Tennis · resolved market
Bastad: Miriam Bulgaru vs Leyre Romero Gormaz
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5910a16ffcd45931ce55fb86432ebd1b49a5158e04b02a48eaefea5248876a4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Leyre Romero Gormazof Miriam Bulgaru, Leyre Romero Gormaz
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $43,423
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $43,065
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $43,423 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 43 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Miriam Bulgaru | 10c | 19,750$1,933 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,932.57 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4f29…7a7ebacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 77c | 6,585$5,079 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,506.4 | 937 | 40.6%380 W · 557 L | -32.2wins | -0.03per pick | 44cpaid | -24.2%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x0c99…0c88backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 72c | 1,000$720 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$280 | 9,286 | 44.3%4,110 W · 5,176 L | -245.7wins | -0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -12.1%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xde9f…d43cbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 15c | 812.5$123 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$122.5 | 6,599 | 50.7%3,343 W · 3,256 L | +259.7wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | -4.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xeea3…a6a2backed Miriam Bulgaru | 26c | 623.86$165 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$164.87 | 3,068 | 57.3%1,757 W · 1,311 L | +173.3wins | +0.06per pick | 52cpaid | -3.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x0ee5…e798backed Miriam Bulgaru | 3c | 556.91$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16 | 314 | 36.9%116 W · 198 L | +16.5wins | +0.05per pick | 32cpaid | +14%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xfb0c…8c72backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 78c | 500$390 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$110 | 528 | 47%248 W · 280 L | -19.8wins | -0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -8.3%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 15c | 500$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75 | 3,871 | 35%1,353 W · 2,518 L | +92.5wins | +0.02per pick | 33cpaid | +8.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2002…a75ebacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 75c | 462.67$345 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$117.53 | 314 | 43.6%137 W · 177 L | -5.0wins | -0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -13.6%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x0ea3…b87fbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 5c | 415.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 5 | 0%0 W · 5 L | -1.3wins | -0.26per pick | 26cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Miriam Bulgaru | 21c | 284.08$60 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$59.66 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1ba2…d212backed Miriam Bulgaru | 15c | 276.85$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.93 | 1,959 | 43.7%857 W · 1,102 L | -20.9wins | -0.01per pick | 45cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5268…135dbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 79c | 275.17$218 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.16 | 4,185 | 44.7%1,871 W · 2,314 L | +14.9wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -17.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x5e30…acbfbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 20c | 250$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 7,724 | 47.8%3,691 W · 4,033 L | +41.2wins | +0.01per pick | 47cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9b2c…2151backed Miriam Bulgaru | 5c | 240$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12 | 389 | 11.6%45 W · 344 L | +4.7wins | +0.01per pick | 10cpaid | +22.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9565…ec9abacked Miriam Bulgaru | 10c | 235.22$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.51 | 180 | 38.3%69 W · 111 L | +3.5wins | +0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -3.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xccd8…f4debacked Miriam Bulgaru | 22c | 173.91$38 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$38.26 | 1,475 | 35.2%519 W · 956 L | -14.1wins | -0.01per pick | 36cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2363…ed78backed Miriam Bulgaru | 29c | 172.41$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 84 | 51.2%43 W · 41 L | +3.2wins | +0.04per pick | 47cpaid | +13.1%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x98db…dd17backed Miriam Bulgaru | 21c | 166$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.61 | 5,350 | 56.4%3,016 W · 2,334 L | +228.4wins | +0.04per pick | 52cpaid | -6.4%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x01c7…e995backed Miriam Bulgaru | 20c | 159.79$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$31.2 | 2,462 | 38.5%948 W · 1,514 L | +93.1wins | +0.04per pick | 35cpaid | +13.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x6a80…d472backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 76c | 145.57$110 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$35.57 | 1,186 | 52.4%622 W · 564 L | +28.9wins | +0.02per pick | 50cpaid | +5.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x62be…444cbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 22c | 139.73$31 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.74 | 15 | 53.3%8 W · 7 L | +0.4wins | +0.03per pick | 50cpaid | -5.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x133a…504abacked Miriam Bulgaru | 31c | 135.48$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 3,424 | 39.1%1,338 W · 2,086 L | -12.3wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d0a…ea32backed Miriam Bulgaru | 9c | 122.02$11 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11 | 436 | 18.3%80 W · 356 L | -21.4wins | -0.05per pick | 23cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1e86…8453backed Miriam Bulgaru | 13c | 116.15$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 8 | 0%0 W · 8 L | -3.7wins | -0.46per pick | 46cpaid | -100%equal weight | 37-0.11 edge/pick |
| 0x31e7…fe2abacked Miriam Bulgaru | 31c | 103.23$32 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$32 | 1,356 | 38.3%520 W · 836 L | +2.2wins | 0.00per pick | 38cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xcc72…cd13backed Miriam Bulgaru | 22c | 100$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.65 | 978 | 52%509 W · 469 L | +7.3wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +0.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xcaa5…4859backed Miriam Bulgaru | 20c | 96.96$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.39 | 33 | 57.6%19 W · 14 L | +0.3wins | +0.01per pick | 57cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xefa3…7585backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 76c | 78.55$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.85 | 101 | 58.4%59 W · 42 L | +3.5wins | +0.03per pick | 55cpaid | +9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfb77…1c78backed Miriam Bulgaru | 31c | 70.97$22 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22 | 2,151 | 37.3%802 W · 1,349 L | -27.2wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -5%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x4eef…5275backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 77c | 64.96$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.94 | 363 | 78.2%284 W · 79 L | +5.1wins | +0.01per pick | 77cpaid | +2.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Miriam Bulgaru | 25c | 63.35$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.85 | 6,786 | 48.8%3,310 W · 3,476 L | +56.2wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x27f4…7763backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 79c | 63.29$50 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.29 | 21 | 85.7%18 W · 3 L | +3.2wins | +0.15per pick | 70cpaid | +20.8%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9a51…bf4cbacked Miriam Bulgaru | 20c | 59.8$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.96 | 204 | 54.9%112 W · 92 L | +9.5wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +10.8%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x99f0…9495backed Miriam Bulgaru | 21c | 57$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.97 | 2,174 | 36.9%802 W · 1,372 L | +39.5wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +6.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x89c5…4cbdbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 78c | 51.21$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.21 | 18 | 72.2%13 W · 5 L | +0.1wins | +0.01per pick | 71cpaid | +0.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd68e…8048backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 79c | 50$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$10.5 | 412 | 72.8%300 W · 112 L | +8.0wins | +0.02per pick | 71cpaid | +2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0c22…0a8cbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 73c | 34.99$26 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.38 | 464 | 40.5%188 W · 276 L | -36.6wins | -0.08per pick | 48cpaid | -21%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x5210…bd53backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 76c | 32.22$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.7 | 3,874 | 45.4%1,758 W · 2,116 L | -39.6wins | -0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3b9e…cb21backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 79c | 30$24 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6.24 | 135 | 59.3%80 W · 55 L | +3.8wins | +0.03per pick | 56cpaid | +2.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x11a2…0532backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 79c | 25.48$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.35 | 205 | 70.7%145 W · 60 L | +5.1wins | +0.02per pick | 68cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93d7…c7a6backed Leyre Romero Gormaz | 78c | 22.73$18 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5 | 167 | 55.7%93 W · 74 L | +8.8wins | +0.05per pick | 50cpaid | +9.8%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x7a5d…54dbbacked Leyre Romero Gormaz | 75c | 19.56$15 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.89 | 2,417 | 50.7%1,226 W · 1,191 L | +78.7wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -3.4%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.