Tennis · resolved market
Targu Mures: Andrej Nedic vs Max Alcala Gurri
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1ad6e9de214a81420ead52e0c05268b4b7d37313fc3ab156276a0e4bc7a88fd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Andrej Nedicof Andrej Nedic, Max Alcala Gurri
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $17,163
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $17,121
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,163 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 48 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x57c8…3d9bbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 64c | 720.79$461 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$461.31 | 190 | 52.1%99 W · 91 L | -12.9wins | -0.07per pick | 59cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x9694…b7adbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 66c | 502.66$330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$330 | 2,058 | 59.5%1,225 W · 833 L | -1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Max Alcala Gurri | 13c | 446.06$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.59 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Max Alcala Gurri | 17c | 438.43$73 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.98 | 5,422 | 56.3%3,054 W · 2,368 L | +231.5wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4ffe…9f71backed Max Alcala Gurri | 6c | 377$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 2,331 | 7.9%183 W · 2,148 L | -56.9wins | -0.02per pick | 10cpaid | -60.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c26…d474backed Max Alcala Gurri | 30c | 333.33$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 889 | 35.2%313 W · 576 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | +2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1fe8…72bcbacked Andrej Nedic | 72c | 318.2$229 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.84 | 553 | 57.3%317 W · 236 L | +34.4wins | +0.06per pick | 51cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x365f…706abacked Max Alcala Gurri | 18c | 307.59$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.37 | 1,824 | 46.5%849 W · 975 L | +20.6wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -19.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x84ad…bfb7backed Andrej Nedic | 74c | 293.17$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 4,602 | 67.8%3,119 W · 1,483 L | +309.9wins | +0.07per pick | 61cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Andrej Nedic | 70c | 282.27$197 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$85.49 | 4,253 | 45%1,912 W · 2,341 L | +20.1wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Andrej Nedic | 36c | 244.44$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$156.44 | 5,325 | 28.8%1,533 W · 3,792 L | -21.8wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Andrej Nedic | 36c | 221.22$79 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.1 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Max Alcala Gurri | 30c | 196.83$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.68 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Max Alcala Gurri | 16c | 186$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.97 | 301 | 32.9%99 W · 202 L | -2.8wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6c5c…91fcbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 52c | 182.69$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95 | 454 | 51.3%233 W · 221 L | -4.6wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Andrej Nedic | 32c | 169.44$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.22 | 1,688 | 45.4%766 W · 922 L | -10.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1cba…b694backed Andrej Nedic | 55c | 127.48$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.61 | 1,476 | 43.8%647 W · 829 L | -26.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -24.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Andrej Nedic | 58c | 114.6$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.13 | 11,666 | 43.4%5,059 W · 6,607 L | +22.2wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Andrej Nedic | 36c | 110.19$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.52 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Andrej Nedic | 36c | 108.11$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.19 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Andrej Nedic | 35c | 104$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.6 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Max Alcala Gurri | 30c | 99.77$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.61 | 3,155 | 57.2%1,806 W · 1,349 L | +176.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x489d…f6e3backed Max Alcala Gurri | 58c | 90$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.16 | 1,832 | 53%971 W · 861 L | -45.6wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f2e…7c7bbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 63c | 81$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51.03 | 1,068 | 57.4%613 W · 455 L | +21.2wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa461…878abacked Max Alcala Gurri | 50c | 80$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$40 | 219 | 64.8%142 W · 77 L | +10.1wins | +0.05per pick | 60cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xafaf…1635backed Max Alcala Gurri | 19c | 71.18$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.19 | 2,069 | 46.7%966 W · 1,103 L | +18.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -20.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x561d…4134backed Max Alcala Gurri | 58c | 65$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.7 | 449 | 49.4%222 W · 227 L | +23.1wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x10ff…ff77backed Andrej Nedic | 37c | 60$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37.8 | 980 | 55.4%543 W · 437 L | +3.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Andrej Nedic | 67c | 57$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.73 | 1,730 | 52.2%903 W · 827 L | -8.3wins | 0.00per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Andrej Nedic | 36c | 56$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.84 | 2,528 | 36.2%914 W · 1,614 L | -26.1wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d9a…05e6backed Andrej Nedic | 42c | 52.35$22 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.1 | 2,099 | 44.5%935 W · 1,164 L | -51.5wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -22.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7f…4c60backed Andrej Nedic | 36c | 49.34$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.58 | 170 | 46.5%79 W · 91 L | -7.2wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -11.8%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Andrej Nedic | 45c | 47.69$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.34 | 9,374 | 44.3%4,154 W · 5,220 L | -244.9wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x42c9…9623backed Max Alcala Gurri | 27c | 46.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 4,760 | 49.6%2,361 W · 2,399 L | +176.3wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd8bb…7cefbacked Max Alcala Gurri | 45c | 43.82$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.89 | 367 | 43.6%160 W · 207 L | +0.7wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0df7…1ec1backed Andrej Nedic | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 1,882 | 57.4%1,081 W · 801 L | +104.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xce8b…738abacked Max Alcala Gurri | 40c | 40$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 222 | 30.6%68 W · 154 L | -25.6wins | -0.12per pick | 42cpaid | -30.6%equal weight | 38-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x1b4c…d6a2backed Max Alcala Gurri | 30c | 37.43$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.23 | 41 | 24.4%10 W · 31 L | -5.7wins | -0.14per pick | 38cpaid | -37.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xe8c2…45b2backed Andrej Nedic | 57c | 37$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.85 | 437 | 50.3%220 W · 217 L | +7.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x629d…756cbacked Andrej Nedic | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.88 | 2,089 | 52.2%1,090 W · 999 L | +17.1wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a80…11c5backed Andrej Nedic | 50c | 36$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.83 | 739 | 51.7%382 W · 357 L | -4.9wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -6.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ce3…1a0dbacked Andrej Nedic | 68c | 30$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.65 | 65 | 69.2%45 W · 20 L | +8.8wins | +0.14per pick | 56cpaid | +16.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x0154…30f7backed Andrej Nedic | 54c | 27.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.78 | 524 | 57.4%301 W · 223 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91ac…5ff3backed Max Alcala Gurri | 58c | 25.87$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 602 | 41.2%248 W · 354 L | -11.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68e1…b2fabacked Max Alcala Gurri | 56c | 25$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14 | 532 | 55.5%295 W · 237 L | +24.8wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd9af…359cbacked Andrej Nedic | 50c | 25$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.5 | 524 | 57.3%300 W · 224 L | +29.9wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a3e…cd83backed Andrej Nedic | 63c | 22$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.14 | 455 | 53%241 W · 214 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6f6a…9888backed Andrej Nedic | 50c | 20$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 1,222 | 55%672 W · 550 L | +8.3wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.