Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 142.5
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x4f858f19e01eab7444a88da9ddff2cbcf8cf7c7852e18d97950903eebc1c2eda
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Underof Over, Under
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $189,940
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $189,764
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $189,940 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 76 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x2537…bff9backed Under | 50c | 110,348$55,098 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55,249.47 | 444 | 52.7%234 W · 210 L | +6.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x163e…dc5bbacked Over | 51c | 50,526$26,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26,008.12 | 127 | 54.3%69 W · 58 L | +4.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed Over | 50c | 28,000$14,075 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,075 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9731…9b35backed Over | 50c | 27,886$14,018 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14,017.69 | 1,633 | 47.3%773 W · 860 L | +25.5wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked Over | 51c | 20,749$10,511 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10,510.93 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked Under | 47c | 16,846$7,958 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8,887.63 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe7a2…ae70backed Under | 49c | 13,000$6,370 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,630 | 148 | 54.1%80 W · 68 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xead0…f3babacked Over | 49c | 10,000$4,850 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,850 | 107 | 45.8%49 W · 58 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb6ae…4df8backed Over | 50c | 9,590$4,820 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,820.38 | 176 | 43.8%77 W · 99 L | -8.2wins | -0.05per pick | 48cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Under | 49c | 6,308$3,091 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,217.08 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbb66…2f53backed Over | 50c | 5,926$2,992 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,992 | 146 | 54.1%79 W · 67 L | +6.8wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Under | 48c | 5,844$2,784 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,060.84 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x067f…e041backed Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 301 | 39.2%118 W · 183 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x91fd…1cdebacked Over | 50c | 5,000$2,500 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,500 | 110 | 48.2%53 W · 57 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x098b…1fa5backed Under | 48c | 5,000$2,400 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,600 | 23 | 39.1%9 W · 14 L | -0.7wins | -0.03per pick | 42cpaid | -16%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33dd…ef8abacked Over | 50c | 4,000$2,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$2,000 | 278 | 51.1%142 W · 136 L | -1.8wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc949…fa93backed Under | 48c | 3,908$1,876 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,032.33 | 185 | 48.6%90 W · 95 L | -4.6wins | -0.03per pick | 51cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x84f7…ade1backed Under | 49c | 3,650$1,789 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,861.5 | 1,074 | 47%505 W · 569 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9405…c071backed Under | 49c | 3,000$1,470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,530 | 445 | 49.4%220 W · 225 L | -14.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked Over | 52c | 2,685$1,400 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,400 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9870…b9d3backed Over | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 212 | 48.1%102 W · 110 L | -4.4wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb2a4…cf8abacked Under | 48c | 1,275$612 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$662.99 | 57 | 59.6%34 W · 23 L | +4.7wins | +0.08per pick | 51cpaid | +22.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x30a4…8441backed Under | 48c | 1,000$480 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$520 | 422 | 46.2%195 W · 227 L | -9.5wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcb43…3c74backed Over | 51c | 999.98$510 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$509.99 | 285 | 39.6%113 W · 172 L | -14.4wins | -0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -11.1%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed Under | 49c | 988.92$483 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$505.87 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked Over | 50c | 840$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.28 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked Over | 51c | 832.29$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$422.26 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a7…63e7backed Over | 53c | 800$424 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$424 | 557 | 49.2%274 W · 283 L | -7.4wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8738…222bbacked Over | 53c | 716.98$380 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$380 | 255 | 56.1%143 W · 112 L | +12.4wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xecfc…cd05backed Under | 48c | 652$314 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$337.53 | 1,155 | 50.4%582 W · 573 L | -34.4wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -8.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5cbf…82abbacked Under | 48c | 645.83$310 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.83 | 132 | 47%62 W · 70 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -1.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x39c6…0ac1backed Under | 48c | 602.08$289 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$313.08 | 262 | 54.2%142 W · 120 L | +7.4wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x68a9…e73abacked Over | 52c | 577$300 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$300.04 | 267 | 49.1%131 W · 136 L | +6.6wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8415…dfe1backed Under | 46c | 536$249 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$287.43 | 80 | 55%44 W · 36 L | +4.3wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa632…4c96backed Under | 50c | 500$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$250 | 564 | 44.1%249 W · 315 L | +2.0wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -3.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe2bb…ea55backed Under | 48c | 480.02$230 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$249.61 | 213 | 47.9%102 W · 111 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6bb3…758ebacked Under | 48c | 415$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.8 | 741 | 52.6%390 W · 351 L | +9.2wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +2.