Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: Wright State Raiders (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2963726d2718e0b44ce2b998054ce2fd120192bb4576b3ce458410e45ede1b2
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Wright State Raidersof Wright State Raiders, Northern Kentucky Norse
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $15,062
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $15,062 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x339a…1eaebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 4,955$2,567 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,566.63 | 488 | 55.1%269 W · 219 L | +17.8wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +7.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x20d6…3856backed Wright State Raiders | 48c | 3,346$1,606 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,739.81 | 212 | 62.3%132 W · 80 L | +34.7wins | +0.16per pick | 46cpaid | +37%equal weight | 66+0.15 edge/pick |
| 0x3c7e…a65fbacked Wright State Raiders | 50c | 3,298$1,637 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,660.54 | 279 | 47.3%132 W · 147 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4488…e319backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 2,494$1,222 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,272.27 | 616 | 52.8%325 W · 291 L | +21.6wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +6.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 2,283$1,129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,129.45 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 2,222$1,155 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,155.44 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 1,368$675 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$674.87 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed Wright State Raiders | 48c | 1,042$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$541.66 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ac5…4b6ebacked Wright State Raiders | 48c | 922.93$445 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$478.03 | 2,896 | 50%1,448 W · 1,448 L | +71.0wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6e7…884cbacked Wright State Raiders | 48c | 511.22$245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$265.84 | 32 | 65.6%21 W · 11 L | +4.4wins | +0.14per pick | 52cpaid | +29.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 486.14$248 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$247.93 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 385.81$201 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200.62 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8a97…c1f9backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 323.67$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$165.07 | 219 | 55.3%121 W · 98 L | +13.2wins | +0.06per pick | 49cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xb227…8809backed Wright State Raiders | 51c | 291.55$149 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$142.86 | 61 | 50.8%31 W · 30 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 53cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdff8…3c8bbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 271.83$139 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.64 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 51cpaid | 0%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb8bd…c55abacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 54c | 250.57$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.6 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -1.2wins | -0.15per pick | 53cpaid | -27.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe33f…e413backed Wright State Raiders | 50c | 199.99$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$101 | 372 | 46.2%172 W · 200 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3100…9bc9backed Wright State Raiders | 48c | 168.66$81 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$87.7 | 66 | 40.9%27 W · 39 L | -1.9wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 162.69$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$79.72 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 147.58$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.36 | 1,234 | 44.8%553 W · 681 L | -32.8wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xbc15…3a2ebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 144.72$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.26 | 45 | 46.7%21 W · 24 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 137.75$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.71 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x38ef…8800backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 109.04$53 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.61 | 33 | 66.7%22 W · 11 L | +4.9wins | +0.15per pick | 52cpaid | +31.8%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x22a4…63ebbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 108.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.58 | 248 | 57.3%142 W · 106 L | +13.0wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0b87…9414backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 101.15$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.59 | 828 | 46.1%382 W · 446 L | +15.1wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Wright State Raiders | 50c | 100$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xac4d…8e7ebacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 50c | 99.13$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 59 | 47.5%28 W · 31 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xda60…595cbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 97.18$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49.56 | 70 | 45.7%32 W · 38 L | +1.4wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf4f8…5bf1backed Wright State Raiders | 55c | 69.81$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.59 | 358 | 52%186 W · 172 L | -2.9wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 65.03$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.16 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Wright State Raiders | 48c | 61.5$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.98 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 60.59$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.9 | 1,446 | 43.4%627 W · 819 L | +10.6wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…f9d1backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 56$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.12 | 92 | 58.7%54 W · 38 L | +7.2wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xc5b5…7e80backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 55.89$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.5 | 2,003 | 53.7%1,076 W · 927 L | +101.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6912…2aabbacked Northern Kentucky Norse | 50c | 51.55$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.77 | 23 | 65.2%15 W · 8 L | +2.7wins | +0.12per pick | 53cpaid | +21.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xbf57…ecc4backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 47.83$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.67 | 77 | 48.1%37 W · 40 L | -6.5wins | -0.08per pick | 57cpaid | -17.9%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2c93…0fb8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 52c | 40.99$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.18 | 52 | 48.1%25 W · 27 L | -3.6wins | -0.07per pick | 55cpaid | -12.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0466…b3a5backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 40.46$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.63 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.08per pick | 49cpaid | +16.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2b78…c6b5backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 38.58$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.52 | 609 | 54.5%332 W · 277 L | +15.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf02f…1ed8backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 34.69$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17 | 220 | 47.7%105 W · 115 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +20.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b89…99e2backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 51c | 32.5$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.57 | 213 | 42.3%90 W · 123 L | -6.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -3.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 44c | 26.77$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.78 | 2,012 | 50%1,006 W · 1,006 L | +22.3wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3a51…b2b6backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 54c | 24.73$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.3 | 172 | 58.7%101 W · 71 L | +14.3wins | +0.08per pick | 50cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x43e8…af56backed Northern Kentucky Norse | 49c | 24.28$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.9 | 184 | 39.1%72 W · 112 L | -3.8wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | -16.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Wright State Raiders | 49c | 20.42$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.41 | 1,249 | 16.4%205 W · 1,044 L | -189.4wins | -0.15per pick | 32cpaid | -51.1%equal weight | 33-0.15 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: Wright State Raiders (-1.5)this page
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State RaidersWright State Raiders won
- Northern Kentucky Norse vs. Wright State Raiders: O/U 157.5Over won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.