Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x820208dcf5d954b45c5d4844a97c14cfff465f9a5d7956f8d5491b14928c51aa
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Poor Rangersof Poor Rangers, Team G
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $23,195
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $28,290
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $23,195 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 52 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Poor Rangers | 40c | 6,759$2,683 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,075.78 | 714 | 54.5%389 W · 325 L | +55.6wins | +0.08per pick | 47cpaid | +7.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x1d24…20b3backed Team G | 63c | 5,314$3,330 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$3,329.51 | 542 | 46.7%253 W · 289 L | -2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -13.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xad2f…ac6abacked Poor Rangers | 67c | 2,517$1,698 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$818.98 | 22 | 90.9%20 W · 2 L | +6.6wins | +0.30per pick | 61cpaid | +55.1%equal weight | 66+0.14 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Team G | 70c | 1,535$1,074 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,073.84 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Team G | 61c | 1,274$775 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$775.1 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab04…a00abacked Team G | 50c | 1,164$582 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$582 | 379 | 45.9%174 W · 205 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | +3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9d94…017dbacked Poor Rangers | 26c | 772.56$199 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$573.94 | 1,521 | 37.9%576 W · 945 L | -57.8wins | -0.04per pick | 42cpaid | -26.5%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Team G | 63c | 525.92$333 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$333.39 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Poor Rangers | 33c | 295.61$97 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$198.66 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team G | 66c | 277.31$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.9 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team G | 47c | 270.44$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$126.71 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Team G | 22c | 268.35$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$57.93 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Team G | 22c | 259.8$57 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$56.73 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Team G | 50c | 200.7$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x3c41…6275backed Team G | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | +5.3wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +11.1%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xf6c8…a184backed Team G | 31c | 200$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62 | 360 | 44.2%159 W · 201 L | +7.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Team G | 66c | 193.49$129 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$128.57 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2775…3652backed Poor Rangers | 58c | 172.82$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$72.82 | 330 | 41.8%138 W · 192 L | -9.4wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -16%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6eac…ed37backed Poor Rangers | 50c | 160$80 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$80 | 574 | 49%281 W · 293 L | +33.5wins | +0.06per pick | 43cpaid | +12.1%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Poor Rangers | 61c | 152.44$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59.45 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5f48…ba84backed Poor Rangers | 70c | 150$105 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.14 | 12 | 91.7%11 W · 1 L | +2.6wins | +0.21per pick | 70cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Poor Rangers | 50c | 150$75 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$75 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Team G | 41c | 141.21$58 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$58 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x3066…693abacked Team G | 51c | 137.24$70 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$69.99 | 546 | 48.5%265 W · 281 L | -0.4wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0656…4d9bbacked Team G | 31c | 133.81$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.48 | 44 | 2.3%1 W · 43 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 5cpaid | -89.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x85c3…700cbacked Poor Rangers | 50c | 126.14$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$63.07 | 138 | 50%69 W · 69 L | -1.7wins | -0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b76…c036backed Team G | 29c | 117.19$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.04 | 11 | 36.4%4 W · 7 L | +0.5wins | +0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1982…bc7bbacked Poor Rangers | 59c | 109.08$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$44.72 | 102 | 44.1%45 W · 57 L | -2.3wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3162…d515backed Poor Rangers | 39c | 109$42 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$66.57 | 359 | 48.2%173 W · 186 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf5ae…3e6cbacked Team G | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 44 | 50%22 W · 22 L | +2.5wins | +0.06per pick | 44cpaid | +10.2%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1e42…f22abacked Team G | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 88 | 46.6%41 W · 47 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 45cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1355…a695backed Team G | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 63 | 47.6%30 W · 33 L | +2.4wins | +0.04per pick | 44cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Team G | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31 | 302 | 50%151 W · 151 L | +11.4wins | +0.04per pick | 46cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf346…1b8ebacked Poor Rangers | 60c | 95.48$57 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.19 | 224 | 38.8%87 W · 137 L | -5.8wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Team G | 32c | 92.81$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Team G | 33c | 90$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.7 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x99f7…1a59backed Team G | 31c | 86$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.66 | 253 | 51.4%130 W · 123 L | +23.3wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +17.6%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb829…4f5ebacked Team G | 31c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 176 | 36.9%65 W · 111 L | -3.4wins | -0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -25.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0580…f78bbacked Team G | 31c | 67$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.77 | 131 | 29.8%39 W · 92 L | -7.7wins | -0.06per pick | 36cpaid | -38.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Team G | 31c | 61$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.91 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Team G | 64c | 60.84$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.94 | 1,901 | 47.6%905 W · 996 L | +4.6wins | 0.00per pick | 47cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x673e…b0d0backed Poor Rangers | 27c | 60$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$43.8 | 36 | 52.8%19 W · 17 L | +4.3wins | +0.12per pick | 41cpaid | +30.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x27fd…9187backed Poor Rangers | 32c | 56.83$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.67 | 23 | 43.5%10 W · 13 L | +0.4wins | +0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -11%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc623…9c7dbacked Poor Rangers | 63c | 52.13$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$19.37 | 367 | 61%224 W · 143 L | +4.6wins | +0.01per pick | 60cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe907…cff6backed Team G | 74c | 39.34$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.11 | 935 | 46.4%434 W · 501 L | -15.7wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -15.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9195backed Poor Rangers | 59c | 34.03$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.03 | 69 | 56.5%39 W · 30 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 58cpaid | -9.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Team G | 40c | 30$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6277…5a3fbacked Team G | 38c | 28.6$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.87 | 268 | 43.7%117 W · 151 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xb03b…4197backed Poor Rangers | 62c | 28.6$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.87 | 21 | 42.9%9 W · 12 L | -1.3wins | -0.06per pick | 49cpaid | -15.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8efb…c0e6backed Team G | 73c | 20.55$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 222 | 59%131 W · 91 L | -11.3wins | -0.05per pick | 64cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x04ed…172abacked Poor Rangers | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 322 | 52.5%169 W · 153 L | +7.0wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x21e2…07e8backed Poor Rangers | 64c | 15.63$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.63 | 49 | 51%25 W · 24 L | +4.2wins | +0.09per pick | 42cpaid | +29.3%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier PlayoffsPoor Rangers won
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G - Game 1 WinnerTeam G won
- Game 3: Ends in Daytime?No won
- Game Handicap: Poor Rangers (-1.5) vs Team G (+1.5)Team G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 93.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.