Lol · resolved market
LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winner
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x3b414de7dc167bbd7b6c306369576bd6e0fd982e68d25f7a66fda15c39910101
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Maryville Universityof Maryville University, Citadel Gaming
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $30,823
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $36,351
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $30,823 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 45 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Lol | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xcdfb…980cbacked Citadel Gaming | 15c | 3,797$584 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$584.22 | 191 | 50.8%97 W · 94 L | -2.2wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -7.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3f1e…4123backed Maryville University | 65c | 2,753$1,801 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$952.35 | 98 | 51%50 W · 48 L | -9.2wins | -0.09per pick | 60cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xdbb3…76a9backed Citadel Gaming | 26c | 2,006$524 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$524.25 | 392 | 46.4%182 W · 210 L | +1.5wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -10%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xea58…930fbacked Citadel Gaming | 16c | 1,582$250 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$250.39 | 1,216 | 44.4%540 W · 676 L | -12.7wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7a57…968cbacked Citadel Gaming | 21c | 869.22$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.96 | 563 | 41%231 W · 332 L | -3.5wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | 0%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf3ef…ca6bbacked Maryville University | 56c | 693.64$385 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$308.47 | 1,671 | 57.9%968 W · 703 L | +70.6wins | +0.04per pick | 54cpaid | -0.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Citadel Gaming | 15c | 589.74$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$90.17 | 2,825 | 41.4%1,169 W · 1,656 L | -14.1wins | 0.00per pick | 42cpaid | -4.1%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe80c…f3e6backed Citadel Gaming | 17c | 558.94$95 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$95.02 | 180 | 43.9%79 W · 101 L | +10.9wins | +0.06per pick | 38cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 56+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x682d…4cd6backed Maryville University | 79c | 530.17$418 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$112.36 | 456 | 18.9%86 W · 370 L | -4.8wins | -0.01per pick | 20cpaid | -45.5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x1994…d63cbacked Citadel Gaming | 28c | 478.23$135 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$135.46 | 93 | 64.5%60 W · 33 L | +8.6wins | +0.09per pick | 55cpaid | +16.3%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x40cf…2748backed Citadel Gaming | 57c | 415.14$237 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$236.63 | 321 | 60.7%195 W · 126 L | +0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 60cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ffc…8967backed Citadel Gaming | 15c | 399.99$59 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59 | 236 | 24.6%58 W · 178 L | -7.6wins | -0.03per pick | 28cpaid | -19.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xff34…694bbacked Citadel Gaming | 19c | 324.54$62 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$62.19 | 1,061 | 54.7%580 W · 481 L | +13.3wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -4.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4f6a…04ebbacked Maryville University | 41c | 235.69$96 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$139.23 | 486 | 52.1%253 W · 233 L | +2.1wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5929…4684backed Citadel Gaming | 16c | 227.89$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$36.33 | 1,539 | 43.7%673 W · 866 L | -28.0wins | -0.02per pick | 46cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x56ae…9badbacked Citadel Gaming | 17c | 206.2$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.24 | 331 | 25.7%85 W · 246 L | -17.6wins | -0.05per pick | 31cpaid | -30.5%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x47c6…2fe4backed Citadel Gaming | 59c | 199.14$117 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$117.49 | 566 | 50%283 W · 283 L | -14.5wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1cb5…6be6backed Citadel Gaming | 64c | 197.58$127 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$127.22 | 173 | 45.7%79 W · 94 L | +8.1wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +18.7%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0fbc…62a3backed Citadel Gaming | 56c | 185.69$104 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$103.82 | 631 | 61.2%386 W · 245 L | +10.4wins | +0.02per pick | 60cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…168cbacked Citadel Gaming | 57c | 161.88$92 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$92.22 | 261 | 64.4%168 W · 93 L | +0.5wins | 0.00per pick | 64cpaid | -4.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5124…4500backed Citadel Gaming | 27c | 150.15$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.09 | 127 | 27.6%35 W · 92 L | -2.4wins | -0.02per pick | 29cpaid | -7.