Dota2 · resolved market
Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffs
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd891a0dddd75bcdb850556f00d908019e1ea9c5d4254ae76c42b847c35c1bdad
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Poor Rangersof Poor Rangers, Team G
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Dota2every record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $24,258
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $26,843
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $24,258 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 77 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Dota2 is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Dota2 | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xb877…4601backed Poor Rangers | 18c | 1,469$269 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,199.81 | 414 | 55.6%230 W · 184 L | +41.4wins | +0.10per pick | 46cpaid | +19.9%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x4133…165bbacked Poor Rangers | 46c | 1,262$585 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$677.14 | 1,275 | 33.5%427 W · 848 L | -15.6wins | -0.01per pick | 35cpaid | -18.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe3f…0fcfbacked Team G | 60c | 1,110$666 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$666.15 | 866 | 59.6%516 W · 350 L | -8.6wins | -0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf070…0f8fbacked Team G | 45c | 825.85$374 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$373.79 | 10 | 20%2 W · 8 L | -3.0wins | -0.30per pick | 50cpaid | -63.3%equal weight | 40-0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x1e20…a1aabacked Team G | 70c | 770.3$540 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$540.46 | 18 | 66.7%12 W · 6 L | +0.5wins | +0.03per pick | 64cpaid | +1.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2e3c…08babacked Team G | 41c | 683.5$282 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$281.78 | 1,702 | 41.2%701 W · 1,001 L | -44.0wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -26.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0249…5b4bbacked Team G | 35c | 599.96$210 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$209.99 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.5wins | +0.21per pick | 36cpaid | +89.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x51db…f9b3backed Poor Rangers | 42c | 576.5$241 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$335.47 | 2,828 | 43.6%1,234 W · 1,594 L | -39.5wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -20.9%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xab12…764ebacked Team G | 66c | 521.46$345 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$344.75 | 270 | 60%162 W · 108 L | -11.3wins | -0.04per pick | 64cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xbf3b…0375backed Poor Rangers | 63c | 500$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$185 | 122 | 50%61 W · 61 L | +3.6wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8430…3961backed Team G | 27c | 394.14$108 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$107.88 | 303 | 56.4%171 W · 132 L | +4.2wins | +0.01per pick | 55cpaid | -7.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x79cb…331ebacked Team G | 3c | 361.01$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.27 | 56 | 1.8%1 W · 55 L | -2.1wins | -0.04per pick | 6cpaid | -77%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5011…94b4backed Team G | 5c | 351.67$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.58 | 246 | 36.6%90 W · 156 L | -14.4wins | -0.06per pick | 42cpaid | -24.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe1d3…b8debacked Poor Rangers | 52c | 349.99$183 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.49 | 700 | 52.3%366 W · 334 L | +47.1wins | +0.07per pick | 46cpaid | +13.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x6a06…31d8backed Poor Rangers | 47c | 316.6$150 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$166.6 | 416 | 55.3%230 W · 186 L | -6.5wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -6.1%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1179…8bc2backed Team G | 32c | 313$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100.08 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 50cpaid | +27.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5799…db25backed Poor Rangers | 68c | 292.16$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$92.16 | 460 | 49.8%229 W · 231 L | +2.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0520…3efdbacked Team G | 37c | 224.81$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$83.18 | 88 | 68.2%60 W · 28 L | +7.0wins | +0.08per pick | 60cpaid | +11%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x904e…0becbacked Poor Rangers | 45c | 188.82$86 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.92 | 1,458 | 48.5%707 W · 751 L | +27.0wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -14.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x57d5…0bbdbacked Team G | 75c | 184.83$138 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$138.38 | 531 | 39.5%210 W · 321 L | -37.2wins | -0.07per pick | 47cpaid | -29.6%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe564…221abacked Team G | 46c | 181.14$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.8 | 93 | 22.6%21 W · 72 L | -7.1wins | -0.08per pick | 30cpaid | -24.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x41a5…75bbbacked Poor Rangers | 69c | 174.28$120 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.03 | 614 | 49.5%304 W · 310 L | +9.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb6fc…b24ebacked Team G | 28c | 167.57$47 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46.92 | 404 | 42.3%171 W · 233 L | -5.4wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f18…1566backed Poor Rangers | 50c | 166$83 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.2wins | +0.24per pick | 56cpaid | +44.