 53.2%117 W · 103 L | -7.5wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsmellren won
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 WinnerBushido Wildcats won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.