Ncaa Basketball · resolved market
UMBC Retrievers vs. Albany Great Danes
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd6eb1ab63935a0bf668326c8e4b8eb36b2162e42b131cad0245daa017887624a
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- UMBC Retrieversof UMBC Retrievers, Albany Great Danes
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Ncaa Basketballevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $32,019
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $32,416
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $32,019 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 44 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Ncaa Basketball is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x7b47…d615backed Albany Great Danes | 46c | 20,874$9,617 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$9,616.58 | 740 | 51.5%381 W · 359 L | +5.6wins | +0.01per pick | 51cpaid | +1.2%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x507e…beaebacked UMBC Retrievers | 54c | 14,395$7,776 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$6,619.16 | 5,946 | 49.3%2,932 W · 3,014 L | +163.0wins | +0.03per pick | 47cpaid | -0.9%equal weight | 53+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x2005…75eabacked UMBC Retrievers | 52c | 5,732$2,969 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$2,762.12 | 1,910 | 49.6%947 W · 963 L | +30.4wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | +0.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7da6…4ff3backed UMBC Retrievers | 52c | 1,180$614 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$566.39 | 98 | 56.1%55 W · 43 L | +7.9wins | +0.08per pick | 48cpaid | +52.2%equal weight | 57+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe9f5…3e7abacked Albany Great Danes | 48c | 1,025$492 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$492 | 327 | 51.7%169 W · 158 L | +12.7wins | +0.04per pick | 48cpaid | +14.9%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x7c64…348fbacked Albany Great Danes | 2c | 999.99$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 57 | 0%0 W · 57 L | -1.1wins | -0.02per pick | 2cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x50c3…ace1backed Albany Great Danes | 47c | 999.97$470 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$469.99 | 113 | 54.9%62 W · 51 L | +2.9wins | +0.03per pick | 52cpaid | +5%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd4da…3175backed Albany Great Danes | 48c | 933.2$448 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$447.94 | 898 | 50%449 W · 449 L | +7.1wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | 0%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd1ed…d7cbbacked UMBC Retrievers | 64c | 623$398 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$224.91 | 1,540 | 41.3%636 W · 904 L | +4.7wins | 0.00per pick | 41cpaid | -16.4%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x69f2…49b3backed UMBC Retrievers | 58c | 573.98$332 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$241.99 | 20 | 30%6 W · 14 L | -3.2wins | -0.16per pick | 46cpaid | -9.3%equal weight | 42-0.07 edge/pick |
| 0xe622…ea5ebacked UMBC Retrievers | 53c | 560$297 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$263.2 | 371 | 42.6%158 W · 213 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 44cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x44f0…432cbacked UMBC Retrievers | 53c | 483$256 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$227.01 | 754 | 47.1%355 W · 399 L | +13.2wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | -0.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x4d84…21b1backed UMBC Retrievers | 57c | 476.92$271 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$205.89 | 998 | 48.4%483 W · 515 L | -8.5wins | -0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -6.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5d9e…e0e3backed UMBC Retrievers | 48c | 404.55$193 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$211.89 | 934 | 47.9%447 W · 487 L | -19.2wins | -0.02per pick | 50cpaid | -13.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf41a…ea2bbacked Albany Great Danes | 48c | 277.24$133 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$133.07 | 2,687 | 48.5%1,303 W · 1,384 L | +4.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -0.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xd218…b5c9backed UMBC Retrievers | 41c | 212$88 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$124.44 | 2,555 | 41.6%1,062 W · 1,493 L | -15.9wins | -0.01per pick | 42cpaid | -20.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3746…a99fbacked Albany Great Danes | 45c | 207.56$93 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$93.41 | 3 | 33.3%1 W · 2 L | -0.1wins | -0.02per pick | 36cpaid | -31.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x6814…a9e7backed UMBC Retrievers | 50c | 205.26$103 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$102.76 | 3,380 | 49.5%1,673 W · 1,707 L | +30.4wins | +0.01per pick | 49cpaid | -9.