Tennis · resolved market
ITF Bacau: Mihnea Maftei vs Kabeer Kapasi
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd42bf12ca0094801a97a5ee33d842da0c7c88ab6566343e01cf2b73493a60dc9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Kabeer Kapasiof Mihnea Maftei, Kabeer Kapasi
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $29,717
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $30,826
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $29,717 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 51 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc07d…b1dfbacked Kabeer Kapasi | 53c | 9,113$4,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4,311.3 | 2,383 | 55.6%1,326 W · 1,057 L | +49.3wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x54ba…04e4backed Mihnea Maftei | 54c | 8,922$4,830 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,830 | 717 | 29.8%214 W · 503 L | -39.8wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -16.6%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Kabeer Kapasi | 44c | 5,331$2,349 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,981.54 | 11,435 | 43.4%4,959 W · 6,476 L | +17.8wins | 0.00per pick | 43cpaid | -20.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x26be…805fbacked Mihnea Maftei | 38c | 2,534$963 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$962.73 | 365 | 48.2%176 W · 189 L | -2.4wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4be6…b010backed Mihnea Maftei | 46c | 2,362$1,082 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,082.26 | 1,428 | 48.2%689 W · 739 L | +4.0wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc398…f446backed Mihnea Maftei | 50c | 1,042$521 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$521.2 | 960 | 35.4%340 W · 620 L | -40.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x693b…84e3backed Kabeer Kapasi | 47c | 642.14$300 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$342.14 | 90 | 63.3%57 W · 33 L | +1.0wins | +0.01per pick | 62cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7547…d158backed Mihnea Maftei | 26c | 567.34$148 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$147.51 | 7,049 | 39.7%2,795 W · 4,254 L | -20.5wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7787…bf58backed Kabeer Kapasi | 41c | 490.83$200 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$290.83 | 144 | 47.2%68 W · 76 L | +4.5wins | +0.03per pick | 44cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xdd5e…9040backed Kabeer Kapasi | 74c | 425$315 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110.5 | 1,227 | 53.2%653 W · 574 L | -5.2wins | 0.00per pick | 54cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Kabeer Kapasi | 49c | 371$182 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$189.21 | 4,602 | 48.3%2,223 W · 2,379 L | +34.4wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.6%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0d2d…7ff5backed Kabeer Kapasi | 60c | 281.25$169 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.56 | 8,505 | 42.6%3,619 W · 4,886 L | -166.3wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -21.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8d19…bf25backed Kabeer Kapasi | 70c | 274.09$192 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$82.09 | 647 | 55%356 W · 291 L | -16.0wins | -0.02per pick | 57cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc4fe…601fbacked Mihnea Maftei | 20c | 223.15$44 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$43.51 | 6,449 | 46.3%2,987 W · 3,462 L | -42.9wins | -0.01per pick | 47cpaid | -13%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Mihnea Maftei | 23c | 221.74$51 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$51 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xaa8f…14d1backed Mihnea Maftei | 48c | 208.96$100 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$100 | 249 | 36.5%91 W · 158 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -12.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x076d…8d4cbacked Mihnea Maftei | 41c | 205.17$84 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$84.12 | 4,241 | 52.6%2,232 W · 2,009 L | +65.0wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6e61…2f1bbacked Mihnea Maftei | 38c | 202.63$77 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$77 | 291 | 48.5%141 W · 150 L | +2.8wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Mihnea Maftei | 23c | 195.65$45 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$45 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5b57…de6bbacked Mihnea Maftei | 40c | 183.98$74 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$73.59 | 312 | 37.8%118 W · 194 L | -24.5wins | -0.08per pick | 46cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x7544…e3aebacked Kabeer Kapasi | 67c | 168$113 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$55.44 | 182 | 46.7%85 W · 97 L | -9.2wins | -0.05per pick | 52cpaid | -10.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1a1e…f992backed Mihnea Maftei | 23c | 143.48$33 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33 | 654 | 34.9%228 W · 426 L | -28.0wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -14.3%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8e69…553abacked Mihnea Maftei | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 923 | 55.8%515 W · 408 L | +20.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +4.