Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd4216fc84e1f1ffea9727b4da5982883db0f2a8ed56a2a8adfacae97ad7b94ca
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Team Gof Poor Rangers, Team G
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $20,562
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $24,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $20,562 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 42 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team G | 42c | 1,679$703 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$976.67 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x47bd…bc9dbacked Poor Rangers | 63c | 1,600$1,008 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,007.99 | 410 | 55.6%228 W · 182 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 58cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc3e5…519dbacked Poor Rangers | 76c | 925.22$707 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$706.81 | 127 | 64.6%82 W · 45 L | -6.5wins | -0.05per pick | 70cpaid | -8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Poor Rangers | 19c | 786$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$150.22 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Poor Rangers | 17c | 724$124 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$123.56 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Poor Rangers | 50c | 690.54$342 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$342.32 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team G | 34c | 536.24$180 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$356.24 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x149a…49d0backed Poor Rangers | 70c | 522$365 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$365.4 | 507 | 69.2%351 W · 156 L | +33.7wins | +0.07per pick | 63cpaid | +10.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Team G | 37c | 511.31$189 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$322.13 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xaf52…efdfbacked Team G | 58c | 429.69$250 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$179.41 | 215 | 58.6%126 W · 89 L | +11.8wins | +0.05per pick | 53cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team G | 26c | 407.89$107 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$301.22 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Poor Rangers | 14c | 363.95$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50.7 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Poor Rangers | 24c | 340$81 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$81.16 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Poor Rangers | 19c | 312.5$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.62 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3a95…343bbacked Team G | 34c | 294.06$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$194.08 | 698 | 35.2%246 W · 452 L | +15.7wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d44…49e6backed Poor Rangers | 66c | 294.06$194 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.08 | 721 | 54%389 W · 332 L | -8.8wins | -0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4946…e041backed Poor Rangers | 72c | 277.26$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 555 | 61.8%343 W · 212 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5de7…5417backed Team G | 37c | 250$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$157.5 | 479 | 51.8%248 W · 231 L | +17.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +6.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d3…bab9backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 222.5$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.2 | 70 | 41.4%29 W · 41 L | -2.9wins | -0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd7d3…698bbacked Poor Rangers | 68c | 220.79$150 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.98 | 480 | 53.1%255 W · 225 L | +25.4wins | +0.05per pick | 48cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x40db…ca8cbacked Team G | 53c | 220$117 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$103.4 | 540 | 58.9%318 W · 222 L | +17.4wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Poor Rangers | 69c | 216.74$149 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$149.07 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Poor Rangers | 41c | 200$82 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Poor Rangers | 67c | 199.74$134 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.82 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Poor Rangers | 15c | 195$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.07 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Team G | 51c | 180.19$92 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$88.2 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Team G | 73c | 173$126 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$46.71 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Poor Rangers | 49c | 171.83$85 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.81 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Poor Rangers | 19c | 157.89$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team G | 47c | 157.33$74 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.52 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Poor Rangers | 20c | 147.11$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.42 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Poor Rangers | 28c | 137.76$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xc046…f138backed Poor Rangers | 75c | 132.61$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.6wins | -0.37per pick | 66cpaid | -54.5%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team G | 29c | 112.98$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80.26 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x00d4…4c46backed Poor Rangers | 41c | 65.69$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.93 | 217 | 48.8%106 W · 111 L | +15.1wins | +0.07per pick | 42cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Poor Rangers | 38c | 54.77$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team G | 38c | 40$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.8 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x417f…4f23backed Team G | 37c | 38.05$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.05 | 49 | 24.5%12 W · 37 L | -5.5wins | -0.11per pick | 36cpaid | -49.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x26c2…0cdfbacked Poor Rangers | 47c | 31.43$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.63 | 186 | 52.2%97 W · 89 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 47cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Poor Rangers | 49c | 29.97$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.79 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Poor Rangers | 60c | 20$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb354…7d49backed Team G | 70c | 15$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.5 | 65 | 72.3%47 W · 18 L | +1.3wins | +0.02per pick | 70cpaid | +2.6%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPoor Rangers won
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G - Game 2 WinnerPoor Rangers won
- Game 3: Ends in Daytime?No won
- Game Handicap: Poor Rangers (-1.5) vs Team G (+1.5)Team G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 93.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.