CS2 · resolved market
Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group D
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2aac3c1d52d317c6f21a5c6255fd6ea33462d4f53963948c4a99535feecc0cd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Teletubisieof Alliance, Teletubisie
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- CS2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $10,598
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,521
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $10,598 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 29 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in CS2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in CS2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x3db4…d69bbacked Alliance | 55c | 3,500$1,925 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,924.99 | 753 | 56.8%428 W · 325 L | +48.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +13.3%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xfd14…2267backed Teletubisie | 42c | 1,230$522 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$707.81 | 5,876 | 37.7%2,213 W · 3,663 L | +71.9wins | +0.01per pick | 36cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0e4…dd38backed Teletubisie | 38c | 523.09$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$323.47 | 434 | 57.1%248 W · 186 L | +20.9wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1c81…5518backed Teletubisie | 45c | 400$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$220 | 122 | 49.2%60 W · 62 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 46cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeaf1…09b7backed Teletubisie | 45c | 395.56$178 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$217.56 | 112 | 41.1%46 W · 66 L | -3.3wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa72a…5685backed Teletubisie | 45c | 390.02$176 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$214.51 | 317 | 41.3%131 W · 186 L | -14.7wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -13.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc386…386fbacked Teletubisie | 45c | 388$175 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$213.4 | 262 | 45.4%119 W · 143 L | +13.7wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +30.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7460…de6ebacked Alliance | 54c | 375.33$203 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$202.68 | 445 | 51.2%228 W · 217 L | +7.1wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Teletubisie | 46c | 255.32$119 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$136.71 | 4,099 | 51%2,091 W · 2,008 L | +74.6wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfcc7…4d38backed Alliance | 76c | 214$163 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.64 | 84 | 67.9%57 W · 27 L | +4.0wins | +0.05per pick | 63cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7129…4517backed Teletubisie | 24c | 210$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$159.6 | 1,087 | 37.5%408 W · 679 L | +33.8wins | +0.03per pick | 34cpaid | +9.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6c64…89babacked Teletubisie | 45c | 206$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.3 | 353 | 42.8%151 W · 202 L | -6.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4b27…0635backed Alliance | 56c | 200$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112 | 330 | 50%165 W · 165 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Teletubisie | 54c | 190.35$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.99 | 5,034 | 37.2%1,874 W · 3,160 L | -260.4wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -32.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdcce…c920backed Alliance | 55c | 188.62$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$104 | 180 | 62.2%112 W · 68 L | +1.7wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Teletubisie | 50c | 109.01$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.77 | 5,580 | 47.2%2,632 W · 2,948 L | +47.0wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -4.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Teletubisie | 54c | 102.05$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.13 | 4,754 | 43.6%2,071 W · 2,683 L | -85.1wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5a30…7039backed Alliance | 38c | 100$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 47 | 55.3%26 W · 21 L | +3.4wins | +0.07per pick | 48cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xebf5…b1d0backed Teletubisie | 45c | 92.7$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.99 | 528 | 50.6%267 W · 261 L | +7.9wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9ab3…3044backed Teletubisie | 45c | 87$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$47.85 | 1,121 | 42.5%476 W · 645 L | -12.8wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed Alliance | 22c | 87$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.44 | 5,341 | 31.3%1,674 W · 3,667 L | -390.7wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -37.2%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40c2…aef7backed Alliance | 71c | 63.36$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$44.99 | 48 | 45.8%22 W · 26 L | +2.6wins | +0.05per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x329d…5a92backed Teletubisie | 28c | 59.15$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$42.77 | 166 | 44.6%74 W · 92 L | -2.5wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x597d…b97dbacked Alliance | 55c | 54.6$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 86 | 38.4%33 W · 53 L | +0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -19.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa951…8a2fbacked Alliance | 55c | 48$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.4 | 1,142 | 54.4%621 W · 521 L | -4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2de…c222backed Teletubisie | 45c | 41$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.55 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +1.1wins | +0.55per pick | 46cpaid | +119.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6e2c…787cbacked Teletubisie | 46c | 39.53$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.28 | 817 | 44.7%365 W · 452 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -23.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x4575…3a3fbacked Teletubisie | 69c | 39$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$12.09 | 55 | 56.4%31 W · 24 L | +3.6wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +6.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xddb6…b9b3backed Teletubisie | 53c | 24$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.28 | 2,554 | 41.3%1,054 W · 1,500 L | -116.5wins | -0.05per pick | 46cpaid | -22.7%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in CS2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Teletubisie (BO3) - United21 Group Dthis page
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Teletubisie - Map 1 WinnerTeletubisie won
- Counter-Strike: Alliance vs Teletubisie - Map 2 WinnerTeletubisie won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.