Tennis · resolved market
Wimbledon, Qualification WTA: Esther Adeshina vs Harmony Tan
https://tailmypicks.com/m/0xd798d3d34ef44ccd428b065e9af14e5ce71f618b82e6fb2df33c3e2660cfc2fe
Rebuilt .
What this market resolved to
- Winning outcome
- Harmony Tanof Esther Adeshina, Harmony Tan
- Resolved
- US/Eastern, the zone Polymarket writes its markets in
- Scored in
- Tennisevery record on this page is that Category’s
- Volume Polymarket published
- $25,278
- Volume TailMyPicks’s own read summed
- $23,867
Both are shown because TailMyPicks only trusts a market it can reconcile: it reads every trade itself and compares its own total against the venue’s before scoring anything. The threshold below was applied to $25,278 — the venue’s figure.
Every figure here describes what TailMyPicks scored — positions held to resolution in markets that cleared the thresholds below. It is not a Polymarket account balance, and open positions are not counted anywhere on this site.
Who was on this market
All 19 wallets that hold a qualified pick on this market, biggest position first. Ordered by position size rather than by score, because this is a post-mortem of one market — a strong wallet’s small pick does not belong above a large committed one. Each wallet’s record in Tennis is on its own row, so one correct call here is not mistaken for a track record.
| On this market | This wallet’s whole record in Tennis | ||||||||||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wallet | Entry | Position | Result | P/L held | Qualified picks | Win rate | vs expected | Realizable edge | Avg entry | ROI per pick | Tail Score |
| 0x9d8a…5201backed Esther Adeshina | 11c | 6,247$659 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$659.16 | 1,421 | 28.6%407 W · 1,014 L | +4.5wins | 0.00per pick | 28cpaid | -8.8%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x9527…f108backed Esther Adeshina | 1c | 3,305$19 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$18.85 | 527 | 39.3%207 W · 320 L | +37.6wins | +0.07per pick | 32cpaid | -7.5%equal weight | 58+0.07 edge/pick |
| 0x9e38…1b52backed Esther Adeshina | 6c | 1,498$90 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$89.88 | 619 | 24.4%151 W · 468 L | -8.2wins | -0.01per pick | 26cpaid | -14.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xfe78…0319backed Esther Adeshina | 12c | 1,374$162 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$162.33 | 8,828 | 36.1%3,190 W · 5,638 L | -193.3wins | -0.02per pick | 38cpaid | -27.2%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xe4c9…8803backed Esther Adeshina | 5c | 977.14$53 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$52.8 | 137 | 43.1%59 W · 78 L | +9.1wins | +0.07per pick | 36cpaid | +7.6%equal weight | 56+0.06 edge/pick |
| 0x5b63…11a4backed Esther Adeshina | 4c | 947.84$41 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$41.37 | 4,934 | 41.5%2,048 W · 2,886 L | -77.0wins | -0.02per pick | 43cpaid | -15.3%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x6318…46b1backed Esther Adeshina | 12c | 934.44$112 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$112.12 | 5,261 | 28.8%1,514 W · 3,747 L | -19.4wins | 0.00per pick | 29cpaid | -1.9%equal weight | 500.00 edge/pick |
| 0x34f9…12ebbacked Esther Adeshina | 14c | 705.26$97 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$97.16 | 184 | 30.4%56 W · 128 L | -1.4wins | -0.01per pick | 31cpaid | -1.1%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xeb74…1a99backed Esther Adeshina | 13c | 500$65 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$65 | 96 | 30.2%29 W · 67 L | +2.8wins | +0.03per pick | 27cpaid | +16.2%equal weight | 53+0.02 edge/pick |
| 0x7d91…40d3backed Esther Adeshina | 12c | 429.05$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 483 | 31.1%150 W · 333 L | +3.3wins | +0.01per pick | 30cpaid | -2.4%equal weight | 51+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x35e7…8331backed Esther Adeshina | 13c | 400$50 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$50 | 2,247 | 42.7%960 W · 1,287 L | +33.4wins | +0.01per pick | 41cpaid | +6.4%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd050…c915backed Esther Adeshina | 11c | 272.73$30 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$30 | 208 | 46.2%96 W · 112 L | +10.4wins | +0.05per pick | 41cpaid | +14.1%equal weight | 55+0.04 edge/pick |
| 0x0ade…ed94backed Esther Adeshina | 14c | 266.67$37 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$37.33 | 1,458 | 54%787 W · 671 L | -33.0wins | -0.02per pick | 56cpaid | +64.6%equal weight | 48-0.02 edge/pick |
| 0xd6d2…4a24backed Esther Adeshina | 10c | 244.59$24 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$23.9 | 529 | 10%53 W · 476 L | -3.9wins | -0.01per pick | 11cpaid | -11.9%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x26a7…4fbabacked Esther Adeshina | 6c | 217.83$13 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$13.07 | 74 | 28.4%21 W · 53 L | -4.7wins | -0.06per pick | 35cpaid | -28.3%equal weight | 45-0.05 edge/pick |
| 0x64ec…931dbacked Esther Adeshina | 14c | 200.14$28 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$28.02 | 433 | 36.7%159 W · 274 L | +6.8wins | +0.02per pick | 35cpaid | +11.3%equal weight | 52+0.01 edge/pick |
| 0xd034…eecebacked Esther Adeshina | 13c | 159.01$21 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.67 | 2,735 | 34%931 W · 1,804 L | -13.2wins | 0.00per pick | 35cpaid | -2.8%equal weight | 490.00 edge/pick |
| 0xf970…f7f6backed Esther Adeshina | 14c | 143$20 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$20.02 | 2,485 | 35.9%893 W · 1,592 L | -28.5wins | -0.01per pick | 37cpaid | -5.2%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
| 0x3ee4…ed67backed Esther Adeshina | 13c | 93.06$12 in | Lost — open this pick on its own page | -$11.63 | 282 | 37.9%107 W · 175 L | -2.6wins | -0.01per pick | 39cpaid | -9.7%equal weight | 49-0.01 edge/pick |
Entry is the average price this wallet paid on the side it backed, so being right at 20c is distinguishable from being right at 95c. Position is what it was left holding in shares, with what it spent underneath. Result opens that one pick on a page of its own, which is the link to send somebody. P/L held is what that position would have been worth held to resolution — not cash the wallet withdrew, because selling early is still a correct forecast. The seven columns on the right describe the wallet’s whole record in Tennis and say nothing about this market.
Not every trade counts. A Pick has to clear four thresholds to be scored.
TailMyPicks scores a wallet on what it can actually be judged on: positions held to resolution, in markets with enough volume to be real, at prices where being right was not already priced in.
- The market traded at least $500.
- The entry price was between 0.00 and 0.80 — a near-certainty is not a call.
- The position was at least $10 — dust is not a position.
- The market has resolved, so there is a right answer to grade against.
Thresholds behind these numbers: set by an operator decision, not measured.