Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ALT F4 vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd323a34937f8a7fcc4989c947170f76784515e6ba62a4929b8b495602558bbf8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Melser Kindergartenof ALT F4, Melser Kindergarten
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,161
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $28,161 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 26 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xbc67…5286backed Melser Kindergarten | 60c | 3,497$2,093 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,403.4 | 337 | 59.6%201 W · 136 L | +18.9wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdc5a…bf71backed ALT F4 | 49c | 2,704$1,321 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,321.44 | 146 | 52.1%76 W · 70 L | +6.4wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7a46…ab25backed Melser Kindergarten | 50c | 2,096$1,042 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,053.68 | 29 | 51.7%15 W · 14 L | +0.4wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Melser Kindergarten | 57c | 1,889$1,077 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$812.54 | 215 | 58.1%125 W · 90 L | +15.9wins | +0.07per pick | 51cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x2652…2a1dbacked ALT F4 | 50c | 1,142$575 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$575.39 | 174 | 63.8%111 W · 63 L | +7.2wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed ALT F4 | 52c | 955.38$496 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$496.46 | 1,746 | 46.2%806 W · 940 L | -3.2wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9f4b…f9bfbacked ALT F4 | 41c | 654.27$267 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$267.5 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.3wins | -0.12per pick | 45cpaid | -49.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Melser Kindergarten | 51c | 473.82$239 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$234.43 | 702 | 51.3%360 W · 342 L | +7.5wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked ALT F4 | 54c | 450$243 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$243.1 | 1,365 | 38.9%531 W · 834 L | -60.0wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Melser Kindergarten | 65c | 429$280 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$149.07 | 1,607 | 37.5%603 W · 1,004 L | -75.2wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -26.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked ALT F4 | 31c | 382.79$119 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$118.67 | 192 | 48.4%93 W · 99 L | +1.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2f1f…aa39backed ALT F4 | 46c | 139.96$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$64.38 | 75 | 65.3%49 W · 26 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 64cpaid | +4.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7712…155abacked Melser Kindergarten | 42c | 130$55 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$74.94 | 12 | 58.3%7 W · 5 L | +1.3wins | +0.11per pick | 47cpaid | +18.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf0b0…8cabbacked ALT F4 | 49c | 120$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.29 | 49 | 63.3%31 W · 18 L | +4.3wins | +0.09per pick | 54cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x1599…5432backed Melser Kindergarten | 70c | 111.43$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.43 | 49 | 46.9%23 W · 26 L | -1.4wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7f2d…fbf5backed Melser Kindergarten | 51c | 80$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.93 | 109 | 59.6%65 W · 44 L | +8.0wins | +0.07per pick | 52cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd8…9a1cbacked ALT F4 | 54c | 50$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27 | 312 | 27.6%86 W · 226 L | -33.9wins | -0.11per pick | 38cpaid | -42.3%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x2757…55f0backed Melser Kindergarten | 55c | 44$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.8 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +4.4wins | +0.09per pick | 48cpaid | +16.7%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2d66…aa07backed ALT F4 | 48c | 41.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 62 | 51.6%32 W · 30 L | -3.0wins | -0.05per pick | 56cpaid | -11.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1e98…110bbacked ALT F4 | 45c | 40.47$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.21 | 12 | 41.7%5 W · 7 L | -0.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -38%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4713…4d21backed ALT F4 | 55c | 39$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.45 | 818 | 34.8%285 W · 533 L | -61.5wins | -0.08per pick | 42cpaid | -34.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x0386…2b1abacked Melser Kindergarten | 40c | 37.5$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.5 | 170 | 39.4%67 W · 103 L | +7.3wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf39a…fe47backed Melser Kindergarten | 52c | 29.99$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 636 | 52.7%335 W · 301 L | -3.3wins | -0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcb68…c695backed ALT F4 | 47c | 26$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.22 | 8 | 37.5%3 W · 5 L | -0.2wins | -0.03per pick | 40cpaid | -13.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked ALT F4 | 54c | 25.99$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.99 | 1,380 | 47.1%650 W · 730 L | +10.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -6.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2cbb…ced2backed ALT F4 | 49c | 21.22$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 10 | 60%6 W · 4 L | -0.4wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -13.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 3 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ALT F4 vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 1 Winnerthis page
- Valorant: ALT F4 vs Melser Kindergarten (BO3) - VCL Latin America South Group StageMelser Kindergarten won
- Valorant: ALT F4 vs Melser Kindergarten - Map 2 WinnerMelser Kindergarten won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.