Tennis · resolved market
Oeiras 2: Anastasia Tikhonova vs En-Shuo Liang
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd5c139e30ef73a6013f87f5b51769fb78e70db476379e6d59a056872b0582326
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Liangof Tikhonova, Liang
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $3,011
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $3,139
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $3,011 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 17 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Tikhonova | 2c | 774.89$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15.5 | 6,792 | 36.9%2,505 W · 4,287 L | -98.2wins | -0.01per pick | 38cpaid | -20.3%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xb6aa…3746backed Tikhonova | 11c | 270$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$29.9 | 25 | 28%7 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 29cpaid | -29.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54a2…5dfebacked Liang | 60c | 165.39$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$65.39 | 79 | 49.4%39 W · 40 L | -0.5wins | -0.01per pick | 50cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xce9d…3c05backed Tikhonova | 44c | 154.19$68 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$68 | 1,615 | 50.6%817 W · 798 L | -17.7wins | -0.01per pick | 52cpaid | -5.3%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Liang | 64c | 152.38$98 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$54.19 | 8,241 | 45.5%3,746 W · 4,495 L | +166.2wins | +0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x972b…78babacked Tikhonova | 14c | 129.09$18 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.44 | 2,982 | 39.1%1,167 W · 1,815 L | -109.1wins | -0.04per pick | 43cpaid | -30.2%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xa509…ae46backed Tikhonova | 16c | 127.06$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$19.8 | 6,840 | 48.8%3,341 W · 3,499 L | +58.3wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -15.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Tikhonova | 39c | 100$39 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$39 | 186 | 44.6%83 W · 103 L | +1.5wins | +0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -1.5%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x33af…288abacked Tikhonova | 30c | 67.67$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 248 | 26.2%65 W · 183 L | -13.3wins | -0.05per pick | 32cpaid | -23.8%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa4bd…e8a2backed Liang | 66c | 60.51$40 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$20.47 | 884 | 55%486 W · 398 L | +37.4wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | -1.6%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc67d…ffc4backed Tikhonova | 33c | 60$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 33 | 18.2%6 W · 27 L | -3.9wins | -0.12per pick | 30cpaid | -49.1%equal weight | 43-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xd6a3…9489backed Tikhonova | 23c | 57.13$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.33 | 2,746 | 30.8%846 W · 1,900 L | -67.1wins | -0.02per pick | 33cpaid | -36.1%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00cf…d102backed Tikhonova | 44c | 47.75$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$21.01 | 160 | 44.4%71 W · 89 L | -5.9wins | -0.04per pick | 48cpaid | -10.4%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xa9f5…937fbacked Liang | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 4,650 | 48.2%2,242 W · 2,408 L | +31.8wins | +0.01per pick | 48cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x9555…889abacked Liang | 61c | 20$12 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$7.8 | 580 | 67.8%393 W · 187 L | +5.0wins | +0.01per pick | 67cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd37a…2358backed Liang | 56c | 19.42$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$8.55 | 1,980 | 46.2%915 W · 1,065 L | -1.4wins | 0.00per pick | 46cpaid | -3.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0f85…87d5backed Liang | 66c | 17.29$11 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$5.92 | 115 | 47%54 W · 61 L | +1.3wins | +0.01per pick | 46cpaid | -9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.