Tennis · resolved market
ITF Casablanca: Emma Lene vs Marta Soriano Santiago
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1c2f36ad514fd6f8cfc0978a6c51f0362c0c11f71e123f6cb82d5934cc78f78
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Marta Soriano Santiagoof Emma Lene, Marta Soriano Santiago
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,246
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $6,995
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,246 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 32 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xf5ec…23bdbacked Emma Lene | 78c | 2,150$1,677 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,677 | 167 | 69.5%116 W · 51 L | +5.1wins | +0.03per pick | 66cpaid | +27.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf01f…e8fbbacked Marta Soriano Santiago | 22c | 2,150$473 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,677 | 264 | 26.9%71 W · 193 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 28cpaid | -10.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 23c | 564.57$130 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$434.41 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Marta Soriano Santiago | 17c | 558.47$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$463.53 | 3,884 | 35%1,358 W · 2,526 L | +92.8wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Marta Soriano Santiago | 23c | 543.11$124 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$419.08 | 7,968 | 50.7%4,038 W · 3,930 L | +92.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e0b…1435backed Emma Lene | 36c | 435.67$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$157.75 | 390 | 35.9%140 W · 250 L | -61.1wins | -0.16per pick | 52cpaid | -43.1%equal weight | 34-0.15 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 16c | 334$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280.56 | 1,229 | 53.1%653 W · 576 L | -6.2wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ece…3b9bbacked Emma Lene | 78c | 300$234 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$234 | 159 | 66%105 W · 54 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 65cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50dc…b61abacked Marta Soriano Santiago | 22c | 300$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234 | 275 | 30.2%83 W · 192 L | +4.6wins | +0.02per pick | 29cpaid | +10%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x692b…b4f2backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 21c | 291$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$229.89 | 457 | 44.2%202 W · 255 L | +3.5wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +2.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc369…b1ccbacked Emma Lene | 79c | 264.44$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$210 | 402 | 54.5%219 W · 183 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x435d…c52abacked Marta Soriano Santiago | 18c | 202$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$165.64 | 503 | 40%201 W · 302 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 20c | 200.27$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.52 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3a2…8ff7backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 18c | 167$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.94 | 394 | 43.9%173 W · 221 L | +19.6wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +19.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2a69…d2f7backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 18c | 151.5$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.23 | 1,512 | 24.1%364 W · 1,148 L | -41.1wins | -0.03per pick | 27cpaid | -23.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 20c | 143.98$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$115.03 | 7,107 | 39.7%2,820 W · 4,287 L | -17.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x400d…e759backed Emma Lene | 79c | 141$111 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$111.39 | 608 | 56.6%344 W · 264 L | +4.8wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef29…2f1ebacked Emma Lene | 71c | 140$99 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$99.4 | 1,131 | 45.4%514 W · 617 L | -34.5wins | -0.03per pick | 49cpaid | -12.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xddf5…aaa3backed Emma Lene | 80c | 125$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 692 | 53.3%369 W · 323 L | -10.4wins | -0.02per pick | 55cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd881…af24backed Emma Lene | 79c | 83.01$66 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65.58 | 13 | 53.8%7 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x55ab…4f88backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 29c | 82.16$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.66 | 643 | 46.2%297 W · 346 L | +5.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa578…6702backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 19c | 60$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.6 | 1,588 | 47%746 W · 842 L | -24.2wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 18c | 56$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.92 | 1,489 | 32.6%486 W · 1,003 L | +22.2wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc8c8…b949backed Emma Lene | 79c | 53.57$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42.32 | 225 | 59.1%133 W · 92 L | +2.5wins | +0.01per pick | 58cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 28c | 40.38$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.99 | 8,702 | 42.6%3,708 W · 4,994 L | -165.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe34c…ca55backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 42c | 40.33$17 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.53 | 102 | 52%53 W · 49 L | -1.0wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3350…9588backed Emma Lene | 80c | 37.5$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | -0.4wins | -0.12per pick | 79cpaid | -15%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf504…0111backed Marta Soriano Santiago | 44c | 33.95$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.96 | 1,120 | 56.5%633 W · 487 L | +52.2wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Marta Soriano Santiago | 42c | 32.63$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.01 | 4,474 | 51.7%2,311 W · 2,163 L | +133.7wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdb46…56e7backed Emma Lene | 79c | 22.71$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.94 | 200 | 48%96 W · 104 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Emma Lene | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 746 | 46.1%344 W · 402 L | -30.5wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9d5b…1578backed Emma Lene | 79c | 12.66$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 256 | 50.4%129 W · 127 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.