Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Washington Huskies vs. USC Trojans
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd1d1d22675402f4010136e5b11080c7c4b03c6cfe8bf0a50292eb241ec4b0711
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Washington Huskiesof Washington Huskies, USC Trojans
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $41,024
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $41,679
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $41,024 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 47 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xead1…c76abacked USC Trojans | 67c | 11,661$7,853 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$7,852.64 | 1,511 | 47.8%722 W · 789 L | -35.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed USC Trojans | 67c | 9,806$6,578 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$6,578.5 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8839…8a3ebacked Washington Huskies | 28c | 8,640$2,433 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,207.01 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.6wins | +0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e3a…4033backed USC Trojans | 75c | 6,700$4,994 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,994.23 | 116 | 62.1%72 W · 44 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 65cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Washington Huskies | 46c | 6,067$2,767 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,299.46 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Washington Huskies | 33c | 5,000$1,675 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,325 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed Washington Huskies | 64c | 2,042$1,298 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$744.05 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb9fc…da76backed Washington Huskies | 33c | 1,765$582 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,182.55 | 401 | 47.6%191 W · 210 L | +7.6wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked USC Trojans | 38c | 1,573$601 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$601.07 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x29c0…efaabacked Washington Huskies | 34c | 1,573$527 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,045.54 | 1,391 | 44.1%613 W · 778 L | -10.6wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Washington Huskies | 33c | 1,147$379 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$768.36 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0ed4…4547backed Washington Huskies | 33c | 1,000$330 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$670 | 29 | 72.4%21 W · 8 L | +6.5wins | +0.22per pick | 50cpaid | +84.9%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Washington Huskies | 31c | 852.63$266 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$586.3 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xea81…eeaebacked Washington Huskies | 33c | 800$264 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$536 | 1,227 | 27.8%341 W · 886 L | -0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Washington Huskies | 19c | 702$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$570.19 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd2d0…3319backed USC Trojans | 69c | 700$486 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$486 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.69per pick | 69cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0f8e…3082backed Washington Huskies | 26c | 587.64$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$433.73 | 3,684 | 42.8%1,576 W · 2,108 L | +32.6wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked Washington Huskies | 31c | 558.87$172 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$386.64 | 4,848 | 52.2%2,532 W · 2,316 L | +139.2wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa2c0…69d0backed USC Trojans | 9c | 555.56$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 65 | 38.5%25 W · 40 L | -4.3wins | -0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -12%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xd903…bf9dbacked Washington Huskies | 65c | 480.09$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$170.19 | 231 | 58.9%136 W · 95 L | +23.5wins | +0.10per pick | 49cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Washington Huskies | 17c | 442.93$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$368.37 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6b3a…2841backed Washington Huskies | 33c | 400$132 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$268 | 820 | 48.2%395 W · 425 L | +6.5wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Washington Huskies | 13c | 354.77$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.65 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2c2c…0074backed USC Trojans | 64c | 300$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$192 | 14 | 57.1%8 W · 6 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Washington Huskies | 36c | 300$108 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$192 | 294 | 44.6%131 W · 163 L | +8.7wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +8.5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9dd9…08bdbacked Washington Huskies | 34c | 296$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$196.42 | 1,951 | 45.1%880 W · 1,071 L | -19.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa965…3565backed Washington Huskies | 25c | 250$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$187.5 | 497 | 46.5%231 W · 266 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed USC Trojans | 75c | 214.82$160 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$160.15 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2862…b2ddbacked USC Trojans | 66c | 200$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$132 | 109 | 39.4%43 W · 66 L | -5.2wins | -0.05per pick | 44cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf526…55c8backed USC Trojans | 8c | 200$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.4wins | -0.14per pick | 14cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Washington Huskies | 33c | 200$66 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$134 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed USC Trojans | 18c | 187.34$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.33 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x01c9…4386backed Washington Huskies | 17c | 177$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$146.91 | 87 | 57.5%50 W · 37 L | +6.1wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +14.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x480d…f219backed USC Trojans | 66c | 151.52$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 391 | 44.5%174 W · 217 L | -16.8wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeb89…46f1backed Washington Huskies | 47c | 109.9$52 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$58.01 | 59 | 49.2%29 W · 30 L | -1.8wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Washington Huskies | 26c | 104$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$76.96 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Washington Huskies | 26c | 100$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Washington Huskies | 34c | 100$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66 | 349 | 47.9%167 W · 182 L | -3.2wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Washington Huskies | 33c | 82.96$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.58 | 1,667 | 36.4%607 W · 1,060 L | -4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 37cpaid | -7.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3ae9…74acbacked Washington Huskies | 20c | 69.32$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.46 | 159 | 39%62 W · 97 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf102…1348backed Washington Huskies | 29c | 69$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.99 | 658 | 25.7%169 W · 489 L | -4.7wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5942…5641backed Washington Huskies | 26c | 50$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$37 | 323 | 37.2%120 W · 203 L | -8.5wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcad…0a68backed Washington Huskies | 34c | 46.79$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.04 | 18 | 55.6%10 W · 8 L | +1.9wins | +0.11per pick | 45cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2d90…95a0backed USC Trojans | 67c | 44.78$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.7wins | -0.67per pick | 67cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8320…facdbacked USC Trojans | 65c | 30$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.9wins | -0.30per pick | 64cpaid | -52.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbb90…8dd8backed Washington Huskies | 72c | 20$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.6 | 16 | 37.5%6 W · 10 L | +2.6wins | +0.16per pick | 21cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4b28…02dbbacked USC Trojans | 74c | 14.41$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.66 | 35 | 77.1%27 W · 8 L | +2.3wins | +0.06per pick | 71cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 5 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Washington Huskies vs. USC Trojansthis page
- Spread: USC Trojans (-4.5)Washington Huskies won
- Spread: USC Trojans (-5.5)Washington Huskies won
- Washington Huskies vs. USC Trojans: O/U 153.5Over won
- Washington Huskies vs. USC Trojans: O/U 155.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.