Euroleague · resolved market
Real Madrid vs. CB Murcia
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd338c91bc2844fa55eb9a7d8d26ae7aa707d7d1d266aae73ed9b566c3faaeebc
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Real Madridof Real Madrid, CB Murcia
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $11,279
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,805
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $11,279 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 38 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x8d88…1e28backed Real Madrid | 22c | 770.19$170 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$600.12 | 15 | 60%9 W · 6 L | +1.5wins | +0.10per pick | 50cpaid | +34%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f26…0d8fbacked CB Murcia | 76c | 551.74$422 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$421.84 | 70 | 42.9%30 W · 40 L | +0.5wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1de1…8f45backed Real Madrid | 67c | 320$214 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.6 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.16per pick | 49cpaid | -50.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8e8c…65ddbacked CB Murcia | 33c | 312.18$103 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.2 | 51 | 51%26 W · 25 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Real Madrid | 21c | 300$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$237 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdc60…66a2backed Real Madrid | 71c | 280.71$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.71 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +0.8wins | +0.17per pick | 63cpaid | +34.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed CB Murcia | 79c | 270$213 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$213.3 | 67 | 47.8%32 W · 35 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -18.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5a81…7debbacked CB Murcia | 75c | 266.67$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 6 | 83.3%5 W · 1 L | +0.6wins | +0.10per pick | 73cpaid | +14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5354…33e5backed Real Madrid | 19c | 264.2$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$215.11 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.8wins | +0.81per pick | 19cpaid | +438.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed CB Murcia | 62c | 239.37$147 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.25 | 104 | 51.9%54 W · 50 L | +7.3wins | +0.07per pick | 45cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x49c8…3c52backed CB Murcia | 27c | 215.04$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58.86 | 33 | 42.4%14 W · 19 L | -0.8wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | +10.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x794c…fa17backed Real Madrid | 75c | 199.01$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$49.01 | 20 | 75%15 W · 5 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 73cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6e25…db26backed Real Madrid | 64c | 161.24$104 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.58 | 32 | 50%16 W · 16 L | -4.1wins | -0.13per pick | 63cpaid | -21.1%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5628…abbcbacked CB Murcia | 27c | 154.5$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 57 | 47.4%27 W · 30 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb239…80b4backed Real Madrid | 73c | 150$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.2 | 2 | 100%2 W · 0 L | +0.5wins | +0.26per pick | 74cpaid | +35.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0a76…b30fbacked Real Madrid | 35c | 140$49 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91 | 13 | 61.5%8 W · 5 L | +2.8wins | +0.21per pick | 40cpaid | +72.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Real Madrid | 16c | 115.52$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$97.04 | 37 | 43.2%16 W · 21 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5213…6a35backed CB Murcia | 31c | 106$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.86 | 52 | 30.8%16 W · 36 L | -2.9wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -21%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb4d2…ce99backed CB Murcia | 79c | 104.39$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.18 | 135 | 45.9%62 W · 73 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -5.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe062…4907backed CB Murcia | 27c | 102.04$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.55 | 42 | 45.2%19 W · 23 L | +1.2wins | +0.03per pick | 42cpaid | +4.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5dc2…4837backed Real Madrid | 64c | 96.01$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$34.52 | 4 | 25%1 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.35per pick | 60cpaid | -61%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xc46e…9ed8backed CB Murcia | 28c | 88.28$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | -0.5wins | -0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x161a…4103backed CB Murcia | 40c | 82$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.91 | 370 | 52.7%195 W · 175 L | +9.8wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -2.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5e11…9f74backed Real Madrid | 62c | 76.54$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.73 | 24 | 54.2%13 W · 11 L | -2.1wins | -0.09per pick | 63cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x159a…d8dbbacked Real Madrid | 66c | 68.14$45 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.17 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.34per pick | 66cpaid | +51.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc0f8…ae2ebacked CB Murcia | 68c | 61.73$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.84 | 9 | 66.7%6 W · 3 L | +0.6wins | +0.07per pick | 60cpaid | +24.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa163…3ccbbacked CB Murcia | 34c | 61$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.74 | 12 | 33.3%4 W · 8 L | -0.9wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -34.4%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x929a…4dc9backed Real Madrid | 57c | 51.76$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$22.26 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.43per pick | 57cpaid | +75.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xebde…1de0backed Real Madrid | 28c | 46.71$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.48 | 14 | 21.4%3 W · 11 L | -2.4wins | -0.17per pick | 39cpaid | -51.3%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5df5…c44cbacked CB Murcia | 52c | 45.23$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.43 | 66 | 42.4%28 W · 38 L | -4.0wins | -0.06per pick | 48cpaid | -30.1%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked CB Murcia | 68c | 34.86$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.76 | 316 | 51.6%163 W · 153 L | +14.0wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2754…1668backed CB Murcia | 60c | 30.05$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.07 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +19%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed CB Murcia | 79c | 30$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.7 | 37 | 35.1%13 W · 24 L | -6.4wins | -0.17per pick | 52cpaid | -44.1%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed CB Murcia | 43c | 23.98$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.21 | 214 | 44.4%95 W · 119 L | +2.3wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf6b3…1b3ebacked Real Madrid | 75c | 20$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.25per pick | 75cpaid | +33.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xaa81…aaf7backed Real Madrid | 66c | 18.18$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.18 | 8 | 50%4 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.05per pick | 45cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x06fc…9b16backed Real Madrid | 72c | 18.06$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.06 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.9wins | +0.24per pick | 67cpaid | +38%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…ba2cbacked Real Madrid | 73c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.05 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -11.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.