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Under | 49c | 402.21$195 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$206.9 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Under | 50c | 400$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$200 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd6…ab3dbacked Under | 46c | 400$184 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$216 | 1,487 | 43%639 W · 848 L | +50.8wins | +0.03per pick | 40cpaid | +11.8%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xe401…7b88backed Under | 47c | 351.88$167 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$184.75 | 3,905 | 58.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L | +165.3wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4fb0…3182backed Over | 50c | 350$177 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$176.63 | 413 | 54%223 W · 190 L | +13.3wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x57b9…e9b4backed Over | 51c | 264.71$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135 | 95 | 51.6%49 W · 46 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked Under | 49c | 244.89$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.89 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked Over | 51c | 215.69$110 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$110 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f2b…0f9abacked Under | 48c | 208.33$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$108.33 | 407 | 55.8%227 W · 180 L | +14.8wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | +6.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed Over | 50c | 204.51$102 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$102.26 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdf60…f8d5backed Under | 49c | 203.35$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.35 | 80 | 51.3%41 W · 39 L | +0.8wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x43d7…1c75backed Under | 50c | 200$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$100 | 142 | 44.4%63 W · 79 L | +5.5wins | +0.04per pick | 41cpaid | +9.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03f7…c0ccbacked Under | 48c | 200$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104 | 51 | 39.2%20 W · 31 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +106.2%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc42c…42a1backed Under | 49c | 194$95 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$99.02 | 635 | 51.5%327 W · 308 L | +9.3wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1e11…45ecbacked Over | 52c | 192.31$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 10 | 40%4 W · 6 L | -1.2wins | -0.12per pick | 52cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1b1a…68d8backed Over | 53c | 188.68$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 119 | 57.1%68 W · 51 L | +6.3wins | +0.05per pick | 52cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0c1c…9b07backed Under | 50c | 180$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$90 | 49 | 49%24 W · 25 L | +0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3eff…ae12backed Under | 46c | 153.96$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.14 | 423 | 39.2%166 W · 257 L | +10.2wins | +0.02per pick | 37cpaid | +12.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7eaa…3ea5backed Over | 52c | 153.85$80 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$80 | 114 | 45.6%52 W · 62 L | -7.6wins | -0.07per pick | 52cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0d21…08d3backed Over | 50c | 101.92$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.96 | 138 | 52.2%72 W · 66 L | +2.6wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed Over | 50c | 100$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd63…a39abacked Over | 49c | 91.84$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 54 | 37%20 W · 34 L | -7.3wins | -0.14per pick | 51cpaid | -29.8%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x5101…4a4fbacked Under | 48c | 83.33$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.33 | 226 | 56.2%127 W · 99 L | +14.1wins | +0.06per pick | 50cpaid | +11.2%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8d84…6df0backed Over | 49c | 80.69$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.44 | 536 | 46.5%249 W · 287 L | -24.3wins | -0.05per pick | 51cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6d72…c356backed Over | 52c | 80$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.6 | 194 | 45.9%89 W · 105 L | -7.9wins | -0.04per pick | 50cpaid | -5.4%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x849f…0665backed Under | 48c | 77.6$38 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.04 | 624 | 51.1%319 W · 305 L | +9.8wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +3.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe974…bb41backed Under | 49c | 71.87$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.87 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.7wins | +0.09per pick | 41cpaid | +39.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6c8e…22c3backed Over | 51c | 58.82$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 66 | 48.5%32 W · 34 L | -0.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xef2e…8d89backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 498 | 49.6%247 W · 251 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xceee…9051backed Under | 48c | 52.08$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.08 | 6 | 16.7%1 W · 5 L | -2.0wins | -0.34per pick | 50cpaid | -65.3%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x4b79…a497backed Over | 52c | 45.69$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 34 | 73.5%25 W · 9 L | +7.0wins | +0.20per pick | 53cpaid | +36.7%equal weight | 63+0.12 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked Under | 50c | 42$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.13 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfa6…4eb6backed Under | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.67 | 11 | 63.6%7 W · 4 L | +1.6wins | +0.14per pick | 49cpaid | +31.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbda3…ef65backed Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.8 | 627 | 53%332 W · 295 L | +13.4wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x52f2…5a5dbacked Under | 48c | 40$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.65 | 23 | 82.6%19 W · 4 L | +6.4wins | +0.28per pick | 55cpaid | +54.3%equal weight | 65+0.13 edge/pick |
| 0x9487…54bbbacked Under | 45c | 33.33$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.33 | 362 | 48.6%176 W · 186 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | +3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc19b…297bbacked Under | 48c | 31.04$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.04 | 4 | 50%2 W · 2 L | 0.0wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc7f7…06c5backed Under | 48c | 29.1$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.13 | 427 | 51.8%221 W · 206 L | +0.9wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x58ac…7e1fbacked Over | 50c | 20$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10 | 9 | 44.4%4 W · 5 L | -0.6wins | -0.07per pick | 51cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks: O/U 142.5this page
- McNeese State Cowboys vs. Stephen F. Austin LumberjacksStephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
- Spread: McNeese State Cowboys (-1.5)Stephen F. Austin Lumberjacks won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.