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xe1de…aadfbacked Poor Rangers | 62c | 159$99 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$60.42 | 5 | 60%3 W · 2 L | +0.3wins | +0.06per pick | 54cpaid | -0.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8b4c…1715backed Poor Rangers | 24c | 154.66$36 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$118.21 | 213 | 33.3%71 W · 142 L | +12.3wins | +0.06per pick | 28cpaid | +64.9%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x18bc…b423backed Team G | 65c | 145.03$94 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.69 | 2 | 50%1 W · 1 L | -0.2wins | -0.09per pick | 59cpaid | -7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb1c6…2d29backed Poor Rangers | 20c | 142.47$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$113.79 | 40 | 57.5%23 W · 17 L | +3.0wins | +0.07per pick | 50cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7055…49bbbacked Poor Rangers | 34c | 141.57$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.57 | 51 | 56.9%29 W · 22 L | +6.1wins | +0.12per pick | 45cpaid | +22.3%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x953e…79ffbacked Poor Rangers | 33c | 139.98$46 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$93.69 | 280 | 50%140 W · 140 L | +8.8wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | +5.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x60ec…f7b0backed Poor Rangers | 41c | 134.5$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.85 | 503 | 53.9%271 W · 232 L | +26.7wins | +0.05per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xedf7…4003backed Poor Rangers | 66c | 133.55$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.51 | 294 | 32.3%95 W · 199 L | -19.2wins | -0.07per pick | 39cpaid | -22.4%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5ce8…75f2backed Team G | 63c | 131.19$83 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$82.53 | 121 | 32.2%39 W · 82 L | -11.0wins | -0.09per pick | 41cpaid | -42.4%equal weight | 42-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x77f2…eec6backed Team G | 49c | 129.93$64 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$63.62 | 554 | 57.8%320 W · 234 L | +12.3wins | +0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6628…05aebacked Team G | 30c | 125.25$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38 | 153 | 42.5%65 W · 88 L | +2.7wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Team G | 38c | 122.2$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45.92 | 1,260 | 49.7%626 W · 634 L | +21.7wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -5.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f9b…cdeebacked Poor Rangers | 48c | 100.2$48 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$52.53 | 690 | 33.3%230 W · 460 L | -27.9wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -32.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x72c2…5e74backed Team G | 31c | 100$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.14 | 793 | 43.6%346 W · 447 L | +38.4wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -0.3%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xcb1b…69f2backed Team G | 34c | 100$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.75 | 61 | 41%25 W · 36 L | -2.5wins | -0.04per pick | 45cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5215…b02fbacked Team G | 32c | 99.99$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.21 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.2wins | -0.05per pick | 39cpaid | -7.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…8e7ebacked Team G | 51c | 93.43$48 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$47.65 | 338 | 54.1%183 W · 155 L | +11.7wins | +0.03per pick | 51cpaid | +8.6%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6ffb…f7f0backed Poor Rangers | 65c | 92.31$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.31 | 515 | 50.9%262 W · 253 L | +15.5wins | +0.03per pick | 48cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x82bf…de71backed Poor Rangers | 65c | 90.35$59 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$31.2 | 547 | 53.6%293 W · 254 L | +22.9wins | +0.04per pick | 49cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf655…0813backed Poor Rangers | 44c | 70.45$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.45 | 67 | 68.7%46 W · 21 L | +7.9wins | +0.12per pick | 57cpaid | +25.1%equal weight | 60+0.09 edge/pick |
| 0x0b90…08e7backed Team G | 51c | 62.97$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32.11 | 382 | 44.5%170 W · 212 L | -7.1wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xee59…e42abacked Team G | 46c | 62.93$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.95 | 288 | 46.9%135 W · 153 L | +1.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +2.8%equal weight | 510.00 edge/pick |
| 0x24bb…3e49backed Poor Rangers | 43c | 62$27 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.34 | 653 | 37.2%243 W · 410 L | -15.1wins | -0.02per pick | 40cpaid | -28.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x12bc…bf2fbacked Poor Rangers | 57c | 61.54$35 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$26.54 | 178 | 53.4%95 W · 83 L | +3.7wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2f03…77dcbacked Poor Rangers | 49c | 60$29 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.6 | 292 | 40.4%118 W · 174 L | +8.4wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x11ff…4447backed Poor Rangers | 48c | 59.13$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.82 | 225 | 34.2%77 W · 148 L | -8.0wins | -0.04per pick | 38cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8dd4…7401backed Team G | 46c | 56.32$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.91 | 354 | 30.5%108 W · 246 L | -27.2wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -41.