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x812a…73edbacked Citadel Gaming | 20c | 144.25$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.2 | 584 | 20.2%118 W · 466 L | -58.1wins | -0.10per pick | 30cpaid | -43%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xf2ae…0864backed Maryville University | 74c | 133.7$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.42 | 744 | 62.2%463 W · 281 L | +6.8wins | +0.01per pick | 61cpaid | -2.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9bd9…084fbacked Citadel Gaming | 31c | 127.08$40 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39.61 | 416 | 51.2%213 W · 203 L | -1.3wins | 0.00per pick | 52cpaid | -9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9c4d…46e5backed Citadel Gaming | 13c | 126.92$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.55 | 19 | 42.1%8 W · 11 L | -1.0wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -7%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x92a9…0e78backed Maryville University | 62c | 118.4$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.12 | 383 | 42.8%164 W · 219 L | +5.7wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +0.1%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x56a6…0529backed Citadel Gaming | 32c | 105.93$34 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$33.93 | 20 | 70%14 W · 6 L | +3.2wins | +0.16per pick | 54cpaid | +21.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xbfd7…f0bfbacked Citadel Gaming | 19c | 103.38$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.4 | 2,341 | 40.3%943 W · 1,398 L | -61.8wins | -0.03per pick | 43cpaid | -11.5%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x6dc0…699abacked Citadel Gaming | 17c | 101.3$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.47 | 563 | 17.2%97 W · 466 L | -16.4wins | -0.03per pick | 20cpaid | -17.2%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x1c39…442dbacked Citadel Gaming | 28c | 86.31$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24.33 | 495 | 14.3%71 W · 424 L | -70.5wins | -0.14per pick | 29cpaid | -50.5%equal weight | 35-0.14 edge/pick |
| 0xa07d…a037backed Citadel Gaming | 37c | 81.55$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.2 | 1,831 | 17.1%313 W · 1,518 L | -236.0wins | -0.13per pick | 30cpaid | -46%equal weight | 36-0.13 edge/pick |
| 0xf9be…a0c1backed Citadel Gaming | 20c | 79.78$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.63 | 337 | 37.7%127 W · 210 L | -10.1wins | -0.03per pick | 41cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x7df8…6dd8backed Citadel Gaming | 36c | 79.23$29 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.88 | 17 | 58.8%10 W · 7 L | +0.7wins | +0.04per pick | 55cpaid | +13.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8da1…980fbacked Maryville University | 64c | 67.51$43 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.3 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.4wins | +0.36per pick | 64cpaid | +56.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa34d…b57fbacked Maryville University | 49c | 52.97$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$27.1 | 249 | 59.8%149 W · 100 L | +18.2wins | +0.07per pick | 53cpaid | +8.1%equal weight | 57+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe49b…a829backed Citadel Gaming | 34c | 52.28$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -4.2wins | -0.25per pick | 54cpaid | -46.5%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0x5b56…9100backed Citadel Gaming | 37c | 32.88$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.3 | 47 | 61.7%29 W · 18 L | +5.4wins | +0.12per pick | 50cpaid | +35.2%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xb0c5…b613backed Maryville University | 77c | 31.49$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.24 | 145 | 61.4%89 W · 56 L | +7.5wins | +0.05per pick | 56cpaid | +5.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x9637…cefdbacked Maryville University | 40c | 25.34$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.14 | 41 | 61%25 W · 16 L | -1.0wins | -0.02per pick | 63cpaid | -7.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd306…463dbacked Maryville University | 78c | 25.3$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.57 | 501 | 58.3%292 W · 209 L | -17.7wins | -0.04per pick | 62cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x10a4…689bbacked Maryville University | 42c | 24.09$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.97 | 28 | 32.1%9 W · 19 L | -0.5wins | -0.02per pick | 34cpaid | -23.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xadd4…15c2backed Citadel Gaming | 55c | 22.68$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.47 | 264 | 43.6%115 W · 149 L | +11.9wins | +0.05per pick | 39cpaid | +14.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x3016…f1fcbacked Maryville University | 72c | 18.76$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.25 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.3wins | +0.28per pick | 72cpaid | +38.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7028…66d1backed Maryville University | 68c | 17.4$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.62 | 164 | 62.8%103 W · 61 L | +6.6wins | +0.04per pick | 59cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x83a0…4f9bbacked Maryville University | 61c | 16.71$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.44 | 82 | 59.8%49 W · 33 L | +3.5wins | +0.04per pick | 56cpaid | 0%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 2 Winnerthis page
- Game Handicap: MVU (-1.5) vs Citadel Gaming (+1.5)Maryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming (BO3) - North American Challengers League Regular SeasonMaryville University won
- LoL: Maryville University vs Citadel Gaming - Game 1 WinnerMaryville University won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.