TailMyPicks

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Ncaa Basketball · resolved market

Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. SIUE Cougars

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
SIUE Cougarsof Southeast Missouri State Redhawks, SIUE Cougars
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$12,573
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$12,664

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,573 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 39 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xa16f…e53cbacked SIUE Cougars49c2,300$1,127 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$1,1731100%1 W · 0 L+0.5wins+0.51per pick49cpaid+104.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x47c7…2aaebacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks51c2,300$1,173 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1,17310%0 W · 1 L-0.5wins-0.51per pick51cpaid-100%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe60a…6a47backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks5c824$39 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$392,57947.3%1,221 W · 1,358 L-42.7wins-0.02per pick49cpaid-6.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x6027…4320backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks51c600$306 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3061,39752.7%736 W · 661 L+26.1wins+0.02per pick51cpaid+3.7%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0xf5a7…63e7backed SIUE Cougars49c600$294 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30655749.2%274 W · 283 L-7.4wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xead1…c76abacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks50c317.08$160 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$160.071,51147.8%722 W · 789 L-35.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-9.2%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xee61…debfbacked SIUE Cougars49c235.82$116 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$119.8412,42249.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L+118.8wins+0.01per pick49cpaid+1.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x204f…5e14backed SIUE Cougars49c233.61$115 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$118.795,55347.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L+26.3wins0.00per pick47cpaid-3.6%equal weight510.00 edge/pick
0x6008…a80bbacked SIUE Cougars49c204.08$100 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$104.084,55250.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L-36.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-1.5%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xd610…4c9abacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks50c199.6$99 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$99.132,19433.4%733 W · 1,461 L+19.2wins+0.01per pick33cpaid-0.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5d9e…e0e3backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks49c117.45$58 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$57.5593447.9%447 W · 487 L-19.2wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-13.2%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xe401…7b88backed SIUE Cougars65c114.54$74 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$40.43,90558.8%2,298 W · 1,607 L+165.3wins+0.04per pick55cpaid+4.5%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0xd1ed…d7cbbacked SIUE Cougars29c114$33 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$81.481,54041.3%636 W · 904 L+4.7wins0.00per pick41cpaid-16.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf588…2b81backed SIUE Cougars28c104$29 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$74.882,12450.4%1,070 W · 1,054 L+40.6wins+0.02per pick48cpaid+0.1%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x31d7…42c1backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks72c104$75 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$74.887247.2%34 W · 38 L+5.1wins+0.07per pick40cpaid+25.6%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xcb5b…f243backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks17c102.5$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.9168254.3%370 W · 312 L+10.1wins+0.01per pick53cpaid-5%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0x507e…beaebacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks50c100$50 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$505,94649.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L+163.0wins+0.03per pick47cpaid-0.9%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xbc3a…e1f0backed SIUE Cougars50c100$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5026848.1%129 W · 139 L-5.6wins-0.02per pick50cpaid-4%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x00cf…d102backed SIUE Cougars51c99.99$51 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$4921449.5%106 W · 108 L-2.2wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-2.6%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xecfc…cd05backed SIUE Cougars52c90$47 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$43.361,15550.4%582 W · 573 L-34.4wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-8.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xd9e0…05f2backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks24c65$16 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$15.571,49348.7%727 W · 766 L-1.5wins0.00per pick49cpaid-19.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x3abc…509cbacked SIUE Cougars50c60.02$30 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$30.021050%5 W · 5 L-0.1wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-11.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xc653…bb8cbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks51c58.82$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3039050.5%197 W · 193 L-34.9wins-0.09per pick59cpaid-15.4%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xe0ae…106cbacked SIUE Cougars50c50.82$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$25.344050%20 W · 20 L-1.1wins-0.03per pick53cpaid-6.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x1624…bf63backed SIUE Cougars29c50$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$35.51,07443.3%465 W · 609 L+20.0wins+0.02per pick41cpaid-11.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x3cb6…ff78backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks62c48.76$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$30977.8%7 W · 2 L+0.9wins+0.10per pick68cpaid+11.6%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x9dd9…08bdbacked SIUE Cougars28c47$13 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$33.731,95145.1%880 W · 1,071 L-19.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-16.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x850a…e5dbbacked SIUE Cougars63c31.5$20 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$11.518167.4%122 W · 59 L+1.6wins+0.01per pick67cpaid+2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xfd97…ad0cbacked SIUE Cougars34c29.74$10 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$19.572560%15 W · 10 L+6.5wins+0.26per pick34cpaid+71.9%equal weight64+0.13 edge/pick
0x313c…61d9backed SIUE Cougars51c29.59$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.621346.2%6 W · 7 L-0.7wins-0.05per pick51cpaid-24.1%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xfefb…4b5dbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks41c27.99$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.51,88745.2%853 W · 1,034 L+6.5wins0.00per pick45cpaid-15.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x2dc4…0c92backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks48c27.52$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.2199045.6%451 W · 539 L+9.6wins+0.01per pick45cpaid+2.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks65c27.45$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$17.961,66736.4%607 W · 1,060 L-4.0wins0.00per pick37cpaid-7.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xdbdd…a5debacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks56c21.61$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.134,38240.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L+23.7wins+0.01per pick40cpaid-6.9%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x161a…4103backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks62c21.23$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$13.132,01250%1,006 W · 1,006 L+22.3wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-0.8%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x6814…a9e7backed SIUE Cougars75c20.57$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$5.163,38049.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L+30.4wins+0.01per pick49cpaid-9.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0x5a0c…9db8backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks53c20.16$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.612748.8%62 W · 65 L-4.9wins-0.04per pick53cpaid-12.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x7b12…7a77backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks52c20$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.452353.5%280 W · 243 L-17.9wins-0.03per pick57cpaid-5.9%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x6c47…7a9fbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks53c20$11 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.69035.6%32 W · 58 L+0.4wins0.00per pick35cpaid+18.7%equal weight500.00 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.