TailMyPicks

Check any Polymarket wallet’s real record.

Lol · resolved market

LoL: Lundqvist Lightside vs Volda E-Sport - Game 1 Winner

Rebuilt .

What this market resolved to

Winning outcome
Volda E-Sportof Lundqvist Lightside, Volda E-Sport
Resolved
US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
Scored in
Lolevery record on this page is that Category’s
Volume Polymarket published
$5,850
Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
$5,488

Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $5,850 the venue’s figure.

Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.

Who was on this market

All 28 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Lol is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.

On this marketThis wallet’s whole record in Lol
WalletEntryPositionResultP/L heldQualified picksWin ratevs expectedRealizable edgeAvg entryROI per pickTail Score
0xe564…221abacked Lundqvist Lightside6c593.18$37 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$36.7623330%70 W · 163 L-1.5wins-0.01per pick31cpaid-10.7%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0xa844…83b8backed Lundqvist Lightside61c534.11$326 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$325.7162158.8%365 W · 256 L+32.6wins+0.05per pick54cpaid+8.1%equal weight56+0.05 edge/pick
0xc397…bb3bbacked Lundqvist Lightside60c502.46$300 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3001,66359.5%990 W · 673 L+98.5wins+0.06per pick54cpaid+10.2%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick
0xc1d9…5333backed Lundqvist Lightside71c479.73$341 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$341.1858559.7%349 W · 236 L+28.5wins+0.05per pick55cpaid+7.6%equal weight55+0.05 edge/pick
0xb4d2…ce99backed Volda E-Sport39c451$176 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$275.112,20233.3%733 W · 1,469 L-72.4wins-0.03per pick37cpaid-21.4%equal weight46-0.03 edge/pick
0x0d83…272cbacked Lundqvist Lightside43c425.76$182 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$181.7959241.9%248 W · 344 L-16.6wins-0.03per pick45cpaid-12.4%equal weight47-0.03 edge/pick
0xa56e…1c76backed Volda E-Sport41c264.3$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$156.577566.7%50 W · 25 L+6.2wins+0.08per pick58cpaid+18%equal weight57+0.06 edge/pick
0x9473…cba4backed Volda E-Sport56c214.18$120 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$93.9453545.2%242 W · 293 L+0.9wins0.00per pick45cpaid-13.9%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xb35f…cf4cbacked Volda E-Sport65c166.82$108 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$58.6844846.2%207 W · 241 L+1.4wins0.00per pick46cpaid-14.8%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0x9ab3…3044backed Volda E-Sport58c140.63$81 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$59.6863742.7%272 W · 365 L-2.2wins0.00per pick43cpaid-0.3%equal weight500.00 edge/pick
0xbb8e…08c1backed Volda E-Sport52c97$50 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$46.61,63846.7%765 W · 873 L-26.0wins-0.02per pick48cpaid-16%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xc925…6d24backed Lundqvist Lightside11c95$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$10.4563426%165 W · 469 L-90.0wins-0.14per pick40cpaid-54%equal weight35-0.14 edge/pick
0x66e7…8bcdbacked Volda E-Sport53c83.55$44 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$39.281656.3%9 W · 7 L+1.0wins+0.06per pick50cpaid-6.6%equal weight53+0.02 edge/pick
0x3dca…0fd5backed Lundqvist Lightside30c70.74$21 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$21.481838.9%7 W · 11 L-2.0wins-0.11per pick50cpaid-30.6%equal weight45-0.05 edge/pick
0x7d9f…0c25backed Lundqvist Lightside60c58$35 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$34.828353%150 W · 133 L+28.1wins+0.10per pick43cpaid+32.6%equal weight60+0.09 edge/pick
0xc869…bc8dbacked Lundqvist Lightside60c50.33$30 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$3027843.9%122 W · 156 L-5.5wins-0.02per pick46cpaid-8.5%equal weight48-0.02 edge/pick
0xf795…5e34backed Lundqvist Lightside25c50$13 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$12.510017%17 W · 83 L-2.8wins-0.03per pick20cpaid-20.7%equal weight47-0.02 edge/pick
0xb6c5…20d0backed Lundqvist Lightside60c46.49$28 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$27.9646058%267 W · 193 L+8.6wins+0.02per pick56cpaid+6.6%equal weight52+0.02 edge/pick
0x1e6b…dc55backed Lundqvist Lightside45c41.85$19 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1912140.5%49 W · 72 L-1.0wins-0.01per pick41cpaid-6.3%equal weight49-0.01 edge/pick
0x7c8c…2d81backed Volda E-Sport41c40$16 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$23.6824356.4%137 W · 106 L+3.8wins+0.02per pick55cpaid-1.8%equal weight52+0.01 edge/pick
0xb877…4601backed Volda E-Sport66c37.38$25 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.541,21839.9%486 W · 732 L-65.4wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-23.8%equal weight44-0.05 edge/pick
0xb91c…ed66backed Lundqvist Lightside27c37.04$10 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$1025737%95 W · 162 L-12.7wins-0.05per pick42cpaid-12.1%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0xa9f5…937fbacked Volda E-Sport55c31$17 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$14.092,67935.7%957 W · 1,722 L-153.5wins-0.06per pick41cpaid-32.2%equal weight44-0.06 edge/pick
0xf184…d472backed Lundqvist Lightside61c29.61$18 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$18.1428260.6%171 W · 111 L+9.0wins+0.03per pick57cpaid+1.7%equal weight53+0.03 edge/pick
0xa951…8a2fbacked Volda E-Sport41c28.18$12 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$16.658043.3%251 W · 329 L-47.6wins-0.08per pick51cpaid-27%equal weight41-0.08 edge/pick
0xcd94…6b1ebacked Volda E-Sport54c27.72$15 inWon — open this pick on its own page+$12.7584041%344 W · 496 L-38.1wins-0.05per pick45cpaid-14.5%equal weight45-0.04 edge/pick
0x3aa4…1211backed Lundqvist Lightside56c26.79$15 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$154362.8%27 W · 16 L+0.5wins+0.01per pick62cpaid-1.4%equal weight51+0.01 edge/pick
0xdb1c…2679backed Lundqvist Lightside66c17.58$12 inLost — open this pick on its own page-$11.6444461.7%274 W · 170 L+27.0wins+0.06per pick56cpaid+8.8%equal weight56+0.06 edge/pick

Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Lol and say nothing about this market.

The rest of this event

Polymarket sells these questions together. 4 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.

Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.

TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.

  • The market traded at least $500.
  • The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
  • The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
  • The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.

Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.