Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Ole Miss Rebels vs. Tennessee Volunteers
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd24a3d0ab75207310f1051a63a56a8c74719400320253c5c6a66f7a8b5bd1a81
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Tennessee Volunteersof Ole Miss Rebels, Tennessee Volunteers
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $33,347
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $40,151
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $33,347 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 23 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Ole Miss Rebels | 6c | 4,752$306 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$305.56 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1624…bf63backed Ole Miss Rebels | 8c | 2,582$206 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$206.1 | 1,074 | 43.3%465 W · 609 L | +20.0wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -11.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1064…f153backed Ole Miss Rebels | 11c | 1,500$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165 | 126 | 46.8%59 W · 67 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4699…5051backed Ole Miss Rebels | 15c | 1,380$207 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$207 | 18 | 11.1%2 W · 16 L | -0.7wins | -0.04per pick | 15cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00e0…8a94backed Ole Miss Rebels | 6c | 1,200$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69 | 230 | 28.3%65 W · 165 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 30cpaid | -15.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 8c | 958.13$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$76.65 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Ole Miss Rebels | 11c | 806.01$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$85.12 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Ole Miss Rebels | 12c | 750$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ec4…defabacked Ole Miss Rebels | 12c | 700$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84 | 315 | 37.8%119 W · 196 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Ole Miss Rebels | 8c | 696.92$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.75 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3be6…05b1backed Ole Miss Rebels | 16c | 677.26$105 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$105.35 | 42 | 57.1%24 W · 18 L | +6.1wins | +0.15per pick | 43cpaid | +34.8%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0xf280…b65bbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 6c | 578.27$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 193 | 32.1%62 W · 131 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Ole Miss Rebels | 13c | 489.9$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.24 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked Ole Miss Rebels | 13c | 340$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.2 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe60a…6a47backed Ole Miss Rebels | 12c | 294$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.14 | 2,579 | 47.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L | -42.7wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Ole Miss Rebels | 12c | 264.75$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.77 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1248…8db1backed Ole Miss Rebels | 12c | 196$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.52 | 63 | 19%12 W · 51 L | -2.7wins | -0.04per pick | 23cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x958a…c897backed Ole Miss Rebels | 12c | 175$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21 | 233 | 31.3%73 W · 160 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 31cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaafa…3471backed Ole Miss Rebels | 12c | 166.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 252 | 30.6%77 W · 175 L | -1.9wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 12c | 149.98$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c9e…bba8backed Ole Miss Rebels | 15c | 109$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.39 | 146 | 43.2%63 W · 83 L | -3.9wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcfca…68fcbacked Ole Miss Rebels | 11c | 99.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.99 | 386 | 45.9%177 W · 209 L | +11.4wins | +0.03per pick | 43cpaid | +3.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2f7f…8c81backed Ole Miss Rebels | 16c | 62.5$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 29 | 41.4%12 W · 17 L | -1.3wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Tennessee Volunteersthis page
- Ole Miss Rebels vs. Tennessee Volunteers: O/U 140.5Over won
- Spread: Tennessee Volunteers (-11.5)Tennessee Volunteers won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.