Euroleague · resolved market
Beijing Royal Fighters vs. Sichuan Blue Whales
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6441cf4b5e2c9a4613311a6106dfd9bde7f99b9182cc2f5da9cd249ac8493d4
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Beijing Royal Fightersof Beijing Royal Fighters, Sichuan Blue Whales
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Euroleagueevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $48,288
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $45,629
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $48,288 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 20 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Euroleague is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Euroleague | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x94d4…d869backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 7,378$369 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$368.87 | 7 | 57.1%4 W · 3 L | +1.3wins | +0.19per pick | 38cpaid | +9.2%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc61d…3933backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 4,990$233 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$233.26 | 89 | 36%32 W · 57 L | -3.5wins | -0.04per pick | 40cpaid | -15.8%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 2,372$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$74.6 | 369 | 39.8%147 W · 222 L | +1.7wins | 0.00per pick | 39cpaid | -22.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc291…5d74backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 2,231$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.76 | 269 | 35.3%95 W · 174 L | -10.9wins | -0.04per pick | 39cpaid | -18%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 2,141$75 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$75.06 | 244 | 30.3%74 W · 170 L | -2.7wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -8.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5fea…78b1backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 2,069$67 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$66.75 | 29 | 27.6%8 W · 21 L | -3.4wins | -0.12per pick | 39cpaid | -61%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x7b7e…ef88backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 1,656$113 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.29 | 11 | 18.2%2 W · 9 L | -0.1wins | -0.01per pick | 19cpaid | -43.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 1,096$36 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$35.83 | 168 | 28.6%48 W · 120 L | -10.3wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -37.7%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x255a…3435backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 7c | 1,052$72 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$72.05 | 132 | 20.5%27 W · 105 L | -6.0wins | -0.05per pick | 25cpaid | -27.9%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x30a0…a458backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 1c | 999.98$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.2 | 22 | 13.6%3 W · 19 L | -1.6wins | -0.07per pick | 21cpaid | -25.7%equal weight | 46-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x61f6…e497backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 928.03$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.48 | 74 | 62.2%46 W · 28 L | +7.5wins | +0.10per pick | 52cpaid | +8.9%equal weight | 58+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xf971…0a57backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 832.18$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.14 | 20 | 40%8 W · 12 L | +0.9wins | +0.05per pick | 35cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xadfb…c2efbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 2c | 757.39$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.39 | 43 | 44.2%19 W · 24 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 44cpaid | -4.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x36d8…c7c7backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 546.63$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$26.24 | 140 | 37.9%53 W · 87 L | -1.5wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -21.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 6c | 504.74$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30.28 | 130 | 46.2%60 W · 70 L | -2.8wins | -0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -17.7%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9474…5091backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 399.16$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.23 | 3 | 0%0 W · 3 L | -0.1wins | -0.03per pick | 3cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x54c1…af7ebacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 5c | 371.85$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.86 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.05per pick | 5cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x21ff…0d71backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 346.1$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.09 | 14 | 64.3%9 W · 5 L | +2.4wins | +0.17per pick | 47cpaid | +33.9%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x204f…5e14backed Sichuan Blue Whales | 3c | 322.23$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.44 | 343 | 44.3%152 W · 191 L | -16.2wins | -0.05per pick | 49cpaid | -9.8%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x26d6…caccbacked Sichuan Blue Whales | 4c | 256.45$10 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$10.28 | 56 | 48.2%27 W · 29 L | +0.9wins | +0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -21.7%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Euroleague and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.