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xef0d…ef1cbacked Team G | 41c | 55.33$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.69 | 227 | 40.5%92 W · 135 L | -3.5wins | -0.02per pick | 42cpaid | -3.5%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x316f…795abacked Poor Rangers | 52c | 49.72$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.9 | 283 | 36.4%103 W · 180 L | +1.0wins | 0.00per pick | 36cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa379…5047backed Team G | 63c | 47.62$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 7 | 28.6%2 W · 5 L | -2.1wins | -0.29per pick | 58cpaid | -60.6%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xd156…8569backed Team G | 64c | 47.13$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 5 | 40%2 W · 3 L | -1.4wins | -0.28per pick | 68cpaid | -43.2%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6ee4…7a93backed Team G | 64c | 46.58$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 8 | 62.5%5 W · 3 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf8ac…fd38backed Team G | 50c | 40.16$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 15 | 40%6 W · 9 L | 0.0wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +5.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbd30…9a01backed Team G | 51c | 39.78$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.29 | 160 | 54.4%87 W · 73 L | -5.4wins | -0.03per pick | 58cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfff1…12e4backed Team G | 36c | 39.55$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.24 | 129 | 37.2%48 W · 81 L | -6.8wins | -0.05per pick | 42cpaid | -12.4%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2628…39cfbacked Poor Rangers | 77c | 39.06$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.06 | 177 | 63.8%113 W · 64 L | +7.5wins | +0.04per pick | 60cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fde…0258backed Poor Rangers | 45c | 39.01$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$21.44 | 260 | 50.4%131 W · 129 L | +6.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3fb9…a8b3backed Team G | 53c | 37.46$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 595 | 56.6%337 W · 258 L | +12.5wins | +0.02per pick | 55cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2e47…bdbfbacked Team G | 56c | 36.94$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.69 | 149 | 63.1%94 W · 55 L | -0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 63cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5012…4d3ebacked Team G | 32c | 32.19$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.3 | 12 | 50%6 W · 6 L | +1.2wins | +0.10per pick | 40cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xf3c8…e340backed Poor Rangers | 43c | 31$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$17.67 | 245 | 27.3%67 W · 178 L | -12.9wins | -0.05per pick | 33cpaid | -33.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x92b5…2defbacked Poor Rangers | 45c | 29.99$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$16.49 | 958 | 41.1%394 W · 564 L | +32.7wins | +0.03per pick | 38cpaid | +1.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Poor Rangers | 78c | 29.13$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.41 | 713 | 42.5%303 W · 410 L | -9.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -13.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7560…1ee1backed Team G | 36c | 29.11$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.48 | 211 | 33.6%71 W · 140 L | -5.7wins | -0.03per pick | 36cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x29a5…a3c4backed Team G | 59c | 28.08$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.71 | 273 | 57.1%156 W · 117 L | +9.7wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xda47…c2e9backed Poor Rangers | 60c | 25$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10 | 118 | 58.5%69 W · 49 L | -0.7wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | -7.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x83c8…3b6cbacked Poor Rangers | 75c | 24.75$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.2 | 913 | 56.1%512 W · 401 L | +16.2wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +0.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6770…5bdfbacked Poor Rangers | 65c | 24.28$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.5 | 26 | 53.8%14 W · 12 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1f46…cddbbacked Team G | 54c | 24.07$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13 | 240 | 52.1%125 W · 115 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | -2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x945a…a48cbacked Team G | 50c | 23.18$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 328 | 6.4%21 W · 307 L | -102.4wins | -0.31per pick | 38cpaid | -72.6%equal weight | 18-0.29 edge/pick |
| 0xe5b1…30b2backed Poor Rangers | 64c | 22.78$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.15 | 164 | 56.7%93 W · 71 L | +1.9wins | +0.01per pick | 56cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xdaaa…ca7dbacked Team G | 66c | 19.26$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.81 | 46 | 52.2%24 W · 22 L | -2.7wins | -0.06per pick | 58cpaid | -16.1%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xde28…d1b7backed Team G | 65c | 16.92$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.65per pick | 65cpaid | -100%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Dota2 and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 6 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G (BO3) - Esports World Cup Eastern Europe Closed Qualifier Playoffsthis page
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G - Game 1 WinnerTeam G won
- Dota 2: Poor Rangers vs Team G - Game 2 WinnerPoor Rangers won
- Game 3: Ends in Daytime?No won
- Game Handicap: Poor Rangers (-1.5) vs Team G (+1.5)Team G won
- Total Kills Over/Under 93.5 in Game 2?Under won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.