Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
Spread: SIUE Cougars (-1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x848e701a155b75ec6dea97867e398eb5c6d4c4a22f05eebc307935c96ccf3665
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- SIUE Cougarsof SIUE Cougars, Southeast Missouri State Redhawks
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $27,718
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $27,782
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $27,718 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 24 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x5c2b…2575backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 50c | 16,000$8,060 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$8,060 | 609 | 49.8%303 W · 306 L | -9.2wins | -0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe248…f293backed SIUE Cougars | 49c | 10,000$4,940 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5,060 | 781 | 55.6%434 W · 347 L | +38.2wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +10%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x9c7e…0f7abacked SIUE Cougars | 50c | 6,476$3,245 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3,230.73 | 232 | 48.3%112 W · 120 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x842a…7422backed SIUE Cougars | 47c | 3,175$1,492 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,682.52 | 351 | 47.6%167 W · 184 L | -9.7wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xee61…debfbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 51c | 2,305$1,181 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,181.39 | 12,422 | 49.8%6,191 W · 6,231 L | +118.8wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x05b9…2adfbacked Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 53c | 1,891$1,000 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,000 | 572 | 48.1%275 W · 297 L | -27.3wins | -0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -8.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8fb4…5c6cbacked SIUE Cougars | 50c | 1,004$500 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$504.41 | 154 | 47.4%73 W · 81 L | +2.4wins | +0.02per pick | 46cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5bc4…f44fbacked SIUE Cougars | 47c | 1,000$470 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$530 | 141 | 50.4%71 W · 70 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 53c | 612.01$322 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$321.85 | 5,553 | 47.4%2,634 W · 2,919 L | +26.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda75…bbf9backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 55c | 499.99$275 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$275 | 237 | 54.9%130 W · 107 L | +4.7wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7b2c…af48backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 53c | 400$212 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$212 | 352 | 43.2%152 W · 200 L | -11.1wins | -0.03per pick | 46cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b20…99e9backed SIUE Cougars | 45c | 282.22$127 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$155.22 | 794 | 48.9%388 W · 406 L | +1.6wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1733…1e15backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 52c | 253.16$132 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$131.64 | 1,231 | 47%578 W · 653 L | -17.6wins | -0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3078…0389backed SIUE Cougars | 48c | 241.62$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.69 | 378 | 35.7%135 W · 243 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6008…a80bbacked SIUE Cougars | 45c | 222.22$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$122.22 | 4,552 | 50.1%2,279 W · 2,273 L | -36.1wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8b…d3d6backed SIUE Cougars | 48c | 200.85$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$104.44 | 307 | 46.3%142 W · 165 L | -2.0wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -5.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c69…2b8dbacked SIUE Cougars | 50c | 147.61$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.51 | 693 | 50.4%349 W · 344 L | +0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x15f9…607ebacked SIUE Cougars | 50c | 139.99$70 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$69.72 | 321 | 46.7%150 W · 171 L | -10.8wins | -0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8791…4c9abacked SIUE Cougars | 48c | 104.65$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.65 | 214 | 43.9%94 W · 120 L | +3.1wins | +0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4c9d…3e29backed SIUE Cougars | 49c | 101.9$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$51.9 | 283 | 54.1%153 W · 130 L | +9.1wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x21f3…35e3backed SIUE Cougars | 44c | 71.77$32 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$40.19 | 1,152 | 48.9%563 W · 589 L | +3.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2a67…ef6bbacked SIUE Cougars | 48c | 49.99$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.8 | 141 | 48.9%69 W · 72 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c76…c926backed Southeast Missouri State Redhawks | 51c | 32.65$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.65 | 891 | 46.2%412 W · 479 L | +9.8wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x97f6…66e2backed SIUE Cougars | 48c | 21.81$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.34 | 45 | 35.6%16 W · 29 L | -6.1wins | -0.14per pick | 49cpaid | -31.9%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Spread: SIUE Cougars (-1.5)this page
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. SIUE CougarsSIUE Cougars won
- Southeast Missouri State Redhawks vs. SIUE Cougars: O/U 138.5Under won
- Spread: Southeast Missouri State Redhawks (-1.5)SIUE Cougars won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.