Valorant · resolved market
Valorant: ARETE vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Season
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0x16fa6fc21dae39398a578586cad128c58c8bb4fb13fe74cf4efbea9460a8c8a9
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- T1 Academyof ARETE, T1 Academy
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Valorantevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- Polymarket published no figure
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $12,721
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $12,721 — TailMyPicks’s own total, because the venue published none.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 22 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Valorant is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Valorant | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0xc4db…7e0cbacked ARETE | 11c | 1,000$109 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$108.91 | 610 | 35.9%219 W · 391 L | -17.5wins | -0.03per pick | 39cpaid | -6.9%equal weight | 47-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0x52b7…0aa1backed ARETE | 18c | 915.25$167 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$167.08 | 417 | 34.8%145 W · 272 L | +11.0wins | +0.03per pick | 32cpaid | +7.7%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x8725…eb10backed ARETE | 11c | 783.57$89 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.46 | 321 | 41.7%134 W · 187 L | -16.1wins | -0.05per pick | 47cpaid | -14.4%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0xdd03…932fbacked ARETE | 6c | 465.9$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.09 | 1 | 0%0 W · 1 L | -0.1wins | -0.06per pick | 6cpaid | -100%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9eb9…cb5dbacked ARETE | 12c | 458.98$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55.08 | 151 | 45%68 W · 83 L | +0.2wins | 0.00per pick | 45cpaid | +0.5%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x482c…4da1backed ARETE | 11c | 315.03$35 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$34.93 | 14 | 35.7%5 W · 9 L | -1.6wins | -0.11per pick | 47cpaid | -40.7%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8b55…d74bbacked ARETE | 10c | 300$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 867 | 47.5%412 W · 455 L | -2.9wins | 0.00per pick | 48cpaid | +1.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x796c…49dbbacked ARETE | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -0.5wins | -0.24per pick | 24cpaid | -100%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x3a02…a770backed ARETE | 11c | 231.58$25 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$25 | 237 | 32.9%78 W · 159 L | -9.2wins | -0.04per pick | 37cpaid | -17.6%equal weight | 46-0.03 edge/pick |
| 0xba05…f8c0backed ARETE | 11c | 220.96$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$24 | 312 | 32.7%102 W · 210 L | +3.6wins | +0.01per pick | 32cpaid | +1.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3542…c3c8backed ARETE | 11c | 190.41$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.95 | 285 | 48.4%138 W · 147 L | +14.4wins | +0.05per pick | 43cpaid | +16%equal weight | 55+0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x1a35…6fe0backed ARETE | 11c | 183.69$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20 | 156 | 42.3%66 W · 90 L | -1.3wins | -0.01per pick | 43cpaid | +9.4%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x7d7f…86d2backed ARETE | 10c | 168.16$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$17.5 | 41 | 34.1%14 W · 27 L | -1.3wins | -0.03per pick | 37cpaid | -27.1%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x0044…cb2cbacked ARETE | 12c | 140.15$17 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.51 | 13 | 30.8%4 W · 9 L | +0.6wins | +0.05per pick | 26cpaid | -25.4%equal weight | 52+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x757e…8128backed ARETE | 12c | 136.92$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.3 | 8 | 12.5%1 W · 7 L | -0.7wins | -0.08per pick | 21cpaid | -32.9%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6fd9…f0d5backed T1 Academy | 80c | 125$100 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$25 | 40 | 50%20 W · 20 L | -6.2wins | -0.16per pick | 66cpaid | -23.2%equal weight | 39-0.10 edge/pick |
| 0xe9e5…8ce3backed ARETE | 14c | 115.23$16 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$16.5 | 43 | 41.9%18 W · 25 L | -3.5wins | -0.08per pick | 50cpaid | -19.9%equal weight | 44-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x0fd5…9801backed ARETE | 50c | 111.1$55 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$55 | 2 | 0%0 W · 2 L | -1.1wins | -0.55per pick | 55cpaid | -100%equal weight | 45-0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x8935…7daabacked ARETE | 13c | 90$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.7 | 601 | 54.2%326 W · 275 L | +24.0wins | +0.04per pick | 50cpaid | +0.7%equal weight | 54+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0xdb27…8be8backed T1 Academy | 61c | 63.99$39 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$24.88 | 147 | 57.8%85 W · 62 L | +13.3wins | +0.09per pick | 49cpaid | +17.4%equal weight | 59+0.08 edge/pick |
| 0x73a2…3b68backed T1 Academy | 69c | 43.02$30 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$13.32 | 80 | 50%40 W · 40 L | -2.3wins | -0.03per pick | 53cpaid | -14.5%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x2698…2941backed T1 Academy | 74c | 19.03$14 in | Won — open this pick on its own page | +$4.99 | 6 | 66.7%4 W · 2 L | +0.1wins | +0.02per pick | 65cpaid | -6%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Valorant and say nothing about this market.
The rest of this event
Polymarket sells these questions together. 2 in all. TailMyPicks has no name for an event — the venue publishes an identifier and no title — so they are listed by their own questions.
- Valorant: ARETE vs T1 Academy (BO3) - VCL Korea: Regular Seasonthis page
- Map Handicap: T1.A (-1.5) vs ARETE (+1.5)ARETE won
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.