Valorant · resolved market
Map Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs ARETE (+1.5)
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd76fce371c9c5bfee9bb3a04b90c45f6f1112c0b1742b40d2453709786965ebd
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- ARETEof T1 Academy, ARETE
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $7,309
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $7,404
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $7,309 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 31 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x1b37…1f70backed T1 Academy | 67c | 2,800$1,876 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$1,875.99 | 111 | 59.5%66 W · 45 L | +2.5wins | +0.02per pick | 57cpaid | +6.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb9b4…75a0backed ARETE | 33c | 2,724$899 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$1,825.23 | 34 | 47.1%16 W · 18 L | +0.8wins | +0.02per pick | 45cpaid | +4.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed T1 Academy | 61c | 1,331$812 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$811.52 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed ARETE | 40c | 927.33$371 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$556.4 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x391d…def1backed ARETE | 42c | 605$251 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$353.56 | 50 | 30%15 W · 35 L | -3.8wins | -0.08per pick | 38cpaid | -33.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xe79b…5577backed T1 Academy | 55c | 354$195 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$194.7 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xb41b…3ba1backed T1 Academy | 55c | 349$192 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$191.95 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed T1 Academy | 60c | 333.33$200 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$200 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x2612…7e88backed T1 Academy | 57c | 333$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xdafa…e874backed T1 Academy | 57c | 333$190 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$189.81 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x72b3…60a0backed T1 Academy | 57c | 321$183 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$182.97 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x1b59…0ba0backed T1 Academy | 59c | 288$170 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$169.7 | 192 | 40.1%77 W · 115 L | +4.2wins | +0.02per pick | 38cpaid | +4.8%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3f2a…165fbacked T1 Academy | 57c | 278$158 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$158.46 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xc24a…396abacked T1 Academy | 57c | 273$156 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$155.61 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.6wins | -0.57per pick | 57cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x93b8…9e7dbacked ARETE | 43c | 270$116 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$153.9 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x07b6…5f39backed ARETE | 43c | 253$109 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$144.21 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xbd8b…4ccebacked ARETE | 43c | 216$93 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$123.12 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xf5a3…d25bbacked ARETE | 43c | 209$90 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$119.13 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x588d…3f41backed ARETE | 33c | 183.03$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$121.82 | 98 | 45.9%45 W · 53 L | +1.6wins | +0.02per pick | 44cpaid | +3.1%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x5472…6b9ebacked ARETE | 45c | 163$73 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$89.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9705…6844backed ARETE | 43c | 160$69 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$91.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xeacb…82c7backed ARETE | 45c | 157$71 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$86.35 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x00a3…5655backed ARETE | 43c | 147$63 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$83.79 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2894…e6a0backed ARETE | 45c | 143$64 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$78.65 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x846f…bcf5backed ARETE | 43c | 143$61 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$81.51 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x5596…4826backed ARETE | 43c | 140$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$79.8 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.57per pick | 43cpaid | +132.6%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe054…c925backed ARETE | 45c | 134$60 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$73.7 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x9b8d…45dfbacked ARETE | 45c | 104$47 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$57.2 | 1 | 100%1 W · 0 L | +0.6wins | +0.55per pick | 45cpaid | +122.2%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x68c9…aec3backed T1 Academy | 71c | 100$71 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$70.93 | 67 | 34.3%23 W · 44 L | -4.7wins | -0.07per pick | 41cpaid | -25.8%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed ARETE | 33c | 75.76$25 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$50.76 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x92f8…0e1fbacked ARETE | 49c | 66$33 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$33.36 | 5 | 80%4 W · 1 L | +1.7wins | +0.33per pick | 47cpaid | +80.4%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Map Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs ARETE (+1.5)this page
- Valorant: ARETE vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular SeasonT1 Academy won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.