Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xa9b404e87acaf09393f7aa805642d2371fa09749f71b4171f12ba21e7c97c795
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $9,343
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $11,593
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $9,343 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 15 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x000e…f7e9backed Citadel Gaming | 23c | 2,000$460 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$460 | 899 | 43.4%390 W · 509 L | +22.3wins | +0.02per pick | 41cpaid | +6.6%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Maryville University | 77c | 1,337$1,030 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$307.6 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Citadel Gaming | 15c | 1,190$182 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$181.7 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x8e3f…6941backed Citadel Gaming | 15c | 711.75$107 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$106.76 | 394 | 47.2%186 W · 208 L | +5.4wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | +0.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x913c…39b3backed Maryville University | 77c | 512.31$394 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.83 | 190 | 41.1%78 W · 112 L | +9.1wins | +0.05per pick | 36cpaid | +14.5%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Citadel Gaming | 18c | 300$54 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$54 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked Citadel Gaming | 24c | 286.32$69 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68.72 | 866 | 49.7%430 W · 436 L | +18.3wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +7.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3865…fcbebacked Citadel Gaming | 22c | 177.85$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.57 | 388 | 50.8%197 W · 191 L | +2.6wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Citadel Gaming | 17c | 174.72$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.66 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x3d6a…26f7backed Citadel Gaming | 18c | 147.68$27 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.94 | 32 | 37.5%12 W · 20 L | -2.8wins | -0.09per pick | 46cpaid | -31.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x6b04…f792backed Maryville University | 77c | 142.35$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$32.74 | 392 | 66.6%261 W · 131 L | +12.7wins | +0.03per pick | 63cpaid | +3.3%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7ce7…81a3backed Citadel Gaming | 28c | 134.39$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.95 | 116 | 45.7%53 W · 63 L | -0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -1.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Maryville University | 76c | 76.91$58 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.46 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1193…d9c4backed Maryville University | 77c | 24$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.52 | 24 | 45.8%11 W · 13 L | +1.9wins | +0.08per pick | 38cpaid | +19.3%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xec69…d6d8backed Maryville University | 76c | 14.8$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$3.55 | 9 | 55.6%5 W · 4 L | +0.3wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | -10.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)Maryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.