Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd2fc8444087dc3b6a88c9553dd54cd9797f8db92a95a385fcc2c4af2a1d875ed
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacksof McNeese State Cowboys, Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $35,903
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,157
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $35,903 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 37 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 57c | 15,000$8,550 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,549.98 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 45c | 8,154$3,667 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,487.07 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked McNeese State Cowboys | 56c | 7,355$4,140 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,139.56 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a7a…15a4backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 43c | 6,977$3,000 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,976.74 | 351 | 51.9%182 W · 169 L | +2.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x762e…4bf0backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 43c | 5,947$2,557 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,389.51 | 96 | 52.1%50 W · 46 L | -2.0wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed McNeese State Cowboys | 54c | 5,000$2,682 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,681.64 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 44c | 4,384$1,925 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,458.95 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 46c | 2,130$975 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,154.66 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd48a…6e90backed McNeese State Cowboys | 57c | 1,930$1,100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,100 | 155 | 57.4%89 W · 66 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 58cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed McNeese State Cowboys | 54c | 1,661$897 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$896.94 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7140…47e3backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 43c | 1,163$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.79 | 200 | 46.5%93 W · 107 L | -4.5wins | -0.02per pick | 49cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 46c | 978.9$449 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$529.56 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 43c | 574.42$247 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$327.42 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3817…7d10backed McNeese State Cowboys | 55c | 550.85$303 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$302.97 | 298 | 45.3%135 W · 163 L | -8.1wins | -0.03per pick | 48cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 46c | 524.74$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$283.36 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 44c | 390.34$171 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$219.8 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 44c | 353.83$154 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$199.85 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed McNeese State Cowboys | 53c | 252.85$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$134.01 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 44c | 250$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$140.31 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x34fa…f491backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 43c | 200$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$114 | 1,070 | 46.9%502 W · 568 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 44c | 200$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa8f3…e544backed McNeese State Cowboys | 57c | 179.99$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.6 | 574 | 48.3%277 W · 297 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 47c | 178.85$84 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$94.79 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked McNeese State Cowboys | 55c | 149.99$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.49 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 44c | 121.39$54 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$67.85 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 56c | 119.7$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$67.42 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x051b…09d4backed McNeese State Cowboys | 58c | 84.48$49 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$49 | 200 | 51.5%103 W · 97 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -2.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed McNeese State Cowboys | 58c | 68.55$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.76 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed McNeese State Cowboys | 55c | 48.37$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.79 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed McNeese State Cowboys | 55c | 45.45$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 46c | 45$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.5 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed McNeese State Cowboys | 54c | 40.7$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.98 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 43c | 34.88$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.88 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb986…d032backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 43c | 34.65$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.75 | 22 | 72.7%16 W · 6 L | +4.5wins | +0.21per pick | 52cpaid | +40.1%equal weight | 61+0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x7e97…727fbacked McNeese State Cowboys | 54c | 32.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 55cpaid | -11.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7280…fbd1backed McNeese State Cowboys | 54c | 32.78$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.7 | 13 | 38.5%5 W · 8 L | -0.5wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -28.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5cfe…ed69backed Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks | 44c | 30$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.8 | 198 | 51.5%102 W · 96 L | +5.6wins | +0.03per pick | 49cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-1.5)this page
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin LumberjacksStephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 142.5Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.