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xe911…3d4ebacked Albany Great Danes | 56c | 203.01$114 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$113.69 | 1,531 | 50.1%767 W · 764 L | +34.6wins | +0.02per pick | 48cpaid | -3.3%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x785f…e3d9backed Albany Great Danes | 47c | 192.62$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.65 | 974 | 47.9%467 W · 507 L | -2.8wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | -1.2%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xc3b2…e009backed Albany Great Danes | 15c | 151$23 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$22.65 | 20 | 10%2 W · 18 L | -0.1wins | 0.00per pick | 10cpaid | -8.7%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x0e51…e4f7backed UMBC Retrievers | 53c | 147.22$78 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$68.89 | 583 | 45.5%265 W · 318 L | -10.2wins | -0.02per pick | 47cpaid | -3.8%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2fd5…ef85backed UMBC Retrievers | 55c | 110.57$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.03 | 252 | 39.3%99 W · 153 L | -0.8wins | 0.00per pick | 40cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x1d94…9100backed Albany Great Danes | 48c | 108.93$52 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.29 | 2,048 | 32.7%670 W · 1,378 L | -16.2wins | -0.01per pick | 34cpaid | -9.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd607…6ddcbacked Albany Great Danes | 15c | 100$15 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$15 | 49 | 6.1%3 W · 46 L | -0.3wins | -0.01per pick | 7cpaid | -22.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xe889…d0c3backed Albany Great Danes | 42c | 100$42 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$42 | 37 | 37.8%14 W · 23 L | -3.6wins | -0.10per pick | 48cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xe6f0…5701backed Albany Great Danes | 56c | 99.59$56 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.9 | 369 | 42.3%156 W · 213 L | -9.5wins | -0.03per pick | 45cpaid | -9.9%equal weight | 47-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xa4b2…1c67backed Albany Great Danes | 80c | 89.37$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$71.5 | 143 | 54.5%78 W · 65 L | +5.6wins | +0.04per pick | 51cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 54+0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xfefb…4b5dbacked UMBC Retrievers | 41c | 76.02$31 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$45.02 | 1,887 | 45.2%853 W · 1,034 L | +6.5wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | -15.1%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x781c…db68backed UMBC Retrievers | 34c | 60$20 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$39.6 | 1,420 | 43.9%623 W · 797 L | +8.4wins | +0.01per pick | 43cpaid | -18.3%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfc8f…3782backed UMBC Retrievers | 41c | 56.65$23 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.24 | 668 | 31.4%210 W · 458 L | -43.1wins | -0.06per pick | 38cpaid | -23%equal weight | 43-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0xdbdd…a5debacked Albany Great Danes | 50c | 51.87$26 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25.89 | 4,382 | 40.5%1,775 W · 2,607 L | +23.7wins | +0.01per pick | 40cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x2ecb…7645backed Albany Great Danes | 54c | 51.56$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$27.6 | 1,003 | 55.3%555 W · 448 L | +46.5wins | +0.05per pick | 51cpaid | +1.6%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xa8c2…d3ddbacked UMBC Retrievers | 51c | 37.56$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.54 | 22 | 50%11 W · 11 L | -1.5wins | -0.07per pick | 57cpaid | -13.7%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x239b…f8bfbacked UMBC Retrievers | 52c | 37.49$19 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$18.04 | 316 | 66.1%209 W · 107 L | +24.8wins | +0.08per pick | 58cpaid | +12.4%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x94fa…989ebacked Albany Great Danes | 48c | 35$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.8 | 814 | 53.1%432 W · 382 L | -4.1wins | -0.01per pick | 54cpaid | +3.5%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0x7b12…7a77backed UMBC Retrievers | 52c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$14.4 | 523 | 53.5%280 W · 243 L | -17.9wins | -0.03per pick | 57cpaid | -5.9%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xca1e…53e3backed UMBC Retrievers | 54c | 30$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.8 | 3 | 66.7%2 W · 1 L | +0.5wins | +0.16per pick | 51cpaid | +8.7%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3c5d…76b0backed UMBC Retrievers | 48c | 29.97$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$15.65 | 17 | 29.4%5 W · 12 L | -2.4wins | -0.14per pick | 43cpaid | -36%equal weight | 44-0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x4e8f…1f83backed Albany Great Danes | 42c | 29.9$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$12.56 | 646 | 58.8%380 W · 266 L | -3.6wins | -0.01per pick | 59cpaid | +1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x085d…5302backed UMBC Retrievers | 58c | 27.08$16 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$11.37 | 135 | 50.4%68 W · 67 L | +0.7wins | +0.01per pick | 50cpaid | -2.3%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0xbfb0…466fbacked UMBC Retrievers | 43c | 23.3$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.28 | 91 | 34.1%31 W · 60 L | -9.6wins | -0.11per pick | 45cpaid | -35.2%equal weight | 41-0.08 edge/pick |
| 0xcb5b…f243backed Albany Great Danes | 67c | 20.75$14 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$14.01 | 682 | 54.3%370 W · 312 L | +10.1wins | +0.01per pick | 53cpaid | -5%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xf33f…085cbacked UMBC Retrievers | 51c | 19.94$10 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$9.77 | 181 | 29.3%53 W · 128 L | -3.1wins | -0.02per pick | 31cpaid | +3.8%equal weight | 48-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Ncaa Basketball and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.