CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4d95583d077294f4d3508a66248ec9ebcb8805aae4923d99f5292ed6ebcf50c
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Bushido Wildcatsof mellren, Bushido Wildcats
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,658
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $29,951
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,658 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 66 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 3,055$1,927 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,127.89 | 1,396 | 38.9%543 W · 853 L | -41.2wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -29%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe1f3…5402backed mellren | 49c | 2,753$1,337 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,336.6 | 26 | 50%13 W · 13 L | +0.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +14%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f1c…6383backed mellren | 13c | 2,126$285 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$284.55 | 31 | 51.6%16 W · 15 L | +1.3wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +25.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6cc8…d632backed mellren | 50c | 1,766$877 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$877.07 | 17 | 82.4%14 W · 3 L | +5.0wins | +0.29per pick | 53cpaid | +45.4%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xd2bb…bd8ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 1,581$868 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$713.56 | 181 | 35.9%65 W · 116 L | -15.0wins | -0.08per pick | 44cpaid | -38%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x051c…ca3fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 58c | 1,500$873 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$627 | 353 | 47.9%169 W · 184 L | -12.0wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 1,251$625 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$626.71 | 3,415 | 29.3%1,001 W · 2,414 L | -275.1wins | -0.08per pick | 37cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed mellren | 24c | 789.99$189 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$188.7 | 309 | 49.2%152 W · 157 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 789.72$437 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$352.59 | 1,017 | 53.4%543 W · 474 L | +65.1wins | +0.06per pick | 47cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 690.92$381 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$310.02 | 7,892 | 50.5%3,983 W · 3,909 L | +182.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x78dd…3235backed mellren | 54c | 556.62$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | -0.9wins | -0.03per pick | 55cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed mellren | 42c | 500.7$208 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$208.14 | 5,810 | 37.8%2,196 W · 3,614 L | +78.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6524…5cf2backed mellren | 59c | 493.5$292 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$292.37 | 13 | 23.1%3 W · 10 L | -4.1wins | -0.32per pick | 55cpaid | -59.3%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xd84d…cc32backed mellren | 63c | 480$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$303.2 | 327 | 48.6%159 W · 168 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked mellren | 47c | 435.75$204 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$203.7 | 1,768 | 59.2%1,047 W · 721 L | +105.5wins | +0.06per pick | 53cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc653…300dbacked Bushido Wildcats | 46c | 427.81$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$232.76 | 32 | 46.9%15 W · 17 L | -1.4wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -20.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10d7…bbf6backed Bushido Wildcats | 74c | 362.62$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.92 | 194 | 68.6%133 W · 61 L | +25.9wins | +0.13per pick | 55cpaid | +12.3%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xa312…9590backed Bushido Wildcats | 40c | 309.2$125 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.2 | 14 | 50%7 W · 7 L | +1.2wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0975…0899backed mellren | 31c | 240$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74 | 31 | 45.2%14 W · 17 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x18c2…529abacked mellren | 54c | 228.7$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.5 | 123 | 43.9%54 W · 69 L | -6.3wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -19.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 64c | 218.03$139 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.88 | 716 | 51%365 W · 351 L | +28.6wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +7.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 208.96$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$120.71 | 3,888 | 36.6%1,423 W · 2,465 L | -197.3wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8c8b…7a07backed mellren | 25c | 200$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 208 | 59.1%123 W · 85 L | +8.2wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +3.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xaaad…29e0backed mellren | 46c | 200$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.29 | 9 | 77.8%7 W · 2 L | +2.5wins | +0.28per pick | 50cpaid | +54.2%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 194.73$123 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$71.38 | 4,897 | 37.4%1,832 W · 3,065 L | -245.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2151…5d9fbacked mellren | 49c | 189.57$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 4 | 0%0 W · 4 L | -1.5wins | -0.38per pick | 38cpaid | -100%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3df3…1411backed mellren | 53c | 188.18$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 47 | 51.1%24 W · 23 L | -3.1wins | -0.07per pick | 58cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Bushido Wildcats | 49c | 157.73$77 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.19 | 5,262 | 31.3%1,647 W · 3,615 L | -381.6wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x775d…6bebbacked Bushido Wildcats | 57c | 154$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.02 | 2,119 | 42.9%909 W · 1,210 L | -66.7wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8eb…0f59backed mellren | 10c | 150$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 215 | 45.6%98 W · 117 L | +3.8wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54c8…46eebacked mellren | 40c | 149.19$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.25 | 60 | 53.3%32 W · 28 L | +3.9wins | +0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1bac…d241backed mellren | 60c | 138.