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe24e…eecebacked Mihnea Maftei | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 878 | 54.7%480 W · 398 L | +8.5wins | +0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x66ac…5e75backed Mihnea Maftei | 35c | 142.86$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 942 | 55.8%526 W · 416 L | +19.9wins | +0.02per pick | 54cpaid | +5.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3cad…92f0backed Mihnea Maftei | 23c | 130.43$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 3,220 | 40.5%1,305 W · 1,915 L | +28.3wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Kabeer Kapasi | 70c | 128.67$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$38.6 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f56…50edbacked Kabeer Kapasi | 40c | 117.14$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$70.1 | 277 | 48.7%135 W · 142 L | +13.9wins | +0.05per pick | 44cpaid | +10.5%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xda77…683fbacked Kabeer Kapasi | 49c | 113.92$56 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.77 | 5,416 | 48.6%2,633 W · 2,783 L | +14.5wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Mihnea Maftei | 36c | 102.78$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1fb7…fb66backed Mihnea Maftei | 46c | 100$46 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$46 | 536 | 44.8%240 W · 296 L | -20.2wins | -0.04per pick | 49cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf1f2…8c8dbacked Mihnea Maftei | 53c | 100$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.67 | 1,708 | 44.8%766 W · 942 L | -18.9wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5c3b…07c9backed Kabeer Kapasi | 63c | 99.51$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$36.54 | 134 | 50.7%68 W · 66 L | +2.2wins | +0.02per pick | 49cpaid | +4.2%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x88a9…e618backed Mihnea Maftei | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 925 | 54.8%507 W · 418 L | +15.9wins | +0.02per pick | 53cpaid | +2.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x39c1…3174backed Mihnea Maftei | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 394 | 51.8%204 W · 190 L | -9.8wins | -0.02per pick | 54cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf4b0…d8dbbacked Mihnea Maftei | 35c | 85.71$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 490 | 56.9%279 W · 211 L | +15.1wins | +0.03per pick | 54cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x14e7…a32cbacked Kabeer Kapasi | 52c | 82.46$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.36 | 1,349 | 49.8%672 W · 677 L | -6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xeff7…fc2bbacked Kabeer Kapasi | 52c | 66.6$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.12 | 4 | 75%3 W · 1 L | +1.0wins | +0.25per pick | 50cpaid | +46.5%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd9…039bbacked Mihnea Maftei | 25c | 60$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,008 | 38.3%386 W · 622 L | +8.2wins | +0.01per pick | 37cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5b33…d653backed Kabeer Kapasi | 43c | 53.67$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$30.59 | 234 | 42.7%100 W · 134 L | -5.6wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -19.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9455…7defbacked Mihnea Maftei | 35c | 51.95$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.18 | 960 | 49.5%475 W · 485 L | +16.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4b6…5858backed Kabeer Kapasi | 54c | 51.84$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$23.64 | 230 | 30.4%70 W · 160 L | +5.2wins | +0.02per pick | 28cpaid | -10.1%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0d10…780bbacked Mihnea Maftei | 30c | 50$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 1,025 | 54%554 W · 471 L | +37.1wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +4.6%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xb91c…ed66backed Kabeer Kapasi | 41c | 48.38$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$28.38 | 578 | 45.7%264 W · 314 L | +10.5wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +5.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x15d1…2f08backed Mihnea Maftei | 42c | 40$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 125 | 44.8%56 W · 69 L | -1.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -5.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x689b…3db1backed Kabeer Kapasi | 59c | 38.98$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.98 | 4 | 100%4 W · 0 L | +1.6wins | +0.40per pick | 60cpaid | +66.7%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7179…7d79backed Mihnea Maftei | 44c | 37.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.36 | 2,601 | 46.5%1,209 W · 1,392 L | +18.8wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcb7d…ae38backed Mihnea Maftei | 40c | 29.04$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.59 | 15 | 46.7%7 W · 8 L | -1.4wins | -0.10per pick | 56cpaid | -14.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5d34…d7b5backed Kabeer Kapasi | 57c | 25$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.85 | 525 | 52.4%275 W · 250 L | -17.3wins | -0.03per pick | 56cpaid | -6.3%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x03ac…c3d9backed Kabeer Kapasi | 66c | 24.45$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.31 | 502 | 68.3%343 W · 159 L | +6.7wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked Mihnea Maftei | 45c | 23.89$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.81 | 1,629 | 49%798 W · 831 L | -51.6wins | -0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -18.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.