Lol · resolved market
Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd53332a849288fc062dda8897ae6adb6dd34a62fb70334bcad6ba48e1031e0a8
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $12,182
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,676
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,182 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 21 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1f03…b1bebacked Citadel Gaming | 44c | 10,798$4,753 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$4,752.83 | 1,132 | 52.5%594 W · 538 L | +7.0wins | +0.01per pick | 52cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8688…9d8cbacked Maryville University | 55c | 3,538$1,946 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,592.18 | 160 | 47.5%76 W · 84 L | -0.6wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Maryville University | 58c | 1,613$931 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$681.4 | 1,368 | 37.7%516 W · 852 L | -6.8wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -4%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd11d…5656backed Maryville University | 56c | 1,381$776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$605.49 | 506 | 47.2%239 W · 267 L | -7.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed Maryville University | 58c | 1,073$622 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$450.77 | 119 | 36.1%43 W · 76 L | -7.8wins | -0.07per pick | 43cpaid | -18.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x28a3…f681backed Maryville University | 55c | 925.65$509 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$416.54 | 370 | 39.5%146 W · 224 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x6077…3231backed Maryville University | 59c | 829.45$488 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$341.81 | 84 | 48.8%41 W · 43 L | -0.3wins | 0.00per pick | 49cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xda3a…381fbacked Maryville University | 55c | 499.01$274 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.55 | 1,485 | 50.1%744 W · 741 L | +67.0wins | +0.05per pick | 46cpaid | +5.3%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Maryville University | 59c | 366$216 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$150.06 | 181 | 39.2%71 W · 110 L | +5.9wins | +0.03per pick | 36cpaid | +5.7%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x5114…fc31backed Maryville University | 58c | 252.1$146 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$105.88 | 40 | 52.5%21 W · 19 L | +3.1wins | +0.08per pick | 45cpaid | +10.7%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6617…29bdbacked Maryville University | 41c | 100$41 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$59 | 253 | 40.7%103 W · 150 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 39cpaid | -6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd989…dcbabacked Maryville University | 74c | 98.43$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25.71 | 168 | 63.7%107 W · 61 L | +5.3wins | +0.03per pick | 61cpaid | +5%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Citadel Gaming | 26c | 88.58$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.03 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xc63b…6e4ebacked Maryville University | 41c | 83$34 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$48.97 | 253 | 31.2%79 W · 174 L | -9.8wins | -0.04per pick | 35cpaid | -21.6%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x5bda…17a8backed Citadel Gaming | 45c | 74.96$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.73 | 316 | 50.3%159 W · 157 L | +1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 50cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe50b…c2a8backed Maryville University | 59c | 50$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.5 | 360 | 48.9%176 W · 184 L | +2.0wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | +1.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcbbc…2b70backed Maryville University | 41c | 50$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$29.5 | 350 | 48%168 W · 182 L | +9.7wins | +0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -4.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7cb1…fe4bbacked Maryville University | 57c | 48.09$28 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.56 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.2wins | +0.06per pick | 61cpaid | -0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x82ca…3135backed Citadel Gaming | 39c | 40.33$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.84 | 219 | 53%116 W · 103 L | +4.3wins | +0.02per pick | 51cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x040d…83e0backed Maryville University | 61c | 34.19$21 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.19 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.6wins | -0.18per pick | 52cpaid | -45.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x91e0…26a0backed Maryville University | 41c | 32$13 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.88 | 726 | 37.7%274 W · 452 L | -23.6wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -17.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)this page
- LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 WinnerMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.