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.88 | 404 | 39.6%160 W · 244 L | -1.2wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaebf…4e6abacked mellren | 42c | 119.99$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.4 | 265 | 54.3%144 W · 121 L | +4.9wins | +0.02per pick | 52cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0063…2dd2backed Bushido Wildcats | 62c | 115.59$72 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.01 | 390 | 64.4%251 W · 139 L | +47.6wins | +0.12per pick | 52cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 63+0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Bushido Wildcats | 51c | 110$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.07 | 2,491 | 41.1%1,023 W · 1,468 L | -114.2wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x94d2…cfbdbacked Bushido Wildcats | 63c | 99.23$62 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.12 | 2,084 | 47%979 W · 1,105 L | -64.0wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x56e7…c2f0backed mellren | 52c | 96.54$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 16 | 50%8 W · 8 L | -0.6wins | -0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Bushido Wildcats | 55c | 90.79$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.62 | 2,330 | 42.5%991 W · 1,339 L | -71.2wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x050e…d92fbacked mellren | 53c | 90$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.7 | 220 | 56.8%125 W · 95 L | +2.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6c5…20d0backed mellren | 50c | 86.41$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.6 | 607 | 55%334 W · 273 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 80.48$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.5 | 5,474 | 46.9%2,565 W · 2,909 L | +38.6wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x28e4…fe39backed mellren | 59c | 77.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +1.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe6fb…32fabacked mellren | 59c | 77.66$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -18.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6865…7b0cbacked mellren | 59c | 77.11$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +13.5%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb045…4947backed mellren | 60c | 76.37$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -20.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb733…0261backed mellren | 60c | 76.22$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -0.6wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x14d6…987fbacked mellren | 58c | 74$43 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.92 | 6 | 33.3%2 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.06per pick | 39cpaid | -14.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6cd3…226ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 42c | 73.07$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.59 | 373 | 22.3%83 W · 290 L | -42.1wins | -0.11per pick | 34cpaid | -47%equal weight | 38-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Bushido Wildcats | 43c | 73.01$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$41.38 | 2,454 | 34.4%845 W · 1,609 L | -189.3wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -37.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x38f9…5e1abacked mellren | 63c | 72.76$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3672…5277backed mellren | 63c | 72.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 6 | 50%3 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe186…bf80backed mellren | 63c | 72.73$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.82 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.56per pick | 56cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x08cc…472ebacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33 | 20 | 25%5 W · 15 L | -4.4wins | -0.22per pick | 47cpaid | -44.4%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked mellren | 33c | 50.57$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.77 | 1,034 | 54.9%568 W · 466 L | -2.5wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe54e…4a99backed mellren | 66c | 45.45$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +1.8wins | +0.04per pick | 58cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x71f5…4ccebacked Bushido Wildcats | 39c | 44$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.84 | 90 | 42.2%38 W · 52 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 41.29$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 4,661 | 43.5%2,027 W · 2,634 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8811…627cbacked mellren | 65c | 40$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.8 | 390 | 72.3%282 W · 108 L | +37.5wins | +0.10per pick | 63cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xc1fd…10ccbacked Bushido Wildcats | 67c | 38.7$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.77 | 147 | 69.4%102 W · 45 L | +8.7wins | +0.06per pick | 63cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x76bb…4548backed mellren | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 223 | 55.6%124 W · 99 L | -11.4wins | -0.05per pick | 61cpaid | -10.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0917…48aebacked mellren | 65c | 38.46$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ba9…a8d8backed Bushido Wildcats | 59c | 32$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.1 | 402 | 66.2%266 W · 136 L | +10.2wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Bushido Wildcats | 41c | 30$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.7 | 4,040 | 50.9%2,057 W · 1,983 L | +71.1wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x73db…1507backed Bushido Wildcats | 50c | 26.53$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.14 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | -0.9wins | -0.08per pick | 58cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4e2b…29f8backed mellren | 63c | 20.48$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.9 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -1.7wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe8e0…7eecbacked mellren | 59c | 17$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.03 | 1,830 | 41.6%762 W · 1,068 L | -68.7wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 2 Winnerthis page
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats (BO3) - CCT Europe Challengers Series Playoffsmellren won
- Counter-Strike: mellren vs Bushido Wildcats - Map 1 Winnermellren won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.