TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular Season

Rebuilt .

Winning outcome
Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Citadel Gaming
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$17,354
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$20,141

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $17,354 — the venue’s figure.

Open this market on Polymarket

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xc4db…7e0cbacked Citadel Gaming18c2,472$445 inLost-$444.881,36837.7%516 W · 852 L-6.8wins0.00per pick38cpaid-4%equal weight490.00 edge/pick
0x37c4…3e8fbacked Citadel Gaming14c1,394$190 inLost-$189.6313538.5%52 W · 83 L-3.7wins-0.03per pick41cpaid-13.3%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0x410c…d091backed Citadel Gaming19c500$95 inLost-$958434.5%29 W · 55 L+4.3wins+0.05per pick29cpaid+4.4%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x2c08…3704backed Citadel Gaming12c403.43$47 inLost-$47.354050%20 W · 20 L-0.5wins-0.01per pick51cpaid-6.1%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x1cb5…6be6backed Citadel Gaming12c300$36 inLost-$3617445.4%79 W · 95 L+7.9wins+0.05per pick41cpaid+18%equal weight54+0.04 edge/pick
0x6e32…ab65backed Citadel Gaming15c277.81$42 inLost-$41.672,17853.4%1,164 W · 1,014 L+61.6wins+0.03per pick51cpaid+6.2%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xd3d1…b0dabacked Citadel Gaming13c213.44$29 inLost-$28.534812.5%6 W · 42 L-2.7wins-0.06per pick18cpaid-9.1%equal weight46-0.04 edge/pick
0x3a02…a770backed Citadel Gaming17c213.07$36 inLost-$36.171,37248.6%667 W · 705 L+57.5wins+0.04per pick44cpaid+10.1%equal weight55+0.04 edge/pick
0x8968…c3c1backed Citadel Gaming15c179.14$27 inLost-$26.9736047.5%171 W · 189 L-4.5wins-0.01per pick49cpaid-8.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x5d05…f729backed Citadel Gaming17c175.24$30 inLost-$29.7931242.6%133 W · 179 L-6.0wins-0.02per pick45cpaid-16.9%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0x812a…73edbacked Citadel Gaming10c164.08$16 inLost-$15.8758420.2%118 W · 466 L-58.1wins-0.10per pick30cpaid-43%equal weight39-0.10 edge/pick
0x51db…f9b3backed Maryville University78c151.75$119 inWon+$33.032,91038.5%1,120 W · 1,790 L-120.0wins-0.04per pick43cpaid-27.2%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xcc30…c8a5backed Citadel Gaming16c146.03$24 inLost-$23.7481333%268 W · 545 L-43.4wins-0.05per pick38cpaid-14.6%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0x49ec…ac1cbacked Citadel Gaming14c146$20 inLost-$20.446352.4%33 W · 30 L+0.1wins0.00per pick52cpaid-3.1%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xca7c…e994backed Citadel Gaming15c143.95$22 inLost-$21.591,39944.9%628 W · 771 L-14.9wins-0.01per pick46cpaid-0.9%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xe4c8…86b4backed Citadel Gaming16c125.7$20 inLost-$20.519157.1%109 W · 82 L+6.0wins+0.03per pick54cpaid+4.8%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x596a…7a0fbacked Citadel Gaming16c118.69$19 inLost-$18.821,24134.7%431 W · 810 L-2.0wins0.00per pick35cpaid-5.6%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xe7c1…3e0bbacked Citadel Gaming15c100$15 inLost-$1563646.9%298 W · 338 L-19.0wins-0.03per pick50cpaid-11.7%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0x0caa…b2bdbacked Citadel Gaming17c99.97$17 inLost-$1720556.6%116 W · 89 L+6.4wins+0.03per pick53cpaid+5.1%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0x5bda…17a8backed Citadel Gaming16c74.96$12 inLost-$11.9931650.3%159 W · 157 L+1.3wins0.00per pick50cpaid+0.4%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xf2ae…0864backed Maryville University79c30$24 inWon+$6.374462.2%463 W · 281 L+6.8wins+0.01per pick61cpaid-2.5%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xbff7…554fbacked Maryville University80c14.52$12 inWon+$2.9622955.5%127 W · 102 L+8.2wins+0.04per pick52cpaid-2.1%equal weight54+0.03 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.